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AA vs NEM vs KALU vs FCX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
Aluminum
Copper
AA vs NEM vs KALU vs FCX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aluminum | Gold | Aluminum | Copper |
| Market Cap | $16.22B | $125.72B | $2.86B | $87.11B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.74B | $17.23B | $3.70B | $26.42B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.15B | $5.26B | $153M | $2.73B |
| Gross Margin | 13.6% | 52.1% | 10.2% | 27.8% |
| Operating Margin | 7.6% | 49.3% | 6.6% | 27.8% |
| Forward P/E | 9.0x | 10.9x | 18.7x | 22.4x |
| Total Debt | $1M | $474M | $1.12B | $11.50B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.60B | $7.65B | $7M | $3.35B |
AA vs NEM vs KALU vs FCX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoa Corporation (AA) | 100 | 680.0 | +580.0% |
| Newmont Corporation (NEM) | 100 | 194.1 | +94.1% |
| Kaiser Aluminum Cor… (KALU) | 100 | 245.5 | +145.5% |
| Freeport-McMoRan In… (FCX) | 100 | 668.2 | +568.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AA vs NEM vs KALU vs FCX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AA is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (9.0x vs 22.4x)
NEM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.75, yield 0.9%
- Rev growth 19.1%, EPS growth 124.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.7%
- 293.1% 10Y total return vs FCX's 5.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.75, Low D/E 1.4%, current ratio 1.72x
KALU is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if valuation efficiency and defensive is your priority.
- PEG 0.62 vs NEM's 0.85
- Beta 1.71, yield 1.8%, current ratio 2.95x
- 1.8% yield, vs FCX's 1.0%
- +169.4% vs FCX's +65.3%
FCX lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.1% revenue growth vs FCX's 1.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.0x vs 22.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.5% margin vs KALU's 4.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.75 vs FCX's 1.79, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield, vs FCX's 1.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +169.4% vs FCX's +65.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.4% ROA vs FCX's 4.7%, ROIC 24.9% vs 12.8% |
AA vs NEM vs KALU vs FCX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AA vs NEM vs KALU vs FCX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
NEM leads in 2 of 6 categories
AA leads 1 • KALU leads 1 • FCX leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FCX is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.4B annually — 7.1x KALU's $3.7B. NEM is the more profitable business, keeping 30.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KALU's 4.1%. On growth, KALU holds the edge at +42.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.7B | $17.2B | $3.7B | $26.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.6B | $12.7B | $368M | $9.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $5.3B | $153M | $2.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $567M | $12.9B | $24M | $6.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +13.6% | +52.1% | +10.2% | +27.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | +49.3% | +6.6% | +27.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.0% | +30.5% | +4.1% | +10.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | +75.0% | +0.7% | +23.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -13.3% | -100.0% | +42.4% | +12.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.8% | -100.0% | +183.2% | +154.2% |
Valuation Metrics
AA leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.1x trailing earnings, AA trades at a 65% valuation discount to FCX's 39.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), KALU offers better value at 0.86x vs NEM's 1.38x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $16.2B | $125.7B | $2.9B | $87.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $14.6B | $118.6B | $4.0B | $95.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.11x | 17.70x | 26.02x | 39.88x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.98x | 10.89x | 18.74x | 22.41x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.38x | 0.86x | 1.33x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.17x | 9.03x | 12.68x | 11.16x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.27x | 5.69x | 0.85x | 3.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.66x | 3.69x | 3.54x | 2.84x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.60x | 17.22x | — | 78.05x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NEM leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KALU delivers a 18.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $9 for FCX. AA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KALU's 1.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NEM scores 9/9 vs FCX's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +15.6% | +18.7% | +8.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.1% | +9.4% | +5.9% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.7% | +24.9% | +7.8% | +12.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.4% | +20.7% | +9.4% | +12.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | 0.01x | 1.36x | 0.37x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$1.6B | -$7.2B | $1.1B | $8.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.6B | $7.6B | $7M | $3.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1M | $474M | $1.1B | $11.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.85x | 50.54x | 4.84x | 17.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
KALU leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NEM five years ago would be worth $17,998 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,068 for KALU. Over the past 12 months, KALU leads with a +169.4% total return vs FCX's +65.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KALU at 43.2% vs FCX's 19.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +10.9% | +12.4% | +47.7% | +17.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +158.3% | +112.0% | +169.4% | +65.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +73.4% | +142.1% | +193.5% | +70.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.4% | +80.0% | +40.7% | +44.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +203.5% | +293.1% | +135.1% | +507.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +20.1% | +34.3% | +43.2% | +19.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NEM and KALU each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NEM is the less volatile stock with a 0.75 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FCX's 1.79 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KALU currently trades 96.3% from its 52-week high vs AA's 82.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.77x | 0.75x | 1.71x | 1.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $75.70 | $134.88 | $183.00 | $70.97 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $24.15 | $48.27 | $65.69 | $35.15 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +82.7% | +84.1% | +96.3% | +85.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.3 | 53.5 | 74.2 | 49.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.4M | 9.2M | 248K | 15.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — KALU and FCX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AA as "Buy", NEM as "Buy", KALU as "Hold", FCX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 21.2% upside for NEM (target: $138) vs -9.2% for KALU (target: $160). For income investors, KALU offers the higher dividend yield at 1.75% vs AA's 0.63%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $68.80 | $137.50 | $160.00 | $67.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 42 | 36 | 22 | 41 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.6% | +0.9% | +1.8% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.39 | $1.00 | $3.09 | $0.60 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.8% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
NEM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AA leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
AA vs NEM vs KALU vs FCX: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AA or NEM or KALU or FCX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger pick with 19.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 1% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). Alcoa Corporation (AA) offers the better valuation at 14. 1x trailing P/E (9. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Alcoa Corporation (AA) a "Buy" — based on 42 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AA or NEM or KALU or FCX?
On trailing P/E, Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the cheapest at 14.
1x versus Freeport-McMoRan Inc. at 39. 9x. On forward P/E, Alcoa Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Kaiser Aluminum Corporation wins at 0. 62x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 85x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AA or NEM or KALU or FCX?
Over the past 5 years, Newmont Corporation (NEM) delivered a total return of +80.
0%, compared to +40. 7% for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FCX returned +507. 7% versus KALU's +135. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AA or NEM or KALU or FCX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
75β versus Freeport-McMoRan Inc. 's 1. 79β — meaning FCX is approximately 137% more volatile than NEM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 136% for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AA or NEM or KALU or FCX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is pulling ahead at 19.
1% versus 1. 1% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alcoa Corporation grew EPS 1486% year-over-year, compared to 16. 9% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NEM leads at 22. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AA or NEM or KALU or FCX?
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the more profitable company, earning 32.
1% net margin versus 3. 3% for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation — meaning it keeps 32. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NEM leads at 46. 9% versus 5. 7% for KALU. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NEM leads at 49. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AA or NEM or KALU or FCX more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 62x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 85x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Alcoa Corporation (AA) trades at 9. 0x forward P/E versus 22. 4x for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. — 13. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NEM: 21. 2% to $137. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — AA or NEM or KALU or FCX?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) offers the highest yield at 1. 8%, versus 0. 6% for Alcoa Corporation (AA).
09Is AA or NEM or KALU or FCX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
75), 0. 9% yield, +293. 1% 10Y return). Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a higher beta of 1. 77 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NEM: +293. 1%, AA: +203. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AA and NEM and KALU and FCX?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AA is a mid-cap deep-value stock; NEM is a mid-cap high-growth stock; KALU is a small-cap quality compounder stock; FCX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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