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AGM vs DE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
AGM vs DE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Credit Services | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $1.95B | $160.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.32B | $45.88B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $210M | $4.08B |
| Gross Margin | 29.5% | 34.7% |
| Operating Margin | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Forward P/E | 9.5x | 33.2x |
| Total Debt | $30.82B | $63.94B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $931M | $8.28B |
AGM vs DE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Agricultura… (AGM) | 100 | 279.0 | +179.0% |
| Deere & Company (DE) | 100 | 388.9 | +288.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AGM vs DE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AGM is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 14 yrs, beta 0.76, yield 4.5%
- PEG 0.63 vs DE's 2.03
- Lower P/E (9.5x vs 33.2x), PEG 0.63 vs 2.03
DE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -2.2%, EPS growth 0.0%, 3Y rev CAGR -3.8%
- 6.8% 10Y total return vs AGM's 409.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.56, current ratio 2.31x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -2.2% revenue growth vs AGM's -18.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.5x vs 33.2x), PEG 0.63 vs 2.03 | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.7% margin vs DE's 8.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.56 vs AGM's 0.76, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 4.5% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs DE's 1.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +25.8% vs AGM's +5.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.9% ROA vs AGM's 0.6%, ROIC 7.7% vs 0.6% |
AGM vs DE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AGM vs DE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGM leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DE is the larger business by revenue, generating $45.9B annually — 34.8x AGM's $1.3B. AGM is the more profitable business, keeping 15.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to DE's 8.9%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.3B | $45.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $193M | $9.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $210M | $4.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $222M | $5.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +29.5% | +34.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +19.4% | +17.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +15.7% | +8.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +6.1% | +12.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +16.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | 0.0% | -24.1% |
Valuation Metrics
AGM leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.8x trailing earnings, AGM trades at a 66% valuation discount to DE's 32.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AGM offers better value at 0.72x vs DE's 1.96x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.0B | $160.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $31.8B | $216.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.76x | 31.98x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.48x | 33.16x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.72x | 1.96x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 124.53x | 20.29x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.48x | 3.59x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.14x | 6.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 24.38x | 49.64x |
Profitability & Efficiency
DE leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
DE delivers a 15.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $13 for AGM. DE carries lower financial leverage with a 2.46x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AGM's 17.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), DE scores 5/9 vs AGM's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.6% | +15.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.6% | +3.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +0.6% | +7.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.1% | +11.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 17.93x | 2.46x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $29.9B | $55.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $931M | $8.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $30.8B | $63.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.17x | 2.74x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
DE leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AGM five years ago would be worth $18,168 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $15,865 for DE. Over the past 12 months, DE leads with a +25.8% total return vs AGM's +5.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DE at 17.1% vs AGM's 14.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.3% | +27.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +5.8% | +25.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +50.2% | +60.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +81.7% | +58.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +409.4% | +676.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.5% | +17.1% |
Risk & Volatility
DE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DE is the less volatile stock with a 0.56 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AGM's 0.76 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.76x | 0.56x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $210.64 | $674.19 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $136.57 | $433.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.9% | +87.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.2 | 48.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 102K | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
AGM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AGM as "Buy" and DE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 30.2% upside for AGM (target: $233) vs 15.0% for DE (target: $681). For income investors, AGM offers the higher dividend yield at 4.53% vs DE's 1.07%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $233.00 | $680.54 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 46 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.5% | +1.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 14 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $8.11 | $6.33 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.7% |
AGM leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). DE leads in 3 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns).
AGM vs DE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AGM or DE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Deere & Company (DE) is the stronger pick with -2.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -18. 9% for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM). Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) offers the better valuation at 10. 8x trailing P/E (9. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AGM or DE?
On trailing P/E, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) is the cheapest at 10.
8x versus Deere & Company at 32. 0x. On forward P/E, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation wins at 0. 63x versus Deere & Company's 2. 03x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AGM or DE?
Over the past 5 years, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) delivered a total return of +81.
7%, compared to +58. 7% for Deere & Company (DE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DE returned +676. 6% versus AGM's +409. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AGM or DE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Deere & Company (DE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
56β versus Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation's 0. 76β — meaning AGM is approximately 35% more volatile than DE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Deere & Company (DE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 18% for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AGM or DE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Deere & Company (DE) is pulling ahead at -2.
2% versus -18. 9% for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation grew EPS 1. 1% year-over-year, compared to 0. 0% for Deere & Company. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AGM or DE?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) is the more profitable company, earning 15.
7% net margin versus 11. 3% for Deere & Company — meaning it keeps 15. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AGM leads at 19. 4% versus 18. 8% for DE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — DE leads at 36. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AGM or DE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 63x versus Deere & Company's 2. 03x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) trades at 9. 5x forward P/E versus 33. 2x for Deere & Company — 23. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AGM: 30. 2% to $233. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AGM or DE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) offers the highest yield at 4. 5%, versus 1. 1% for Deere & Company (DE).
09Is AGM or DE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Deere & Company (DE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
56), 1. 1% yield, +676. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DE: +676. 6%, AGM: +409. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AGM and DE?
These companies operate in different sectors (AGM (Financial Services) and DE (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: AGM is a small-cap deep-value stock; DE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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