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ADP vs MSFT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Infrastructure
ADP vs MSFT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Staffing & Employment Services | Software - Infrastructure |
| Market Cap | $83.43B | $3.07T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $21.60B | $318.27B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4.35B | $125.22B |
| Gross Margin | 47.5% | 68.3% |
| Operating Margin | 19.2% | 46.8% |
| Forward P/E | 18.8x | 24.9x |
| Total Debt | $9.07B | $112.18B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.35B | $30.24B |
ADP vs MSFT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Automatic Data Proc… (ADP) | 100 | 141.4 | +41.4% |
| Microsoft Corporati… (MSFT) | 100 | 225.8 | +125.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ADP vs MSFT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ADP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.37, yield 2.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.37, current ratio 1.05x
- Beta 0.37, yield 2.8%, current ratio 1.05x
MSFT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 14.9%, EPS growth 15.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.4%
- 7.7% 10Y total return vs ADP's 185.6%
- PEG 1.32 vs ADP's 1.58
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.9% revenue growth vs ADP's 7.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (18.8x vs 24.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 39.3% margin vs ADP's 20.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.37 vs MSFT's 0.89 | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield, 37-year raise streak, vs MSFT's 0.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -3.7% vs ADP's -29.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 19.2% ROA vs ADP's 6.8%, ROIC 24.9% vs 47.1% |
ADP vs MSFT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ADP vs MSFT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSFT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSFT is the larger business by revenue, generating $318.3B annually — 14.7x ADP's $21.6B. MSFT is the more profitable business, keeping 39.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ADP's 20.1%. On growth, MSFT holds the edge at +18.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $21.6B | $318.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.6B | $192.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4.3B | $125.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $5.2B | $72.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +47.5% | +68.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +19.2% | +46.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +20.1% | +39.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +23.8% | +22.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.0% | +18.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.5% | +23.4% |
Valuation Metrics
ADP leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.8x trailing earnings, ADP trades at a 32% valuation discount to MSFT's 30.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MSFT offers better value at 1.61x vs ADP's 1.75x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $83.4B | $3.07T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $89.1B | $3.16T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.76x | 30.34x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.76x | 24.91x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.75x | 1.61x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.11x | 19.40x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.06x | 10.91x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 13.69x | 8.99x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.49x | 42.93x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ADP leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ADP delivers a 68.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $69 in annual profit, vs $33 for MSFT. MSFT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.33x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ADP's 1.46x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ADP scores 8/9 vs MSFT's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +68.7% | +33.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.8% | +19.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +47.1% | +24.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +50.6% | +29.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.46x | 0.33x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.7B | $81.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.3B | $30.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.1B | $112.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 13.33x | 55.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MSFT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MSFT five years ago would be worth $17,152 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,949 for ADP. Over the past 12 months, MSFT leads with a -3.7% total return vs ADP's -29.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MSFT at 11.1% vs ADP's 1.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.4% | -12.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -29.6% | -3.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +4.9% | +37.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +19.5% | +71.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +185.6% | +768.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.6% | +11.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ADP and MSFT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ADP is the less volatile stock with a 0.37 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MSFT's 0.89 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSFT currently trades 74.5% from its 52-week high vs ADP's 62.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.37x | 0.89x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $329.93 | $555.45 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $188.16 | $356.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +62.8% | +74.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 56.6 | 52.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.4M | 32.8M |
Analyst Outlook
ADP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ADP as "Hold" and MSFT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 33.3% upside for MSFT (target: $552) vs 20.2% for ADP (target: $249). For income investors, ADP offers the higher dividend yield at 2.83% vs MSFT's 0.78%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $249.00 | $551.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 81 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.8% | +0.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 37 | 19 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.87 | $3.23 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.5% | +0.6% |
ADP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). MSFT leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). 1 tied.
ADP vs MSFT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ADP or MSFT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the stronger pick with 14.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 1% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP). Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) offers the better valuation at 20. 8x trailing P/E (18. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) a "Buy" — based on 81 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ADP or MSFT?
On trailing P/E, Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the cheapest at 20. 8x versus Microsoft Corporation at 30. 3x. On forward P/E, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. is actually cheaper at 18. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Microsoft Corporation wins at 1. 32x versus Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 's 1. 58x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ADP or MSFT?
Over the past 5 years, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) delivered a total return of +71.
5%, compared to +19. 5% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MSFT returned +768. 1% versus ADP's +185. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ADP or MSFT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 37β versus Microsoft Corporation's 0. 89β — meaning MSFT is approximately 136% more volatile than ADP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 33% versus 146% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ADP or MSFT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is pulling ahead at 14.
9% versus 7. 1% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Microsoft Corporation grew EPS 15. 6% year-over-year, compared to 9. 7% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MSFT leads at 12. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ADP or MSFT?
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the more profitable company, earning 36.
1% net margin versus 19. 8% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — meaning it keeps 36. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MSFT leads at 45. 6% versus 26. 3% for ADP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSFT leads at 68. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ADP or MSFT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 32x versus Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 's 1. 58x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) trades at 18. 8x forward P/E versus 24. 9x for Microsoft Corporation — 6. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MSFT: 33. 3% to $551. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — ADP or MSFT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) offers the highest yield at 2. 8%, versus 0. 8% for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT).
09Is ADP or MSFT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 37), 2. 8% yield, +185. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ADP: +185. 6%, MSFT: +768. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ADP and MSFT?
These companies operate in different sectors (ADP (Industrials) and MSFT (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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