Industrial - Machinery
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AOS vs AAON vs LII vs CARR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Construction
Construction
Construction
AOS vs AAON vs LII vs CARR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Construction | Construction | Construction |
| Market Cap | $8.42B | $10.58B | $18.34B | $56.07B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.81B | $1.62B | $5.26B | $21.87B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $528M | $118M | $783M | $1.32B |
| Gross Margin | 38.8% | 26.2% | 33.1% | 24.8% |
| Operating Margin | 18.5% | 10.4% | 19.5% | 8.1% |
| Forward P/E | 15.4x | 65.3x | 21.7x | 24.2x |
| Total Debt | $192M | $433M | $2.06B | $12.67B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $175M | $13K | $34M | $1.55B |
AOS vs AAON vs LII vs CARR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. O. Smith Corpora… (AOS) | 100 | 126.8 | +26.8% |
| AAON, Inc. (AAON) | 100 | 357.9 | +257.9% |
| Lennox Internationa… (LII) | 100 | 246.4 | +146.4% |
| Carrier Global Corp… (CARR) | 100 | 327.8 | +227.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AOS vs AAON vs LII vs CARR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AOS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.81, yield 2.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.81, Low D/E 10.3%, current ratio 1.50x
- Beta 0.81, yield 2.3%, current ratio 1.50x
- Lower P/E (15.4x vs 24.2x)
AAON is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Rev growth 20.1%, EPS growth -36.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.5%
- 6.1% 10Y total return vs CARR's 493.6%
- 20.1% revenue growth vs CARR's -3.3%
- +35.5% vs AOS's -7.9%
LII is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 1.13 vs AAON's 12.01
- 14.9% margin vs CARR's 6.0%
- 20.1% ROA vs CARR's 3.5%, ROIC 29.8% vs 6.7%
CARR lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.1% revenue growth vs CARR's -3.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.4x vs 24.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.9% margin vs CARR's 6.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.81 vs AAON's 1.83, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.3% yield, 15-year raise streak, vs CARR's 1.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +35.5% vs AOS's -7.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 20.1% ROA vs CARR's 3.5%, ROIC 29.8% vs 6.7% |
AOS vs AAON vs LII vs CARR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AOS vs AAON vs LII vs CARR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AOS leads in 3 of 6 categories
AAON leads 1 • LII leads 0 • CARR leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — AOS and AAON and LII each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CARR is the larger business by revenue, generating $21.9B annually — 13.5x AAON's $1.6B. LII is the more profitable business, keeping 14.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CARR's 6.0%. On growth, AAON holds the edge at +54.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $1.6B | $5.3B | $21.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $795M | $228M | $1.1B | $3.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $528M | $118M | $783M | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $648M | -$145M | $661M | $1.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.8% | +26.2% | +33.1% | +24.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +18.5% | +10.4% | +19.5% | +8.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.8% | +7.3% | +14.9% | +6.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.0% | -9.0% | +12.6% | +7.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.9% | +54.3% | +5.8% | +2.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -10.5% | +37.1% | -0.6% | -40.4% |
Valuation Metrics
AOS leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.6x trailing earnings, AOS trades at a 84% valuation discount to AAON's 100.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AOS offers better value at 1.23x vs AAON's 18.43x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $8.4B | $10.6B | $18.3B | $56.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.4B | $11.0B | $20.4B | $67.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.60x | 100.19x | 23.71x | 39.48x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.45x | 65.28x | 21.71x | 24.18x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.23x | 18.43x | 1.23x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.66x | 48.81x | 18.18x | 21.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.20x | 7.34x | 3.53x | 2.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.54x | 12.00x | 15.90x | 4.02x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 15.41x | — | 28.70x | 33.04x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AOS leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LII delivers a 72.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $72 in annual profit, vs $9 for CARR. AOS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.10x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LII's 1.77x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AOS scores 8/9 vs AAON's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +27.4% | +13.4% | +72.0% | +9.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +16.0% | +7.4% | +20.1% | +3.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +29.2% | +9.4% | +29.8% | +6.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +31.5% | +12.4% | +40.2% | +7.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.10x | 0.48x | 1.77x | 0.90x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $18M | $433M | $2.0B | $11.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $175M | $13,000 | $34M | $1.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $192M | $433M | $2.1B | $12.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 39.95x | 11.27x | 20.51x | 5.76x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AAON leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AAON five years ago would be worth $29,629 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,353 for AOS. Over the past 12 months, AAON leads with a +35.5% total return vs AOS's -7.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AAON at 26.3% vs AOS's -3.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -10.8% | +63.3% | +5.9% | +26.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.9% | +35.5% | -6.3% | -2.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -8.6% | +101.6% | +91.9% | +63.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -6.5% | +196.3% | +57.8% | +58.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +81.4% | +612.1% | +309.4% | +493.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -3.0% | +26.3% | +24.3% | +17.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AOS and AAON each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AOS is the less volatile stock with a 0.81 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AAON's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AAON currently trades 86.8% from its 52-week high vs AOS's 73.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.81x | 1.83x | 1.23x | 1.19x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $81.87 | $148.88 | $689.44 | $81.09 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $58.22 | $62.00 | $434.06 | $50.24 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +73.6% | +86.8% | +76.4% | +82.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 38.9 | 59.4 | 63.8 | 64.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 965K | 458K | 6.6M |
Analyst Outlook
AOS leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AOS as "Hold", AAON as "Buy", LII as "Hold", CARR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 22.9% upside for AOS (target: $74) vs -7.9% for AAON (target: $119). For income investors, AOS offers the higher dividend yield at 2.32% vs AAON's 0.30%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $74.00 | $119.00 | $553.45 | $67.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 29 | 5 | 30 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.3% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 15 | 1 | 12 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.40 | $0.39 | $4.93 | $0.91 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.8% | +0.3% | +2.7% | +5.2% |
AOS leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). AAON leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
AOS vs AAON vs LII vs CARR: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AOS or AAON or LII or CARR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the stronger pick with 20. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 3% for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) offers the better valuation at 15. 6x trailing P/E (15. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AAON, Inc. (AAON) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AOS or AAON or LII or CARR?
On trailing P/E, A.
O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is the cheapest at 15. 6x versus AAON, Inc. at 100. 2x. On forward P/E, A. O. Smith Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Lennox International Inc. wins at 1. 13x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AOS or AAON or LII or CARR?
Over the past 5 years, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) delivered a total return of +196. 3%, compared to -6. 5% for A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AAON returned +612. 1% versus AOS's +81. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AOS or AAON or LII or CARR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), A.
O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 81β versus AAON, Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning AAON is approximately 126% more volatile than AOS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 10% versus 177% for Lennox International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AOS or AAON or LII or CARR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is pulling ahead at 20. 1% versus -3. 3% for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: A. O. Smith Corporation grew EPS 6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -72. 4% for Carrier Global Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, AAON leads at 17. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AOS or AAON or LII or CARR?
Lennox International Inc.
(LII) is the more profitable company, earning 15. 1% net margin versus 6. 9% for Carrier Global Corporation — meaning it keeps 15. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LII leads at 19. 5% versus 9. 9% for CARR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AOS leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AOS or AAON or LII or CARR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Lennox International Inc. (LII) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 13x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) trades at 15. 4x forward P/E versus 65. 3x for AAON, Inc. — 49. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AOS: 22. 9% to $74. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AOS or AAON or LII or CARR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) offers the highest yield at 2. 3%, versus 0. 3% for AAON, Inc. (AAON).
09Is AOS or AAON or LII or CARR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, A.
O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 81), 2. 3% yield). AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AOS: +81. 4%, AAON: +612. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AOS and AAON and LII and CARR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AOS is a small-cap deep-value stock; AAON is a mid-cap high-growth stock; LII is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CARR is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. AOS, LII, CARR pay a dividend while AAON does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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