Industrial - Distribution
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WSO vs MSM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Industrial - Distribution
WSO vs MSM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Distribution | Industrial - Distribution |
| Market Cap | $17.10B | $5.75B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.24B | $3.81B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $496M | $205M |
| Gross Margin | 28.4% | 40.7% |
| Operating Margin | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Forward P/E | 33.4x | 23.7x |
| Total Debt | $479M | $539M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $433M | $56M |
WSO vs MSM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watsco, Inc. (WSO) | 100 | 236.5 | +136.5% |
| MSC Industrial Dire… (MSM) | 100 | 148.6 | +48.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: WSO vs MSM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
WSO is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 276.6% 10Y total return vs MSM's 86.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.10, Low D/E 14.9%, current ratio 4.12x
- 6.8% margin vs MSM's 5.4%
MSM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.86, yield 3.3%
- Rev growth -1.3%, EPS growth -22.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 0.7%
- Beta 0.86, yield 3.3%, current ratio 1.68x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.3% revenue growth vs WSO's -5.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (23.7x vs 33.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.8% margin vs MSM's 5.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.86 vs WSO's 1.10 | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs MSM's 3.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +37.8% vs WSO's -9.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.8% ROA vs MSM's 8.2%, ROIC 16.6% vs 12.3% |
WSO vs MSM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
WSO vs MSM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — WSO and MSM each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WSO is the larger business by revenue, generating $7.2B annually — 1.9x MSM's $3.8B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 6.8% (WSO) to 5.4% (MSM). On growth, MSM holds the edge at +4.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $7.2B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $757M | $414M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $496M | $205M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $702M | $167M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +28.4% | +40.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.8% | +8.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.8% | +5.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.7% | +4.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.1% | +12.0% |
Valuation Metrics
MSM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 28.9x trailing earnings, MSM trades at a 16% valuation discount to WSO's 34.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MSM's 15.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than WSO's 23.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $17.1B | $5.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $17.1B | $6.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 34.34x | 28.85x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 33.37x | 23.69x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.91x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 23.29x | 15.43x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.36x | 1.52x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.95x | 4.12x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 31.94x | 23.86x |
Profitability & Efficiency
WSO leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
WSO delivers a 15.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $15 for MSM. WSO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.15x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MSM's 0.39x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +15.3% | +14.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.8% | +8.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.6% | +12.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +19.0% | +17.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.15x | 0.39x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $46M | $483M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $433M | $56M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $479M | $539M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 12.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
WSO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in WSO five years ago would be worth $15,861 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,864 for MSM. Over the past 12 months, MSM leads with a +37.8% total return vs WSO's -9.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors WSO at 10.5% vs MSM's 7.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +22.9% | +22.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -9.6% | +37.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +34.9% | +24.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +58.6% | +28.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +276.6% | +86.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.5% | +7.6% |
Risk & Volatility
MSM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MSM is the less volatile stock with a 0.86 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than WSO's 1.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSM currently trades 98.0% from its 52-week high vs WSO's 84.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.10x | 0.86x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $496.25 | $105.09 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $323.05 | $74.30 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.8% | +98.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.3 | 61.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 452K | 594K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — WSO and MSM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates WSO as "Hold" and MSM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply -5.0% upside for WSO (target: $400) vs -5.1% for MSM (target: $98). For income investors, MSM offers the higher dividend yield at 3.29% vs WSO's 2.97%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $399.80 | $97.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.0% | +3.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $12.50 | $3.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +0.7% |
MSM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility). WSO leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
WSO vs MSM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is WSO or MSM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MSC Industrial Direct Co.
, Inc. (MSM) is the stronger pick with -1. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 0% for Watsco, Inc. (WSO). MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. (MSM) offers the better valuation at 28. 9x trailing P/E (23. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Watsco, Inc. (WSO) a "Hold" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — WSO or MSM?
On trailing P/E, MSC Industrial Direct Co.
, Inc. (MSM) is the cheapest at 28. 9x versus Watsco, Inc. at 34. 3x. On forward P/E, MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. is actually cheaper at 23. 7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — WSO or MSM?
Over the past 5 years, Watsco, Inc.
(WSO) delivered a total return of +58. 6%, compared to +28. 6% for MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. (MSM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: WSO returned +276. 6% versus MSM's +86. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — WSO or MSM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), MSC Industrial Direct Co.
, Inc. (MSM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 86β versus Watsco, Inc. 's 1. 10β — meaning WSO is approximately 29% more volatile than MSM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Watsco, Inc. (WSO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 15% versus 39% for MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — WSO or MSM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MSC Industrial Direct Co.
, Inc. (MSM) is pulling ahead at -1. 3% versus -5. 0% for Watsco, Inc. (WSO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Watsco, Inc. grew EPS -7. 9% year-over-year, compared to -22. 1% for MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MSM leads at 0. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — WSO or MSM?
Watsco, Inc.
(WSO) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 9% net margin versus 5. 3% for MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. — meaning it keeps 6. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: WSO leads at 9. 6% versus 8. 3% for MSM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSM leads at 40. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is WSO or MSM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, MSC Industrial Direct Co.
, Inc. (MSM) trades at 23. 7x forward P/E versus 33. 4x for Watsco, Inc. — 9. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for WSO: -5. 0% to $399. 80.
08Which pays a better dividend — WSO or MSM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. (MSM) offers the highest yield at 3. 3%, versus 3. 0% for Watsco, Inc. (WSO).
09Is WSO or MSM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MSC Industrial Direct Co.
, Inc. (MSM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 86), 3. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MSM: +86. 2%, WSO: +276. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between WSO and MSM?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: WSO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; MSM is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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