Financial - Credit Services
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UPST vs SOFI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Credit Services
UPST vs SOFI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Credit Services | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $2.74B | $20.79B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.08B | $4.77B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $49M | $481M |
| Gross Margin | 95.2% | 75.1% |
| Operating Margin | 5.1% | 11.0% |
| Forward P/E | 14.5x | 27.0x |
| Total Debt | $1.85B | $1.82B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $657M | $4.93B |
UPST vs SOFI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upstart Holdings, I… (UPST) | 100 | 70.4 | -29.6% |
| SoFi Technologies, … (SOFI) | 100 | 131.0 | +31.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: UPST vs SOFI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
UPST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and bank quality.
- Rev growth 58.9%, EPS growth 131.3%
- NIM 5.1% vs SOFI's 4.4%
- 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs SOFI's 28.8%
SOFI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.54
- 55.5% 10Y total return vs UPST's -2.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.54, Low D/E 17.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs SOFI's 28.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.5x vs 27.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.6% vs UPST's 0.9% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.54 vs UPST's 2.96, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +28.0% vs UPST's -44.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.6% vs UPST's 0.9% |
UPST vs SOFI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
UPST vs SOFI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SOFI leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SOFI is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.8B annually — 4.4x UPST's $1.1B. SOFI is the more profitable business, keeping 10.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to UPST's 5.0%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.1B | $4.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $68M | $760M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $49M | $481M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$146M | -$2.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +95.2% | +75.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.1% | +11.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | +10.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -15.4% | -83.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -169.2% | -56.7% |
Valuation Metrics
SOFI leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 41.8x trailing earnings, SOFI trades at a 34% valuation discount to UPST's 63.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SOFI's 23.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than UPST's 49.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.7B | $20.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.9B | $17.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 63.73x | 41.79x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.53x | 26.95x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 4.44x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 49.74x | 23.25x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.55x | 4.36x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.86x | 1.95x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
UPST leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UPST delivers a 6.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $6 for SOFI. SOFI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UPST's 2.32x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UPST scores 5/9 vs SOFI's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.6% | +5.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.7% | +3.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.32x | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.2B | -$3.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $657M | $4.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.9B | $1.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.66x | 0.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SOFI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SOFI five years ago would be worth $10,867 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,116 for UPST. Over the past 12 months, SOFI leads with a +28.0% total return vs UPST's -44.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SOFI at 43.9% vs UPST's 28.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -37.4% | -40.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -44.2% | +28.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +114.3% | +198.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -68.8% | +8.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.7% | +55.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +28.9% | +43.9% |
Risk & Volatility
SOFI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SOFI is the less volatile stock with a 2.54 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UPST's 2.96 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SOFI currently trades 49.8% from its 52-week high vs UPST's 32.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.96x | 2.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $87.30 | $32.73 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $23.96 | $12.44 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +32.9% | +49.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.5 | 39.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.7M | 66.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates UPST as "Buy" and SOFI as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 57.5% upside for UPST (target: $45) vs 28.2% for SOFI (target: $21).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $45.17 | $20.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 22 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.3% |
SOFI leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). UPST leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency).
UPST vs SOFI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is UPST or SOFI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is the stronger pick with 58. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 28. 8% for SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI). SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) offers the better valuation at 41. 8x trailing P/E (27. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — UPST or SOFI?
On trailing P/E, SoFi Technologies, Inc.
(SOFI) is the cheapest at 41. 8x versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. at 63. 7x. On forward P/E, Upstart Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 14. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — UPST or SOFI?
Over the past 5 years, SoFi Technologies, Inc.
(SOFI) delivered a total return of +8. 7%, compared to -68. 8% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SOFI returned +55. 5% versus UPST's -2. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — UPST or SOFI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), SoFi Technologies, Inc.
(SOFI) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 54β versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 96β — meaning UPST is approximately 16% more volatile than SOFI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 17% versus 2% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — UPST or SOFI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is pulling ahead at 58. 9% versus 28. 8% for SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Upstart Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 131. 3% year-over-year, compared to 0. 0% for SoFi Technologies, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — UPST or SOFI?
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
(SOFI) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 1% net margin versus 5. 0% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SOFI leads at 11. 0% versus 5. 1% for UPST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UPST leads at 95. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is UPST or SOFI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) trades at 14. 5x forward P/E versus 27. 0x for SoFi Technologies, Inc. — 12. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UPST: 57. 5% to $45. 17.
08Which pays a better dividend — UPST or SOFI?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is UPST or SOFI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, SoFi Technologies, Inc.
(SOFI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) carries a higher beta of 2. 96 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SOFI: +55. 5%, UPST: -2. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between UPST and SOFI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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