Insurance - Specialty
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AMBC vs JPM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Diversified
AMBC vs JPM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Specialty | Banks - Diversified |
| Market Cap | $269M | $849.03B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $99M | $270.79B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-780M | $58.03B |
| Gross Margin | -17.0% | 58.6% |
| Operating Margin | -132.2% | 27.7% |
| Forward P/E | 92.0x | 14.2x |
| Total Debt | $150M | $751.15B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $47M | $469.32B |
AMBC vs JPM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Jan 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ambac Financial Gro… (AMBC) | 100 | 45.7 | -54.3% |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) | 100 | 331.1 | +231.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AMBC vs JPM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AMBC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.78
- Rev growth 89.1%, EPS growth -60.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -1.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.78, Low D/E 12.5%, current ratio 4.37x
JPM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 471.7% 10Y total return vs AMBC's -60.8%
- Lower P/E (14.2x vs 92.0x)
- 21.6% margin vs AMBC's -7.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 89.1% revenue growth vs JPM's 14.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.2x vs 92.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.6% margin vs AMBC's -7.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.78 vs JPM's 1.00, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.6% yield; 14-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +28.7% vs AMBC's -24.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.3% ROA vs AMBC's -36.3%, ROIC 5.4% vs -1.5% |
AMBC vs JPM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AMBC vs JPM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JPM leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JPM is the larger business by revenue, generating $270.8B annually — 2731.6x AMBC's $99M. JPM is the more profitable business, keeping 21.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AMBC's -7.9%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $99M | $270.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$117M | $81.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$780M | $58.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$35M | -$119.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -17.0% | +58.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -132.2% | +27.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.9% | +21.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -35.3% | -15.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.9% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.0% | +16.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AMBC leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.3x trailing earnings, AMBC trades at a 73% valuation discount to JPM's 15.9x P/E.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $269M | $849.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $371M | $1.13T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 4.32x | 15.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 92.04x | 14.17x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.23x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 13.62x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.14x | 3.14x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.24x | 2.63x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 352.45x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
JPM leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
JPM delivers a 16.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $-68 for AMBC. AMBC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to JPM's 2.18x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AMBC scores 6/9 vs JPM's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -68.0% | +16.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -36.3% | +1.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.5% | +5.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.7% | +8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 2.18x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $103M | $281.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $47M | $469.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $150M | $751.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -6.80x | 0.74x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JPM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JPM five years ago would be worth $21,034 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,467 for AMBC. Over the past 12 months, JPM leads with a +28.7% total return vs AMBC's -24.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JPM at 34.0% vs AMBC's -26.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.9% | -2.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -24.4% | +28.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.4% | +140.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -65.3% | +110.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -60.8% | +471.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -26.0% | +34.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AMBC and JPM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AMBC is the less volatile stock with a 0.78 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than JPM's 1.00 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. JPM currently trades 93.4% from its 52-week high vs AMBC's 59.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.78x | 1.00x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $10.38 | $337.25 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.96 | $248.83 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +59.1% | +93.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 21.3 | 53.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 638K | 8.4M |
Analyst Outlook
JPM leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AMBC as "Buy" and JPM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 128.4% upside for AMBC (target: $14) vs 7.6% for JPM (target: $339). JPM is the only dividend payer here at 1.63% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.00 | $338.78 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 61 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 14 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $5.13 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.4% | +3.4% |
JPM leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AMBC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
AMBC vs JPM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AMBC or JPM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is the stronger pick with 89. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 14. 6% for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) offers the better valuation at 4. 3x trailing P/E (92. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AMBC or JPM?
On trailing P/E, Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is the cheapest at 4. 3x versus JPMorgan Chase & Co. at 15. 9x. On forward P/E, JPMorgan Chase & Co. is actually cheaper at 14. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AMBC or JPM?
Over the past 5 years, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) delivered a total return of +110. 3%, compared to -65. 3% for Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: JPM returned +471. 7% versus AMBC's -60. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AMBC or JPM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 78β versus JPMorgan Chase & Co. 's 1. 00β — meaning JPM is approximately 29% more volatile than AMBC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 2% for JPMorgan Chase & Co. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AMBC or JPM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is pulling ahead at 89. 1% versus 14. 6% for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: JPMorgan Chase & Co. grew EPS 21. 7% year-over-year, compared to -60. 5% for Ambac Financial Group, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AMBC or JPM?
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) is the more profitable company, earning 21. 6% net margin versus -236. 0% for Ambac Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 21. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: JPM leads at 27. 7% versus -25. 4% for AMBC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — JPM leads at 58. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AMBC or JPM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) trades at 14. 2x forward P/E versus 92. 0x for Ambac Financial Group, Inc. — 77. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AMBC: 128. 4% to $14. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AMBC or JPM?
In this comparison, JPM (1.
6% yield) pays a dividend. AMBC does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AMBC or JPM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 00), 1. 6% yield, +471. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (JPM: +471. 7%, AMBC: -60. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AMBC and JPM?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AMBC is a small-cap high-growth stock; JPM is a large-cap deep-value stock. JPM pays a dividend while AMBC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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