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TKO vs MSGS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Entertainment
TKO vs MSGS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Entertainment | Entertainment |
| Market Cap | $36.50B | $8.00B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.06B | $1.07B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $385M | $-17M |
| Gross Margin | 34.5% | 25.9% |
| Operating Margin | 20.0% | 0.4% |
| Forward P/E | 38.1x | — |
| Total Debt | $4.06B | $1.18B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $831M | $153M |
TKO vs MSGS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| TKO Group Holdings,… (TKO) | 100 | 405.3 | +305.3% |
| Madison Square Gard… (MSGS) | 100 | 194.9 | +94.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TKO vs MSGS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TKO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.64, yield 1.8%
- Rev growth 68.9%, EPS growth 40.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 60.7%
- 10.6% 10Y total return vs MSGS's 321.1%
MSGS is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.61, current ratio 0.44x
- Beta 0.61 vs TKO's 0.64
- +74.7% vs TKO's +12.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 68.9% revenue growth vs MSGS's 1.2% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.6% margin vs MSGS's -1.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.61 vs TKO's 0.64 | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +74.7% vs TKO's +12.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.5% ROA vs MSGS's -1.1%, ROIC 6.1% vs 1.5% |
TKO vs MSGS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
TKO vs MSGS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TKO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TKO is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.1B annually — 4.7x MSGS's $1.1B. TKO is the more profitable business, keeping 7.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MSGS's -1.5%. On growth, TKO holds the edge at +25.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.1B | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.5B | $8M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $385M | -$17M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.8B | $3M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +34.5% | +25.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +20.0% | +0.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | -1.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +35.0% | +0.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +25.9% | +12.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +62.3% | +6.5% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — TKO and MSGS each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, TKO's 27.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MSGS's 501.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $36.5B | $8.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $39.7B | $9.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 82.98x | -357.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 38.12x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 69.62x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 27.47x | 501.20x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7.71x | 7.70x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.93x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 31.50x | 90.96x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TKO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.1% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | -1.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.1% | +1.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.5% | +1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.44x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.2B | $1.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $831M | $153M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.1B | $1.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 6.00x | 0.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TKO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TKO five years ago would be worth $35,640 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $18,446 for MSGS. Over the past 12 months, MSGS leads with a +74.7% total return vs TKO's +12.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TKO at 22.3% vs MSGS's 17.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.0% | +28.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +12.1% | +74.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +83.0% | +62.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +256.4% | +84.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1060.3% | +321.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +22.3% | +17.6% |
Risk & Volatility
MSGS leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MSGS is the less volatile stock with a 0.61 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TKO's 0.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSGS currently trades 96.2% from its 52-week high vs TKO's 82.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.64x | 0.61x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $226.94 | $345.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $152.29 | $186.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +82.6% | +96.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.5 | 54.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 223K |
Analyst Outlook
TKO leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TKO as "Buy" and MSGS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 26.2% upside for TKO (target: $237) vs 9.4% for MSGS (target: $364). TKO is the only dividend payer here at 1.76% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $236.67 | $363.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.8% | +0.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.30 | $0.03 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.4% | +0.1% |
TKO leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MSGS leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
TKO vs MSGS: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TKO or MSGS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
(TKO) is the stronger pick with 68. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 2% for Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS). TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) offers the better valuation at 83. 0x trailing P/E (38. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — TKO or MSGS?
Over the past 5 years, TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
(TKO) delivered a total return of +256. 4%, compared to +84. 5% for Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TKO returned +1060% versus MSGS's +321. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — TKO or MSGS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.
(MSGS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 61β versus TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 64β — meaning TKO is approximately 5% more volatile than MSGS relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — TKO or MSGS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
(TKO) is pulling ahead at 68. 9% versus 1. 2% for Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TKO Group Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 40. 3% year-over-year, compared to -138. 1% for Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TKO leads at 60. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — TKO or MSGS?
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
(TKO) is the more profitable company, earning 4. 1% net margin versus -2. 2% for Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. — meaning it keeps 4. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TKO leads at 20. 3% versus 1. 4% for MSGS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TKO leads at 49. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is TKO or MSGS more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TKO: 26.
2% to $236. 67.
07Which pays a better dividend — TKO or MSGS?
In this comparison, TKO (1.
8% yield) pays a dividend. MSGS does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is TKO or MSGS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
(TKO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 64), 1. 8% yield, +1060% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TKO: +1060%, MSGS: +321. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between TKO and MSGS?
Both stocks operate in the Communication Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TKO is a mid-cap high-growth stock; MSGS is a small-cap quality compounder stock. TKO pays a dividend while MSGS does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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- Sector: Communication Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Revenue Growth > 6%
- Gross Margin > 15%
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