Insurance - Property & Casualty
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AFGE vs MKL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
AFGE vs MKL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $1.39B | $22.08B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.02B | $16.57B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $842M | $1.77B |
| Gross Margin | 58.0% | 61.4% |
| Operating Margin | 53.5% | 13.9% |
| Forward P/E | 1.5x | 15.7x |
| Total Debt | $1.82B | $4.30B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $17.18B | $3.96B |
AFGE vs MKL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Financial … (AFGE) | 100 | 61.5 | -38.5% |
| Markel Corporation (MKL) | 100 | 181.2 | +81.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFGE vs MKL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFGE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 2.0%, EPS growth -4.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.3%
- 2.0% revenue growth vs MKL's -1.0%
- Lower P/E (1.5x vs 15.7x)
MKL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.44, yield 2.8%
- 88.3% 10Y total return vs AFGE's -14.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.44, Low D/E 22.5%, current ratio 0.84x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 2.0% revenue growth vs MKL's -1.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (1.5x vs 15.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs AFGE's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.44 vs AFGE's 0.77, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 43.4% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs MKL's 2.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +7.0% vs MKL's -5.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.0% ROA vs AFGE's 2.8% |
AFGE vs MKL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AFGE vs MKL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — AFGE and MKL each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MKL is the larger business by revenue, generating $16.6B annually — 2.1x AFGE's $8.0B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 10.7% (MKL) to 10.5% (AFGE). On growth, MKL holds the edge at +6.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.0B | $16.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.3B | $2.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $842M | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | $2.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +58.0% | +61.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +53.5% | +13.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +10.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.2% | +13.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.5% | +6.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +18.5% | -2.6% |
Valuation Metrics
AFGE leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 1.7x trailing earnings, AFGE trades at a 84% valuation discount to MKL's 10.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AFGE offers better value at 0.40x vs MKL's 0.42x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.4B | $22.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$14.0B | $22.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 1.66x | 10.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1.51x | 15.68x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.40x | 0.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | -12.05x | 7.63x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.17x | 1.33x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.29x | 1.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 1.00x | 8.65x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MKL leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AFGE delivers a 18.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $10 for MKL. MKL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.23x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AFGE's 0.38x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MKL scores 7/9 vs AFGE's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.2% | +9.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | +3.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +10.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.4% | +14.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.38x | 0.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$15.4B | $339M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $17.2B | $4.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.8B | $4.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.61x | 12.00x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MKL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MKL five years ago would be worth $14,893 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,264 for AFGE. Over the past 12 months, AFGE leads with a +7.0% total return vs MKL's -5.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MKL at 9.3% vs AFGE's 3.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -0.3% | -17.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +7.0% | -5.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +9.9% | +30.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -17.4% | +48.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -14.3% | +88.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +3.2% | +9.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AFGE and MKL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MKL is the less volatile stock with a 0.44 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFGE's 0.77 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AFGE currently trades 86.2% from its 52-week high vs MKL's 79.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.77x | 0.44x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.41 | $2207.59 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.70 | $1719.41 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.2% | +79.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.2 | 27.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8K | 58K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AFGE and MKL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, AFGE offers the higher dividend yield at 43.35% vs MKL's 2.75%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $1950.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 15 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +43.4% | +2.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $7.26 | $48.55 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +7.1% | +1.9% |
MKL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). AFGE leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
AFGE vs MKL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFGE or MKL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGE) is the stronger pick with 2. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGE) offers the better valuation at 1. 7x trailing P/E (1. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Markel Corporation (MKL) a "Hold" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFGE or MKL?
On trailing P/E, American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGE) is the cheapest at 1. 7x versus Markel Corporation at 10. 4x. On forward P/E, American Financial Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 1. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Markel Corporation wins at 0. 63x versus American Financial Group, Inc. 's 1. 08x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFGE or MKL?
Over the past 5 years, Markel Corporation (MKL) delivered a total return of +48.
9%, compared to -17. 4% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MKL returned +88. 3% versus AFGE's -14. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFGE or MKL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Markel Corporation (MKL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
44β versus American Financial Group, Inc. 's 0. 77β — meaning AFGE is approximately 75% more volatile than MKL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Markel Corporation (MKL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 23% versus 38% for American Financial Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFGE or MKL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGE) is pulling ahead at 2. 0% versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American Financial Group, Inc. grew EPS -4. 6% year-over-year, compared to -15. 1% for Markel Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, MKL leads at 12. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFGE or MKL?
Markel Corporation (MKL) is the more profitable company, earning 12.
7% net margin versus 10. 3% for American Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MKL leads at 16. 5% versus 13. 1% for AFGE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MKL leads at 69. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFGE or MKL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Markel Corporation (MKL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 63x versus American Financial Group, Inc. 's 1. 08x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGE) trades at 1. 5x forward P/E versus 15. 7x for Markel Corporation — 14. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFGE or MKL?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGE) offers the highest yield at 43. 4%, versus 2. 8% for Markel Corporation (MKL).
09Is AFGE or MKL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Markel Corporation (MKL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
44), 2. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MKL: +88. 3%, AFGE: -14. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFGE and MKL?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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