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ARCT vs MRNA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
ARCT vs MRNA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $260M | $19.35B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $74M | $2.23B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-66M | $-3.19B |
| Gross Margin | 94.6% | -13.9% |
| Operating Margin | -101.1% | -153.3% |
| Total Debt | $25M | $1.92B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $231M | $2.60B |
ARCT vs MRNA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arcturus Therapeuti… (ARCT) | 100 | 23.4 | -76.6% |
| Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) | 100 | 79.3 | -20.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARCT vs MRNA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARCT is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 2.41, Low D/E 11.7%, current ratio 6.64x
- -88.7% margin vs MRNA's -143.6%
- -22.0% ROA vs MRNA's -26.6%, ROIC -277.1% vs -26.1%
MRNA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.82
- Rev growth -39.2%, EPS growth 21.7%, 3Y rev CAGR -53.1%
- 162.3% 10Y total return vs ARCT's -68.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -39.2% revenue growth vs ARCT's -51.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | -88.7% margin vs MRNA's -143.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.82 vs ARCT's 2.41 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +99.7% vs ARCT's -18.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -22.0% ROA vs MRNA's -26.6%, ROIC -277.1% vs -26.1% |
ARCT vs MRNA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ARCT vs MRNA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARCT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MRNA is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.2B annually — 30.0x ARCT's $74M. ARCT is the more profitable business, keeping -88.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MRNA's -143.6%. On growth, MRNA holds the edge at +2.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $74M | $2.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$72M | -$3.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$66M | -$3.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$75M | -$1.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +94.6% | -13.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -101.1% | -153.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -88.7% | -143.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -100.8% | -71.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -85.3% | +2.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.4% | -34.9% |
Valuation Metrics
ARCT leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $260M | $19.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $54M | $18.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.80x | -6.72x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.86x | 9.95x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.17x | 2.19x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — ARCT and MRNA each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARCT delivers a -29.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-29 in annual profit, vs $-37 for MRNA. ARCT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.12x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MRNA's 0.22x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MRNA scores 3/9 vs ARCT's 1/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -29.1% | -36.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -22.0% | -26.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.8% | -26.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -29.2% | -27.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 1 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.12x | 0.22x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$206M | -$679M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $231M | $2.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $25M | $1.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -1803.00x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MRNA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MRNA five years ago would be worth $3,040 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,028 for ARCT. Over the past 12 months, MRNA leads with a +99.7% total return vs ARCT's -18.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MRNA at -28.2% vs ARCT's -31.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +46.1% | +58.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -18.8% | +99.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -68.0% | -63.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -69.7% | -69.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -68.6% | +162.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -31.6% | -28.2% |
Risk & Volatility
MRNA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MRNA is the less volatile stock with a 1.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARCT's 2.41 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MRNA currently trades 81.9% from its 52-week high vs ARCT's 37.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.41x | 1.82x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $24.17 | $59.55 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.85 | $22.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +37.8% | +81.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.8 | 40.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 453K | 6.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARCT as "Buy" and MRNA as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 146.4% upside for ARCT (target: $23) vs -26.2% for MRNA (target: $36).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $22.50 | $36.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ARCT leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MRNA leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
ARCT vs MRNA: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARCT or MRNA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Moderna, Inc.
(MRNA) is the stronger pick with -39. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -51. 4% for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT). Analysts rate Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) a "Buy" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ARCT or MRNA?
Over the past 5 years, Moderna, Inc.
(MRNA) delivered a total return of -69. 6%, compared to -69. 7% for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MRNA returned +162. 3% versus ARCT's -68. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ARCT or MRNA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Moderna, Inc.
(MRNA) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 82β versus Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. 's 2. 41β — meaning ARCT is approximately 33% more volatile than MRNA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 12% versus 22% for Moderna, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ARCT or MRNA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Moderna, Inc.
(MRNA) is pulling ahead at -39. 2% versus -51. 4% for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Moderna, Inc. grew EPS 21. 7% year-over-year, compared to 20. 0% for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ARCT leads at -31. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ARCT or MRNA?
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.
(ARCT) is the more profitable company, earning -97. 9% net margin versus -145. 2% for Moderna, Inc. — meaning it keeps -97. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ARCT leads at -111. 5% versus -158. 1% for MRNA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ARCT leads at 95. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ARCT or MRNA?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is ARCT or MRNA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Moderna, Inc.
(MRNA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+162. 3% 10Y return). Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) carries a higher beta of 2. 41 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MRNA: +162. 3%, ARCT: -68. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ARCT and MRNA?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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