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AA vs NEM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
AA vs NEM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aluminum | Gold |
| Market Cap | $16.38B | $127.53B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.74B | $17.23B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.15B | $5.26B |
| Gross Margin | 13.6% | 52.1% |
| Operating Margin | 7.6% | 49.3% |
| Forward P/E | 9.1x | 11.0x |
| Total Debt | $1M | $474M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.60B | $7.65B |
AA vs NEM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoa Corporation (AA) | 100 | 686.8 | +586.8% |
| Newmont Corporation (NEM) | 100 | 196.9 | +96.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AA vs NEM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AA is the clearest fit if your priority is value and momentum.
- Lower P/E (9.1x vs 11.0x)
- +156.1% vs NEM's +112.6%
NEM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.75, yield 0.9%
- Rev growth 19.1%, EPS growth 124.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.7%
- 271.4% 10Y total return vs AA's 188.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.1% revenue growth vs AA's 4.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.1x vs 11.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.5% margin vs AA's 9.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.75 vs AA's 1.77 | |
| Dividends | 0.9% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AA's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +156.1% vs NEM's +112.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.4% ROA vs AA's 7.1%, ROIC 24.9% vs 12.7% |
AA vs NEM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AA vs NEM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM and AA operate at a comparable scale, with $17.2B and $12.7B in trailing revenue. NEM is the more profitable business, keeping 30.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AA's 9.0%. On growth, AA holds the edge at -13.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.7B | $17.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.6B | $12.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $5.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $567M | $12.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +13.6% | +52.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | +49.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.0% | +30.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | +75.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -13.3% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.8% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.2x trailing earnings, AA trades at a 21% valuation discount to NEM's 18.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NEM's 9.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AA's 9.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $16.4B | $127.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $14.8B | $120.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.25x | 17.96x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.07x | 11.05x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.40x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.27x | 9.17x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.29x | 5.77x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.68x | 3.75x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.89x | 17.47x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NEM leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AA delivers a 18.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $16 for NEM. AA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NEM's 0.01x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NEM scores 9/9 vs AA's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +15.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.1% | +9.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.7% | +24.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.4% | +20.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$1.6B | -$7.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.6B | $7.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1M | $474M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.85x | 50.54x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NEM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NEM five years ago would be worth $18,360 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,307 for AA. Over the past 12 months, AA leads with a +156.1% total return vs NEM's +112.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NEM at 34.9% vs AA's 20.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.0% | +14.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +156.1% | +112.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +75.0% | +145.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +63.1% | +83.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +188.8% | +271.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +20.5% | +34.9% |
Risk & Volatility
NEM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NEM is the less volatile stock with a 0.75 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AA's 1.77 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.77x | 0.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $75.70 | $134.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $24.15 | $48.27 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.6% | +85.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.8 | 46.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.5M | 9.2M |
Analyst Outlook
NEM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AA as "Buy" and NEM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 19.5% upside for NEM (target: $138) vs 8.8% for AA (target: $69). For income investors, NEM offers the higher dividend yield at 0.87% vs AA's 0.62%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $68.80 | $137.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 42 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.6% | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.39 | $1.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.8% |
NEM leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AA leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
AA vs NEM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AA or NEM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger pick with 19.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 5% for Alcoa Corporation (AA). Alcoa Corporation (AA) offers the better valuation at 14. 2x trailing P/E (9. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Alcoa Corporation (AA) a "Buy" — based on 42 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AA or NEM?
On trailing P/E, Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the cheapest at 14.
2x versus Newmont Corporation at 18. 0x. On forward P/E, Alcoa Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AA or NEM?
Over the past 5 years, Newmont Corporation (NEM) delivered a total return of +83.
6%, compared to +63. 1% for Alcoa Corporation (AA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NEM returned +271. 4% versus AA's +188. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AA or NEM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
75β versus Alcoa Corporation's 1. 77β — meaning AA is approximately 135% more volatile than NEM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 1% for Newmont Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AA or NEM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is pulling ahead at 19.
1% versus 4. 5% for Alcoa Corporation (AA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alcoa Corporation grew EPS 1486% year-over-year, compared to 124. 1% for Newmont Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, NEM leads at 22. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AA or NEM?
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the more profitable company, earning 32.
1% net margin versus 9. 0% for Alcoa Corporation — meaning it keeps 32. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NEM leads at 46. 9% versus 7. 6% for AA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NEM leads at 49. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AA or NEM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Alcoa Corporation (AA) trades at 9.
1x forward P/E versus 11. 0x for Newmont Corporation — 2. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NEM: 19. 5% to $137. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — AA or NEM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Newmont Corporation (NEM) offers the highest yield at 0. 9%, versus 0. 6% for Alcoa Corporation (AA).
09Is AA or NEM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
75), 0. 9% yield, +271. 4% 10Y return). Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a higher beta of 1. 77 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NEM: +271. 4%, AA: +188. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AA and NEM?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AA is a mid-cap deep-value stock; NEM is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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