Financial - Credit Services
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UPST vs LC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Credit Services
UPST vs LC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Credit Services | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $2.74B | $1.96B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.08B | $1.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $49M | $136M |
| Gross Margin | 95.2% | 64.7% |
| Operating Margin | 5.1% | 25.0% |
| Forward P/E | 14.5x | 9.8x |
| Total Debt | $1.85B | $16M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $657M | $918M |
UPST vs LC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upstart Holdings, I… (UPST) | 100 | 70.4 | -29.6% |
| LendingClub Corpora… (LC) | 100 | 161.6 | +61.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: UPST vs LC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
UPST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 58.9%, EPS growth 131.3%
- -2.7% 10Y total return vs LC's -51.9%
- 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs LC's 15.0%
LC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.36
- Lower volatility, beta 2.36, Low D/E 1.1%, current ratio 466.38x
- Beta 2.36, current ratio 466.38x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs LC's 15.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.8x vs 14.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs UPST's 0.9% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.36 vs UPST's 2.96, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +70.6% vs UPST's -44.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs UPST's 0.9% |
UPST vs LC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
UPST vs LC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LC leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LC and UPST operate at a comparable scale, with $1.3B and $1.1B in trailing revenue. LC is the more profitable business, keeping 10.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to UPST's 5.0%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.1B | $1.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $68M | $287M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $49M | $136M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$146M | -$2.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +95.2% | +64.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.1% | +25.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | +10.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -15.4% | -2.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -169.2% | +3.2% |
Valuation Metrics
LC leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.8x trailing earnings, LC trades at a 77% valuation discount to UPST's 63.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, LC's 2.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than UPST's 49.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.7B | $2.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.9B | $1.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 63.73x | 14.83x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.53x | 9.77x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 4.44x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 49.74x | 2.68x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.55x | 1.47x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.86x | 1.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
LC leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LC delivers a 9.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $7 for UPST. LC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UPST's 2.32x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), LC scores 6/9 vs UPST's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.6% | +9.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.7% | +1.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.7% | +17.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.4% | +3.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.32x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.2B | -$902M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $657M | $918M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.9B | $16M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.66x | 0.67x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LC five years ago would be worth $12,082 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,116 for UPST. Over the past 12 months, LC leads with a +70.6% total return vs UPST's -44.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LC at 35.4% vs UPST's 28.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -37.4% | -10.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -44.2% | +70.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +114.3% | +148.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -68.8% | +20.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.7% | -51.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +28.9% | +35.4% |
Risk & Volatility
LC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LC is the less volatile stock with a 2.36 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UPST's 2.96 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LC currently trades 78.7% from its 52-week high vs UPST's 32.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.96x | 2.36x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $87.30 | $21.67 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $23.96 | $9.70 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +32.9% | +78.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.5 | 57.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.7M | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates UPST as "Buy" and LC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 57.5% upside for UPST (target: $45) vs 33.4% for LC (target: $23).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $45.17 | $22.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 22 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
LC leads in 5 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics.
UPST vs LC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is UPST or LC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is the stronger pick with 58. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 15. 0% for LendingClub Corporation (LC). LendingClub Corporation (LC) offers the better valuation at 14. 8x trailing P/E (9. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — UPST or LC?
On trailing P/E, LendingClub Corporation (LC) is the cheapest at 14.
8x versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. at 63. 7x. On forward P/E, LendingClub Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — UPST or LC?
Over the past 5 years, LendingClub Corporation (LC) delivered a total return of +20.
8%, compared to -68. 8% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: UPST returned -2. 7% versus LC's -51. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — UPST or LC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), LendingClub Corporation (LC) is the lower-risk stock at 2.
36β versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 96β — meaning UPST is approximately 25% more volatile than LC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, LendingClub Corporation (LC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 2% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — UPST or LC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is pulling ahead at 58. 9% versus 15. 0% for LendingClub Corporation (LC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: LendingClub Corporation grew EPS 155. 6% year-over-year, compared to 131. 3% for Upstart Holdings, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — UPST or LC?
LendingClub Corporation (LC) is the more profitable company, earning 10.
2% net margin versus 5. 0% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LC leads at 25. 0% versus 5. 1% for UPST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UPST leads at 95. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is UPST or LC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, LendingClub Corporation (LC) trades at 9.
8x forward P/E versus 14. 5x for Upstart Holdings, Inc. — 4. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UPST: 57. 5% to $45. 17.
08Which pays a better dividend — UPST or LC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is UPST or LC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. LendingClub Corporation (LC) carries a higher beta of 2. 36 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (UPST: -2. 7%, LC: -51. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between UPST and LC?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: UPST is a small-cap high-growth stock; LC is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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