Medical - Diagnostics & Research
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NTRA vs ILMN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Medical - Diagnostics & Research
NTRA vs ILMN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Medical - Diagnostics & Research | Medical - Diagnostics & Research |
| Market Cap | $29.58B | $21.66B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.12B | $4.39B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-309M | $853M |
| Gross Margin | 63.7% | 67.1% |
| Operating Margin | -16.6% | 20.9% |
| Forward P/E | — | 27.5x |
| Total Debt | $187M | $2.55B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $946M | $1.42B |
NTRA vs ILMN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natera, Inc. (NTRA) | 100 | 490.5 | +390.5% |
| Illumina, Inc. (ILMN) | 100 | 40.4 | -59.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NTRA vs ILMN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NTRA is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 56.7%, EPS growth 59.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 39.5%
- 21.5% 10Y total return vs ILMN's 4.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.26, Low D/E 15.7%, current ratio 4.00x
ILMN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- beta 1.23
- Beta 1.23, current ratio 2.08x
- Better valuation composite
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 56.7% revenue growth vs ILMN's -0.8% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 19.4% margin vs NTRA's -14.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.23 vs NTRA's 1.26 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +91.3% vs NTRA's +38.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.4% ROA vs NTRA's -17.0%, ROIC 16.8% vs -33.3% |
NTRA vs ILMN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NTRA vs ILMN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ILMN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ILMN is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.4B annually — 2.1x NTRA's $2.1B. ILMN is the more profitable business, keeping 19.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NTRA's -14.6%. On growth, NTRA holds the edge at +34.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $4.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$315M | $1.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$309M | $853M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $94M | $989M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +63.7% | +67.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -16.6% | +20.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -14.6% | +19.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.4% | +22.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +34.7% | +4.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -146.2% | +6.1% |
Valuation Metrics
ILMN leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $29.6B | $21.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $28.8B | $22.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -140.58x | 26.16x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 27.51x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 6.18x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 20.10x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 17.43x | 4.99x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 22.44x | 8.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 427.23x | 23.26x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ILMN leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ILMN delivers a 32.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $-25 for NTRA. NTRA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ILMN's 0.94x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ILMN scores 8/9 vs NTRA's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -24.7% | +32.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -17.0% | +13.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -33.3% | +16.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -18.1% | +17.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.16x | 0.94x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$758M | $1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $946M | $1.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $187M | $2.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -69.90x | 12.09x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NTRA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NTRA five years ago would be worth $22,333 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,891 for ILMN. Over the past 12 months, ILMN leads with a +91.3% total return vs NTRA's +38.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NTRA at 59.4% vs ILMN's -9.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -6.0% | +6.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +38.3% | +91.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +305.1% | -25.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +123.3% | -61.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2147.5% | +4.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +59.4% | -9.2% |
Risk & Volatility
ILMN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ILMN is the less volatile stock with a 1.23 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NTRA's 1.26 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ILMN currently trades 91.7% from its 52-week high vs NTRA's 83.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.26x | 1.23x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $256.36 | $155.53 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $131.81 | $73.86 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.9% | +91.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.9 | 62.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NTRA as "Buy" and ILMN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 22.0% upside for NTRA (target: $263) vs 3.4% for ILMN (target: $147).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $262.50 | $147.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 27 | 50 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +3.4% |
ILMN leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). NTRA leads in 1 (Total Returns).
NTRA vs ILMN: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NTRA or ILMN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Natera, Inc.
(NTRA) is the stronger pick with 56. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 8% for Illumina, Inc. (ILMN). Illumina, Inc. (ILMN) offers the better valuation at 26. 2x trailing P/E (27. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Natera, Inc. (NTRA) a "Buy" — based on 27 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NTRA or ILMN?
Over the past 5 years, Natera, Inc.
(NTRA) delivered a total return of +123. 3%, compared to -61. 1% for Illumina, Inc. (ILMN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NTRA returned +21. 5% versus ILMN's +4. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NTRA or ILMN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Illumina, Inc.
(ILMN) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 23β versus Natera, Inc. 's 1. 26β — meaning NTRA is approximately 2% more volatile than ILMN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Natera, Inc. (NTRA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 94% for Illumina, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — NTRA or ILMN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Natera, Inc.
(NTRA) is pulling ahead at 56. 7% versus -0. 8% for Illumina, Inc. (ILMN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Illumina, Inc. grew EPS 170. 9% year-over-year, compared to 59. 5% for Natera, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NTRA leads at 39. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NTRA or ILMN?
Illumina, Inc.
(ILMN) is the more profitable company, earning 19. 6% net margin versus -11. 2% for Natera, Inc. — meaning it keeps 19. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ILMN leads at 19. 9% versus -13. 1% for NTRA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ILMN leads at 66. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is NTRA or ILMN more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NTRA: 22.
0% to $262. 50.
07Which pays a better dividend — NTRA or ILMN?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is NTRA or ILMN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Illumina, Inc.
(ILMN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 23)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ILMN: +4. 3%, NTRA: +21. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between NTRA and ILMN?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NTRA is a mid-cap high-growth stock; ILMN is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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