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UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.
$21.89$2.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
UPST logo

Upstart Holdings, Inc.

UPST
NASDAQ · Consumer Finance
$21.89
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$2.1B
P/E42.2x
52W High$52.10
Volume4.57M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Fee-Driven Earnings Mask Negative Net Interest Income Risk

Upstart's reported 2026Q3 net income of $36.6M rests almost entirely on non-interest income of $383.4M, which equals roughly 103.5% of total revenue, while net interest income swung to negative $12.9M and net interest margin fell to -0.4% from 1.7% in 2025Q3.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

UPST price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+254% Peers

P/E is 254% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 26 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 74% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 3

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
UPST-52.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
UPST-41.98%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
UPST-25.29%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.31%
5-Year Return
UPST-93.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.86%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
42.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
40.1x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
31.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
42.2x
105.8x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
31.6x
100.1x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
N/A
93.6x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$4.42-79.8%
Base (Fair)$14.02-36.0%
Bull$5.92-73.0%
$4.42 Bear$14.02 Base$5.92 Bull
Current Market Price: $21.89
Trades at a 56.1% premium to Base DCF ($14.02)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$1.02B+62.8% YoY
Net income FY25
$54M+141.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$166M-194.2% YoY
Operating margin FY25
5.3%+25.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)1.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-1.7%
ROE (TTM)8.1%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 3, 2026
$0.33+63.8%
vs $0.20
$371M+2.2%
vs $363M
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$0.16-10.2%
vs $0.18
$365M+2.8%
vs $355M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
-$0.07-117.6%
vs $0.39
$308M+2.3%
vs $301M
Q1 2026
Feb 10, 2026
$0.46-2.1%
vs $0.47
$296M+2.6%
vs $288M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Upstart Remains Deeply Misunderstood Following The Q3 Print

Upstart Holdings delivered a strong Q3, with revenue up 34% YoY and fee revenue at an all-time high. The upcoming Upstart Bank should not force investors to think of Upstart like a traditional bank for valuation purposes. Upstart, however, cannot be valued like a true software company despite its contribution profit margin of ~60% either.

Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Upstart: Falling Knife Risks Meet Resilient, Fee-Based Monetization Opportunities

Elevated default risks and higher funding costs have contributed to Upstart's impacted loan originations and lowered FY2026 guidance. Even so, the fee-based revenue model (98.2% in FQ3'26) and growing third-party funding (>95% of loans) reduce their capital risks while supporting their future resilience. The launch of Upstart Bank in early 2027 is expected to offload balance sheet loans, leverage brokered deposits, and improve their capital efficiency/net interest incomes.

24/7 Wall Street·3d ago
Upstart Is Still Down 46% This Year: Did Today Just Mark the Bottom for UPST Stock?

One day after a quarter that coupled record profits with a weaker outlook, an AI-driven consumer lender is getting a sharp relief rally. Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ:UPST) shares trade at $23.63 this afternoon, up 11%.

Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
UPST Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Macro Risks and Revised Outlook

Upstart beats Q3 earnings estimates and achieves record fee revenues, but rising credit risks and funding costs prompt a 2026 outlook cut despite lending gains.

Filtered for Upstart Holdings, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark UPST against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
UPST logoUPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.Current
$21.89$2.1B42.1762.84%4.93%8.1%—
HAPN logoHAPNHappen, Inc. Common Stock
$15.96$1.84B8.9114.97%15.88%13.62%—
SOFI logoSOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.
$16.21$20.79B29.8338.32%15.6%6.76%—
AFRM logoAFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc.
$68.11$22.69B11.9022.48%44.6%43.38%—
OPRT logoOPRTOportun Financial Corporation
$11.31$519.16M15.5037.48%7.39%9.15%—
TREE logoTREELendingTree, Inc.
$37.01$516.4M5.2422.72%7.82%34.02%—

Compare UPST vs Peers

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs HAPN

Most directly comparable listed peer for UPST.

Scale Benchmark

vs COF

Larger-name benchmark to compare UPST against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs HAPN, SOFI, AFRM, OPRT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

UPST SEC Filings & Documents

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 10, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 14, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

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UPST Frequently Asked Questions

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Upstart Holdings, Inc. growing?

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) grew revenue by 37.6% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is UPST profitable?

Yes. Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) earned $65.1M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 4.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is UPST's return on equity?

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) had a return on equity (ROE) of 8.1% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s net interest margin?

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 5.1%. This indicates healthy earnings from lending activities.

What is Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) has an efficiency ratio of 94.7%. This is higher than peers, suggesting room for cost optimization.

What if you invested $1,000 in UPST back in 2018?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 8+ years of data

See returns →