Biotechnology
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NUVL vs KROS vs TPST
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
Biotechnology
NUVL vs KROS vs TPST — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $7.53B | $433M | $55M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $244M | $0.00 |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-450M | $87M | $-36M |
| Gross Margin | — | 99.5% | — |
| Operating Margin | — | 28.9% | — |
| Forward P/E | — | 5.1x | — |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $17M | $15M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $262M | $287M | $30M |
NUVL vs KROS vs TPST — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuvalent, Inc. (NUVL) | 100 | 561.1 | +461.1% |
| Keros Therapeutics,… (KROS) | 100 | 31.6 | -68.4% |
| Tempest Therapeutic… (TPST) | 100 | 13.1 | -86.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NUVL vs KROS vs TPST
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NUVL is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 446.1% 10Y total return vs KROS's -42.0%
- +53.5% vs TPST's -69.3%
KROS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.03
- Rev growth 67.7%, EPS growth 146.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.03, Low D/E 5.6%, current ratio 15.45x
TPST plays a supporting role in this comparison — it may shine differently against other peers.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 67.7% revenue growth vs TPST's -2.0% | |
| Quality / Margins | 35.7% margin vs TPST's 0.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.03 vs TPST's 1.70, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 3 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +53.5% vs TPST's -69.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.3% ROA vs TPST's -210.5%, ROIC 167.9% vs -5.1% |
NUVL vs KROS vs TPST — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
NUVL vs KROS vs TPST — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
KROS leads in 2 of 6 categories
NUVL leads 1 • TPST leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KROS leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KROS and TPST operate at a comparable scale, with $244M and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $244M | $0 |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$346M | $72M | -$36M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$450M | $87M | -$36M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$313M | $106M | -$33M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +99.5% | — |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +28.9% | — |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | +35.7% | — |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +43.4% | — |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | -87.3% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -17.8% | +66.7% | -92.7% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — NUVL and KROS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.5B | $433M | $55M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.3B | $163M | $40M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -17.50x | 5.06x | -1.31x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 2.26x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 1.78x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.96x | 1.45x | 2.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 4.09x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
KROS leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KROS delivers a 14.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-6 for TPST. KROS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TPST's 0.80x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KROS scores 5/9 vs NUVL's 1/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -42.8% | +14.3% | -5.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -37.8% | +13.3% | -2.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -32.5% | +167.9% | -5.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -34.4% | +15.6% | -121.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.06x | 0.80x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$262M | -$271M | -$15M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $262M | $287M | $30M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $17M | $15M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -26.85x | — | -78.41x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NUVL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NUVL five years ago would be worth $54,613 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,205 for TPST. Over the past 12 months, NUVL leads with a +53.5% total return vs TPST's -69.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NUVL at 39.5% vs TPST's -58.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.5% | -37.2% | -33.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +53.5% | -15.1% | -69.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +171.2% | -73.0% | -92.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +446.1% | -78.1% | -88.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +446.1% | -42.0% | -99.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +39.5% | -35.4% | -58.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NUVL and KROS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KROS is the less volatile stock with a 1.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TPST's 1.70 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NUVL currently trades 90.6% from its 52-week high vs TPST's 16.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.09x | 1.03x | 1.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $113.02 | $22.55 | $12.23 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $63.56 | $10.41 | $1.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.6% | +51.6% | +16.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.9 | 51.8 | 53.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 544K | 409K | 205K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NUVL as "Buy", KROS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 781.4% upside for KROS (target: $103) vs 41.0% for NUVL (target: $144).
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $144.40 | $102.60 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 16 | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +86.6% | 0.0% |
KROS leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NUVL leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
NUVL vs KROS vs TPST: Key Questions Answered
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NUVL or KROS or TPST a better buy right now?
Keros Therapeutics, Inc.
(KROS) offers the better valuation at 5. 1x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Nuvalent, Inc. (NUVL) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NUVL or KROS or TPST?
Over the past 5 years, Nuvalent, Inc.
(NUVL) delivered a total return of +446. 1%, compared to -88. 0% for Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. (TPST). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NUVL returned +446. 1% versus TPST's -99. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NUVL or KROS or TPST?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Keros Therapeutics, Inc.
(KROS) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 03β versus Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. 's 1. 70β — meaning TPST is approximately 66% more volatile than KROS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Keros Therapeutics, Inc. (KROS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 80% for Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — NUVL or KROS or TPST?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Keros Therapeutics, Inc.
grew EPS 146. 0% year-over-year, compared to -48. 9% for Nuvalent, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NUVL or KROS or TPST?
Keros Therapeutics, Inc.
(KROS) is the more profitable company, earning 35. 7% net margin versus 0. 0% for Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. — meaning it keeps 35. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KROS leads at 28. 9% versus 0. 0% for TPST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KROS leads at 99. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — NUVL or KROS or TPST?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is NUVL or KROS or TPST better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Nuvalent, Inc.
(NUVL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 09), +446. 1% 10Y return). Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. (TPST) carries a higher beta of 1. 70 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NUVL: +446. 1%, TPST: -99. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between NUVL and KROS and TPST?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NUVL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KROS is a small-cap high-growth stock; TPST is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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