Insurance - Life
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AFL vs CNO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Life
AFL vs CNO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Life | Insurance - Life |
| Market Cap | $58.52B | $4.30B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $17.36B | $4.49B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $3.65B | $222M |
| Gross Margin | 38.7% | 40.2% |
| Operating Margin | 26.3% | 6.3% |
| Forward P/E | 15.8x | 10.5x |
| Total Debt | $8.41B | $4.05B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6.25B | $956M |
AFL vs CNO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aflac Incorporated (AFL) | 100 | 311.5 | +211.5% |
| CNO Financial Group… (CNO) | 100 | 319.9 | +219.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFL vs CNO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.19, yield 2.0%
- 272.5% 10Y total return vs CNO's 171.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.19, Low D/E 28.5%
CNO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 0.9%, EPS growth -37.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.9%
- PEG 4.80 vs AFL's 33.17
- 0.9% revenue growth vs AFL's -8.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.9% revenue growth vs AFL's -8.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.5x vs 15.8x), PEG 4.80 vs 33.17 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.7 vs CNO's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.19 vs CNO's 0.80, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield, 37-year raise streak, vs CNO's 1.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +23.5% vs AFL's +8.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.0% ROA vs CNO's 0.6%, ROIC 11.8% vs 4.0% |
AFL vs CNO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AFL vs CNO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — AFL and CNO each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AFL is the larger business by revenue, generating $17.4B annually — 3.9x CNO's $4.5B. AFL is the more profitable business, keeping 21.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CNO's 4.9%. On growth, CNO holds the edge at +4.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $17.4B | $4.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5.5B | $573M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $3.6B | $222M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.6B | $676M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.7% | +40.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +26.3% | +6.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +21.0% | +4.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +14.7% | +15.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -10.9% | +4.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -24.3% | -39.2% |
Valuation Metrics
CNO leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.6x trailing earnings, AFL trades at a 15% valuation discount to CNO's 19.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CNO offers better value at 8.97x vs AFL's 33.17x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $58.5B | $4.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $60.7B | $7.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.63x | 19.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.76x | 10.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 33.17x | 8.97x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.00x | 14.11x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.36x | 0.96x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.05x | 1.70x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 22.90x | 6.37x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AFL leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AFL delivers a 13.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $9 for CNO. AFL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.29x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CNO's 1.54x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CNO scores 6/9 vs AFL's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.1% | +8.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.0% | +0.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.8% | +4.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.0% | +1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.29x | 1.54x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.2B | $3.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6.2B | $956M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.4B | $4.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 21.00x | 2.23x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CNO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AFL five years ago would be worth $21,884 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $18,192 for CNO. Over the past 12 months, CNO leads with a +23.5% total return vs AFL's +8.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CNO at 30.2% vs AFL's 21.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.6% | +9.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +8.4% | +23.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +77.1% | +120.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +118.8% | +81.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +272.5% | +171.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +21.0% | +30.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AFL and CNO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AFL is the less volatile stock with a 0.19 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CNO's 0.80 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CNO currently trades 99.1% from its 52-week high vs AFL's 95.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.19x | 0.80x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $119.32 | $46.33 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $96.95 | $35.24 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.2% | +99.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 561K |
Analyst Outlook
AFL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AFL as "Hold" and CNO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 1.7% upside for CNO (target: $47) vs -2.4% for AFL (target: $111). For income investors, AFL offers the higher dividend yield at 1.98% vs CNO's 1.48%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $110.83 | $46.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 32 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.0% | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 37 | 13 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.25 | $0.68 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.0% | +7.7% |
CNO leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). AFL leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
AFL vs CNO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFL or CNO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, CNO Financial Group, Inc.
(CNO) is the stronger pick with 0. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 8% for Aflac Incorporated (AFL). Aflac Incorporated (AFL) offers the better valuation at 16. 6x trailing P/E (15. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Aflac Incorporated (AFL) a "Hold" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFL or CNO?
On trailing P/E, Aflac Incorporated (AFL) is the cheapest at 16.
6x versus CNO Financial Group, Inc. at 19. 5x. On forward P/E, CNO Financial Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: CNO Financial Group, Inc. wins at 4. 80x versus Aflac Incorporated's 33. 17x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFL or CNO?
Over the past 5 years, Aflac Incorporated (AFL) delivered a total return of +118.
8%, compared to +81. 9% for CNO Financial Group, Inc. (CNO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AFL returned +272. 5% versus CNO's +171. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFL or CNO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Aflac Incorporated (AFL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
19β versus CNO Financial Group, Inc. 's 0. 80β — meaning CNO is approximately 333% more volatile than AFL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Aflac Incorporated (AFL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 29% versus 154% for CNO Financial Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFL or CNO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), CNO Financial Group, Inc.
(CNO) is pulling ahead at 0. 9% versus -8. 8% for Aflac Incorporated (AFL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Aflac Incorporated grew EPS -29. 1% year-over-year, compared to -37. 2% for CNO Financial Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CNO leads at 7. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFL or CNO?
Aflac Incorporated (AFL) is the more profitable company, earning 20.
9% net margin versus 5. 1% for CNO Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 20. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AFL leads at 26. 6% versus 6. 5% for CNO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CNO leads at 44. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFL or CNO more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, CNO Financial Group, Inc. (CNO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 4. 80x versus Aflac Incorporated's 33. 17x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, CNO Financial Group, Inc. (CNO) trades at 10. 5x forward P/E versus 15. 8x for Aflac Incorporated — 5. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CNO: 1. 7% to $46. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFL or CNO?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Aflac Incorporated (AFL) offers the highest yield at 2. 0%, versus 1. 5% for CNO Financial Group, Inc. (CNO).
09Is AFL or CNO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Aflac Incorporated (AFL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
19), 2. 0% yield, +272. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AFL: +272. 5%, CNO: +171. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFL and CNO?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AFL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; CNO is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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