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MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
$113.27$6.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
MSM logo

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

MSM
NYSE · Industrial Distribution
$113.27
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$6.33B
P/E28.5x
52W High$133.95
Volume943.85K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Revenue Reacceleration Masks Structural Margin Erosion

MSM's revenue has reaccelerated to 10.3% YoY growth in 2026Q4, yet operating margin has compressed from 11.4% in 2024Q3 to 6.1% and EPS declined 15.8% in the same period, suggesting the recovery is being achieved at structurally lower profitability and warranting further investigation into growth quality.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MSM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 68 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 68)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated from -8.0% to +10.3% YoY across ten quarters while operating margin simultaneously compressed from 11.4% to 6.1%, indicating the top-line recovery is not translating into earnings, as evidenced by the 15.8% EPS decline in 2026Q4.

Analyst Consensus+28.1% target
Hold(29 analysts)
12 Buy17 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong valuation metrics

MSM's trailing and forward P/E ratios indicate a reasonable valuation, with trailing P/E at 22.75 and forward P/E at 19.42, suggesting potential upside.

Bullish analyst coverage

Multiple bullish theses from reputable sources like Quality Value Investing and FluentInQuality highlight investor confidence in MSM's growth prospects.

Efficient logistics solutions

MSC provides robust processes for transporting hazardous goods and offers an online tracking system, enhancing operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MSM+35.00%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
MSM+36.41%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
MSM+26.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.68%
5-Year Return
MSM+51.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+59.63%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
28.5x
Forward P/EExpansion
24.4x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
16.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
28.5x
18.0x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
16.1x
10.9x
80th· High
Price/FCF
28.1x
20.9x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$47.17-58.4%
Base (Fair)$93.09-17.8%
Bull$120.77+6.6%
$47.17 Bear$93.09 Base$120.77 Bull
Current Market Price: $113.27
Trades at a 21.7% premium to Base DCF ($93.09)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$4.01B+6.4% YoY
Net income FY26
$223M+11.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
$225M-6.5% YoY
Operating margin FY26
8%-0.3 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)12.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y15.1%
ROE (TTM)15.9%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 22, 2026
$1.45+2.8%
vs $1.41
$1.1B+0.6%
vs $1.1B
Q3 2026
Jul 1, 2026
$1.43+11.7%
vs $1.28
$1.0B+1.4%
vs $1.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 1, 2026
$0.82-2.0%
vs $0.84
$918M-1.5%
vs $932M
Q1 2026
Jan 7, 2026
$0.99+4.2%
vs $0.95
$966M+0.3%
vs $963M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Oct 26, 2026
Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for October 26th

HIPO, CAKE and MSM made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list on October 26th, 2026.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 26, 2026
New Strong Buy Stocks for October 26th

MSLOY, FANUY, GPRE, HIPO and MSM have been added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List on October 26th, 2026.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 26, 2026
Best Income Stocks to Buy for October 26th

MSM, MSLOY and FANUY made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) income stocks list on October 26th, 2026.

24/7 Wall Street·Oct 23, 2026
Fastenal vs. Grainger vs.

Fastenal, Grainger, and MSC Industrial all profit from the same factory supply chain, but the dividend each pays comes with a very different tradeoff between yield, safety, and growth potential.

Filtered for MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MSM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MSM logoMSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.Current
$113.27$6.33B28.496.37%5.55%15.86%3.06%
GWW logoGWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.
$1440.70$68.02B31.374.51%11.17%48.78%0.68%
FAST logoFASTFastenal Company
$52.99$60.81B42.978.67%15.62%35.13%1.65%
SITE logoSITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$112.71$4.99B29.473.62%3.49%9.98%—
WSO logoWSOWatsco, Inc.
$304.34$12.54B24.99-4.98%6.31%13.97%4.11%
DNOW logoDNOWDnow Inc.
$13.27$2.42B-12.9818.84%-3.89%-8.64%—

Compare MSM vs Peers

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GWW

Most directly comparable listed peer for MSM.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare MSM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GWW, FAST, SITE, WSO

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MSM SEC Filings & Documents

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 14, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 23, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Oct 24, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jan 7, 2026·SEC

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MSM Frequently Asked Questions

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s revenue?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) reported $4.01B in revenue in fiscal year 2026, which is also its trailing twelve months. That is 815% more than the $438.0M of fiscal year 1997.

How fast is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. growing?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) grew revenue by 6.4% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is MSM profitable?

Yes. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) earned $222.6M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 5.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MSM pay dividends?

Yes. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) pays a dividend that yields 3.06% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is MSM's return on equity?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) had a return on equity (ROE) of 15.9% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s free cash flow?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) generated $225.2M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in MSM back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →