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RXO vs CHRW vs FWRD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Integrated Freight & Logistics
RXO vs CHRW vs FWRD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Trucking | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $3.81B | $20.33B | $547M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.31B | $16.20B | $2.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-69M | $599M | $-91M |
| Gross Margin | 17.5% | 8.3% | 23.1% |
| Operating Margin | -0.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Forward P/E | — | 27.9x | — |
| Total Debt | $861M | $1.63B | $2.16B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $18M | $161M | $106M |
RXO vs CHRW vs FWRD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| RXO, Inc. (RXO) | 100 | 110.2 | +10.2% |
| C.H. Robinson World… (CHRW) | 100 | 175.4 | +75.4% |
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 16.4 | -83.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RXO vs CHRW vs FWRD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RXO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 26.2%, EPS growth 72.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
- 26.2% revenue growth vs CHRW's -8.4%
CHRW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 163.6% 10Y total return vs RXO's 10.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.95, Low D/E 88.3%, current ratio 1.53x
- Beta 0.95, yield 1.4%, current ratio 1.53x
FWRD is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 2.28
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 26.2% revenue growth vs CHRW's -8.4% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.7% margin vs FWRD's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.95 vs RXO's 2.74 | |
| Dividends | 1.4% yield; 5-year raise streak; the other 2 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +98.6% vs FWRD's +0.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.5% ROA vs FWRD's -3.3%, ROIC 18.0% vs 1.2% |
RXO vs CHRW vs FWRD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
RXO vs CHRW vs FWRD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CHRW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CHRW is the larger business by revenue, generating $16.2B annually — 6.6x FWRD's $2.5B. CHRW is the more profitable business, keeping 3.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRD's -3.7%. On growth, CHRW holds the edge at -0.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.3B | $16.2B | $2.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $77M | $896M | $206M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$69M | $599M | -$91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $9M | $858M | $38M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +17.5% | +8.3% | +23.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.2% | +4.9% | +2.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -1.6% | +3.7% | -3.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.2% | +5.3% | +1.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -99.9% | -0.8% | -5.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -16.7% | +9.9% | +35.1% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — RXO and FWRD each lead in 2 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FWRD's 13.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than RXO's 42.7x.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.8B | $20.3B | $547M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.7B | $21.8B | $2.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -39.24x | 35.48x | -4.98x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 27.86x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 6.62x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 42.72x | 24.28x | 13.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.66x | 1.25x | 0.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.53x | 11.28x | 3.32x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 22.72x | 35.82x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CHRW leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CHRW delivers a 33.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $-53 for FWRD. RXO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.56x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FWRD's 13.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CHRW scores 7/9 vs FWRD's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -5.9% | +33.3% | -52.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -2.9% | +11.5% | -3.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.2% | +18.0% | +1.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.3% | +25.6% | +1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.56x | 0.88x | 13.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $843M | $1.5B | $2.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $18M | $161M | $106M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $861M | $1.6B | $2.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -3.15x | 6.27x | 0.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CHRW leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CHRW five years ago would be worth $18,412 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,978 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, CHRW leads with a +98.6% total return vs FWRD's +0.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CHRW at 20.2% vs FWRD's -42.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +80.3% | +5.1% | -31.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +78.2% | +98.6% | +0.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +19.6% | +73.6% | -81.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +10.2% | +84.1% | -80.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +10.2% | +163.6% | -47.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.2% | +20.2% | -42.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — RXO and CHRW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CHRW is the less volatile stock with a 0.95 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RXO's 2.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. RXO currently trades 99.4% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 53.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.74x | 0.95x | 2.28x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.29 | $203.34 | $32.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.43 | $86.58 | $14.81 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.4% | +84.3% | +53.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.5 | 42.9 | 42.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 1.7M | 733K |
Analyst Outlook
FWRD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: RXO as "Hold", CHRW as "Hold", FWRD as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 113.5% upside for FWRD (target: $37) vs -30.9% for RXO (target: $16). CHRW is the only dividend payer here at 1.45% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.00 | $187.38 | $37.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 46 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 5 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.48 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +1.7% | +0.2% |
CHRW leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FWRD leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
RXO vs CHRW vs FWRD: Key Questions Answered
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RXO or CHRW or FWRD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, RXO, Inc.
(RXO) is the stronger pick with 26. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 4% for C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW). C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) offers the better valuation at 35. 5x trailing P/E (27. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate RXO, Inc. (RXO) a "Hold" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — RXO or CHRW or FWRD?
Over the past 5 years, C.
H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) delivered a total return of +84. 1%, compared to -80. 2% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CHRW returned +163. 6% versus FWRD's -47. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — RXO or CHRW or FWRD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), C.
H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 95β versus RXO, Inc. 's 2. 74β — meaning RXO is approximately 188% more volatile than CHRW relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, RXO, Inc. (RXO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 56% versus 13% for Forward Air Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — RXO or CHRW or FWRD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), RXO, Inc.
(RXO) is pulling ahead at 26. 2% versus -8. 4% for C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forward Air Corporation grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to 25. 1% for C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRD leads at 14. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — RXO or CHRW or FWRD?
C.
H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 6% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps 3. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CHRW leads at 4. 9% versus -0. 1% for RXO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FWRD leads at 20. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is RXO or CHRW or FWRD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRD: 113.
5% to $37. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — RXO or CHRW or FWRD?
In this comparison, CHRW (1.
4% yield) pays a dividend. RXO, FWRD do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is RXO or CHRW or FWRD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, C.
H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 95), 1. 4% yield, +163. 6% 10Y return). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CHRW: +163. 6%, FWRD: -47. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between RXO and CHRW and FWRD?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: RXO is a small-cap high-growth stock; CHRW is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; FWRD is a small-cap quality compounder stock. CHRW pays a dividend while RXO, FWRD do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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