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SMSI vs GFAI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Security & Protection Services
SMSI vs GFAI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Security & Protection Services |
| Market Cap | $17M | $10M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $17M | $72M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-28M | $-24M |
| Gross Margin | 75.5% | 15.1% |
| Operating Margin | -154.8% | -27.4% |
| Total Debt | $2M | $3M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1M | $22M |
SMSI vs GFAI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smith Micro Softwar… (SMSI) | 100 | 1.7 | -98.3% |
| Guardforce AI Co., … (GFAI) | 100 | 0.5 | -99.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SMSI vs GFAI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SMSI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.48, yield 4.4%
- -96.5% 10Y total return vs GFAI's -99.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.48, Low D/E 12.7%, current ratio 0.74x
GFAI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 0.2%, EPS growth 88.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.6%
- 0.2% revenue growth vs SMSI's -15.5%
- -32.9% margin vs SMSI's -165.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.2% revenue growth vs SMSI's -15.5% | |
| Quality / Margins | -32.9% margin vs SMSI's -165.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.48 vs GFAI's 2.31 | |
| Dividends | 4.4% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -19.8% vs GFAI's -53.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -50.2% ROA vs SMSI's -104.4%, ROIC -41.6% vs -48.3% |
SMSI vs GFAI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
SMSI vs GFAI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GFAI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GFAI is the larger business by revenue, generating $72M annually — 4.3x SMSI's $17M. GFAI is the more profitable business, keeping -32.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SMSI's -165.4%. On growth, GFAI holds the edge at +3.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $17M | $72M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$21M | -$12M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$28M | -$24M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$10M | -$6M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +75.5% | +15.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -154.8% | -27.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -165.4% | -32.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -61.3% | -8.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.7% | +3.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +64.3% | +38.9% |
Valuation Metrics
GFAI leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $17M | $10M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $18M | -$9M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.58x | -0.89x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.00x | 0.28x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.94x | 0.16x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GFAI leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GFAI delivers a -69.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-70 in annual profit, vs $-142 for SMSI. GFAI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SMSI's 0.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GFAI scores 6/9 vs SMSI's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -141.9% | -69.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -104.4% | -50.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -48.3% | -41.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -62.8% | -19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 0.08x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $844,000 | -$19M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1M | $22M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2M | $3M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -7.39x | -167.24x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SMSI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SMSI five years ago would be worth $207 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $46 for GFAI. Over the past 12 months, SMSI leads with a -19.8% total return vs GFAI's -53.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SMSI at -56.7% vs GFAI's -60.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +53.2% | -26.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -19.8% | -53.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -91.9% | -93.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -97.9% | -99.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -96.5% | -99.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -56.7% | -60.4% |
Risk & Volatility
SMSI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SMSI is the less volatile stock with a 1.48 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GFAI's 2.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SMSI currently trades 64.8% from its 52-week high vs GFAI's 31.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.48x | 2.31x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $1.30 | $1.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.43 | $0.38 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.8% | +31.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 66.7 | 47.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 310K | 378K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
SMSI is the only dividend payer here at 4.43% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.04 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
GFAI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SMSI leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility).
SMSI vs GFAI: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SMSI or GFAI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Guardforce AI Co.
, Limited (GFAI) is the stronger pick with 0. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -15. 5% for Smith Micro Software, Inc. (SMSI). The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — SMSI or GFAI?
Over the past 5 years, Smith Micro Software, Inc.
(SMSI) delivered a total return of -97. 9%, compared to -99. 5% for Guardforce AI Co. , Limited (GFAI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SMSI returned -96. 5% versus GFAI's -99. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — SMSI or GFAI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Smith Micro Software, Inc.
(SMSI) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 48β versus Guardforce AI Co. , Limited's 2. 31β — meaning GFAI is approximately 56% more volatile than SMSI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Guardforce AI Co. , Limited (GFAI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 13% for Smith Micro Software, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — SMSI or GFAI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Guardforce AI Co.
, Limited (GFAI) is pulling ahead at 0. 2% versus -15. 5% for Smith Micro Software, Inc. (SMSI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Guardforce AI Co. , Limited grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to 62. 9% for Smith Micro Software, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GFAI leads at 1. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — SMSI or GFAI?
Guardforce AI Co.
, Limited (GFAI) is the more profitable company, earning -16. 1% net margin versus -173. 3% for Smith Micro Software, Inc. — meaning it keeps -16. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GFAI leads at -18. 5% versus -110. 8% for SMSI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SMSI leads at 74. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — SMSI or GFAI?
In this comparison, SMSI (4.
4% yield) pays a dividend. GFAI does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is SMSI or GFAI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Smith Micro Software, Inc.
(SMSI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (4. 4% yield). Guardforce AI Co. , Limited (GFAI) carries a higher beta of 2. 31 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SMSI: -96. 5%, GFAI: -99. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between SMSI and GFAI?
These companies operate in different sectors (SMSI (Technology) and GFAI (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: SMSI is a small-cap income-oriented stock; GFAI is a small-cap quality compounder stock. SMSI pays a dividend while GFAI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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