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MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
$121.37$6.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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MSM logo

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

MSM
NYSE · Industrial Distribution
$121.37
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$6.78B
P/E34.0x
52W High$130.46
Volume827.4K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Margin Resilience Masks Structural Demand Cyclicality

MSC Industrial Direct's investment case hinges on its ability to navigate a prolonged manufacturing downturn while defending margins. The company has maintained gross margins near 41% despite five consecutive quarters of revenue decline, but operating leverage...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MSM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 80 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 80% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 1
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue declined 1.3% year-over-year in 2026Q3, yet gross margin held at 41.1%, though operating margin compressed to 10.2% from an 11.4% peak in 2024Q3 due to SG&A growth outpacing sales.

Analyst Consensus+19.5% target
Hold(29 analysts)
10 Buy18 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong valuation metrics

MSM's trailing and forward P/E ratios indicate a reasonable valuation, with trailing P/E at 22.75 and forward P/E at 19.42, suggesting potential upside.

Bullish analyst coverage

Multiple bullish theses from reputable sources like Quality Value Investing and FluentInQuality highlight investor confidence in MSM's growth prospects.

Efficient logistics solutions

MSC provides robust processes for transporting hazardous goods and offers an online tracking system, enhancing operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MSM+44.43%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
MSM+37.42%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
MSM+38.36%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+78.64%
5-Year Return
MSM+72.12%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.80%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
34.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
26.2x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
18.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
34.0x
18.0x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
18.0x
10.9x
100th· High
Price/FCF
28.1x
20.9x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$48.04-60.4%
Base (Fair)$95.06-22.2%
Bull$127.22+4.8%
$48.04 Bear$95.06 Base$127.22 Bull
Current Market Price: $121.37
Trades at a 27.7% premium to Base DCF ($95.06)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$3.77B-1.3% YoY
Net income
$199M-22.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$241M-22.6% YoY
Operating margin
8.3%-2.3 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)12.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)14.2%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 1, 2026
$1.43+11.7%
vs $1.28
$1.0B+1.4%
vs $1.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 1, 2026
$0.82-2.0%
vs $0.84
$918M-1.5%
vs $932M
Q1 2026
Jan 7, 2026
$0.99+4.2%
vs $0.95
$966M+0.3%
vs $963M
Q4 2025
Oct 23, 2025
$1.09+6.9%
vs $1.02
$978M+1.4%
vs $964M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 9, 2026
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Presents at Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026 Transcript

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Presents at Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026 Transcript

Accesswire·Sep 8, 2026
MSC Industrial Supply Co. Has Named Rob Kuhns Chief Financial Officer

MELVILLE, NY AND DAVIDSON, NC / ACCESS Newswire / September 8, 2026 / MSC INDUSTRIAL SUPPLY CO. (NYSE:MSM) ("MSC," "MSC Industrial," the "Company," "we," "us," or "our"), a leading North American distributor of a broad range of metalworking and maintenance, repair and operations (MRO) products and services, today announced that it has named Rob Kuhns to the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 4, 2026
5 Industrial Services Stocks to Consider Despite Industry Challenges

Despite a weak near-term outlook for the Zacks Industrial Services industry, GWW, FAST, MSM, GIC and BOOM are navigating the challenges effectively.

Accesswire·Sep 3, 2026
MSC Industrial Supply Co. to Attend Jefferies Global Industrials Conference

MELVILLE, NY AND DAVIDSON, NC / ACCESS Newswire / September 3, 2026 / MSC INDUSTRIAL SUPPLY CO. (NYSE:MSM), a leading North American distributor of a broad range of metalworking and maintenance, repair and operations (MRO) products and services, announced today that they will attend the 2026 Jefferies Global Industrials Conference in New York City.

Filtered for MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MSM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MSM logoMSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.Current
$121.37$6.78B34.00-1.35%5.29%14.25%2.8%
GWW logoGWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.
$1268.62$59.9B35.844.51%9.92%44.11%—
FAST logoFASTFastenal Company
$50.08$57.47B45.958.67%15.46%34.03%—
SITE logoSITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$94.39$4.18B28.013.62%3.41%9.66%—
WSO logoWSOWatsco, Inc.
$325.58$13.41B26.58-4.98%6.53%14.4%—
DNOW logoDNOWDnow Inc.
$15.56$2.84B-20.7518.84%-4.58%-9.75%—

Compare MSM vs Peers

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GWW

Most directly comparable listed peer for MSM.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare MSM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GWW, FAST, SITE, WSO

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MSM SEC Filings & Documents

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 16, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 15, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2025

Oct 23, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Oct 24, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jan 7, 2026·SEC

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MSM Frequently Asked Questions

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s revenue?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) reported $3.91B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1180% increase from $305.3M in 1996.

How fast is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. growing?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) saw revenue decline by 1.3% over the past year.

Is MSM profitable?

Yes, MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) is profitable, generating $230.5M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (5.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MSM pay dividends?

Yes, MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.80%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is MSM's return on equity?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) has a return on equity (ROE) of 14.2%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s free cash flow?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) generated $219.9M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in MSM back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →