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AFYA vs LOPE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Education & Training Services
AFYA vs LOPE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Education & Training Services | Education & Training Services |
| Market Cap | $652M | $4.46B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.63B | $817M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $729M | $220M |
| Gross Margin | 65.0% | 51.6% |
| Operating Margin | 32.8% | 38.0% |
| Forward P/E | 1.5x | 16.3x |
| Total Debt | $3.17B | $200M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $911M | $112M |
AFYA vs LOPE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afya Limited (AFYA) | 100 | 70.8 | -29.2% |
| Grand Canyon Educat… (LOPE) | 100 | 168.5 | +68.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFYA vs LOPE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFYA is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.50
- Rev growth 14.9%, EPS growth 62.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 24.3%
- PEG 0.05 vs LOPE's 2.27
LOPE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 272.4% 10Y total return vs AFYA's -38.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.35, Low D/E 26.8%, current ratio 3.65x
- Beta 0.35, current ratio 3.65x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.9% revenue growth vs LOPE's 7.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (1.5x vs 16.3x), PEG 0.05 vs 2.27 | |
| Quality / Margins | 26.9% margin vs AFYA's 20.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.35 vs AFYA's 0.50, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -15.2% vs AFYA's -25.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.9% ROA vs AFYA's 8.0%, ROIC 32.5% vs 12.3% |
AFYA vs LOPE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AFYA vs LOPE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AFYA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AFYA is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.6B annually — 4.4x LOPE's $817M. LOPE is the more profitable business, keeping 26.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AFYA's 20.1%. On growth, AFYA holds the edge at +10.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.6B | $817M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.5B | $341M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $729M | $220M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.3B | $260M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +65.0% | +51.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +32.8% | +38.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +20.1% | +26.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +34.6% | +31.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.4% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +29.8% | +11.1% |
Valuation Metrics
AFYA leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.9x trailing earnings, AFYA trades at a 53% valuation discount to LOPE's 21.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AFYA offers better value at 0.36x vs LOPE's 2.97x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $652M | $4.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.1B | $4.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 9.94x | 21.33x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1.45x | 16.30x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.36x | 2.97x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.52x | 13.25x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.98x | 4.04x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.46x | 6.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 3.10x | 18.71x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LOPE leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LOPE delivers a 29.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $16 for AFYA. LOPE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.27x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AFYA's 0.74x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AFYA scores 6/9 vs LOPE's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +16.1% | +29.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.0% | +21.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.3% | +32.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +14.2% | +33.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.74x | 0.27x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.3B | $88M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $911M | $112M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.2B | $200M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.66x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LOPE leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LOPE five years ago would be worth $17,405 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,867 for AFYA. Over the past 12 months, LOPE leads with a -15.2% total return vs AFYA's -25.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LOPE at 13.7% vs AFYA's 10.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -2.6% | -0.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -25.4% | -15.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.8% | +47.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -31.3% | +74.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.6% | +272.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.2% | +13.7% |
Risk & Volatility
LOPE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LOPE is the less volatile stock with a 0.35 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFYA's 0.50 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LOPE currently trades 73.7% from its 52-week high vs AFYA's 69.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.50x | 0.35x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.90 | $223.04 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.00 | $149.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +69.9% | +73.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.1 | 44.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 98K | 244K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AFYA as "Hold" and LOPE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 17.4% upside for AFYA (target: $16) vs 10.9% for LOPE (target: $182).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.33 | $182.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 8 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +5.9% |
LOPE leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). AFYA leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics).
AFYA vs LOPE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFYA or LOPE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Afya Limited (AFYA) is the stronger pick with 14.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 1% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE). Afya Limited (AFYA) offers the better valuation at 9. 9x trailing P/E (1. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFYA or LOPE?
On trailing P/E, Afya Limited (AFYA) is the cheapest at 9.
9x versus Grand Canyon Education, Inc. at 21. 3x. On forward P/E, Afya Limited is actually cheaper at 1. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Afya Limited wins at 0. 05x versus Grand Canyon Education, Inc. 's 2. 27x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFYA or LOPE?
Over the past 5 years, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) delivered a total return of +74. 1%, compared to -31. 3% for Afya Limited (AFYA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LOPE returned +272. 4% versus AFYA's -38. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFYA or LOPE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 35β versus Afya Limited's 0. 50β — meaning AFYA is approximately 42% more volatile than LOPE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 27% versus 74% for Afya Limited — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFYA or LOPE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Afya Limited (AFYA) is pulling ahead at 14.
9% versus 7. 1% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Afya Limited grew EPS 62. 3% year-over-year, compared to -0. 3% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AFYA leads at 24. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFYA or LOPE?
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the more profitable company, earning 19. 5% net margin versus 19. 1% for Afya Limited — meaning it keeps 19. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AFYA leads at 30. 6% versus 27. 5% for LOPE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AFYA leads at 63. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFYA or LOPE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Afya Limited (AFYA) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 05x versus Grand Canyon Education, Inc. 's 2. 27x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Afya Limited (AFYA) trades at 1. 5x forward P/E versus 16. 3x for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. — 14. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AFYA: 17. 4% to $16. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFYA or LOPE?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is AFYA or LOPE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 35), +272. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (LOPE: +272. 4%, AFYA: -38. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFYA and LOPE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AFYA is a small-cap deep-value stock; LOPE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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