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ARLP vs BTU vs HCC vs FANG vs NRP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Coal
ARLP vs BTU vs HCC vs FANG vs NRP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Coal | Coal | Coal | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Coal |
| Market Cap | $3.29B | $2.93B | $4.63B | $53.57B | $1.50B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.17B | $3.90B | $1.47B | $15.19B | $185M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $246M | $-120M | $138M | $403M | $95M |
| Gross Margin | 23.9% | 3.5% | 38.2% | 41.8% | 69.9% |
| Operating Margin | 14.4% | -2.3% | 9.7% | 22.1% | 67.0% |
| Forward P/E | 11.2x | 7.9x | 11.4x | 10.7x | 23.9x |
| Total Debt | $480M | $511M | $271M | $14.49B | $33M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $71M | $575M | $300M | $106M | $30M |
ARLP vs BTU vs HCC vs FANG vs NRP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alliance Resource P… (ARLP) | 100 | 806.0 | +706.0% |
| Peabody Energy Corp… (BTU) | 100 | 764.1 | +664.1% |
| Warrior Met Coal, I… (HCC) | 100 | 623.4 | +523.4% |
| Diamondback Energy,… (FANG) | 100 | 447.3 | +347.3% |
| Natural Resource Pa… (NRP) | 100 | 779.5 | +679.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARLP vs BTU vs HCC vs FANG vs NRP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARLP is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and defensive is your priority.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.07, yield 10.3%
- Beta 0.07, yield 10.3%, current ratio 2.10x
- 10.3% yield, vs BTU's 1.2%
BTU ranks third and is worth considering specifically for value.
- Lower P/E (7.9x vs 23.9x)
HCC is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +92.2% vs ARLP's +3.9%
FANG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 36.3%, EPS growth -63.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.2%
- 36.3% revenue growth vs NRP's -17.4%
NRP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 9.7% 10Y total return vs HCC's 12.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.01, Low D/E 5.2%, current ratio 1.85x
- 51.6% margin vs BTU's -3.1%
- Beta 0.01 vs HCC's 0.57, lower leverage
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 36.3% revenue growth vs NRP's -17.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.9x vs 23.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 51.6% margin vs BTU's -3.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.01 vs HCC's 0.57, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 10.3% yield, vs BTU's 1.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +92.2% vs ARLP's +3.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.6% ROA vs BTU's -2.1%, ROIC 16.1% vs 0.0% |
ARLP vs BTU vs HCC vs FANG vs NRP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ARLP vs BTU vs HCC vs FANG vs NRP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
NRP leads in 3 of 6 categories
BTU leads 1 • ARLP leads 0 • HCC leads 0 • FANG leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NRP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FANG is the larger business by revenue, generating $15.2B annually — 82.3x NRP's $185M. NRP is the more profitable business, keeping 51.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BTU's -3.1%. On growth, HCC holds the edge at +53.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.2B | $3.9B | $1.5B | $15.2B | $185M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $626M | $333M | $289M | $8.6B | $142M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $246M | -$120M | $138M | $403M | $95M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $339M | $127M | -$135M | $1.6B | $164M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +23.9% | +3.5% | +38.2% | +41.8% | +69.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +14.4% | -2.3% | +9.7% | +22.1% | +67.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +11.3% | -3.1% | +9.4% | +2.7% | +51.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.6% | +3.3% | -9.2% | +10.5% | +89.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.5% | +3.9% | +53.8% | +5.2% | -29.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -87.7% | -2.0% | +9.6% | -98.3% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
BTU leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.6x trailing earnings, ARLP trades at a 87% valuation discount to HCC's 81.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ARLP's 5.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HCC's 19.5x.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.3B | $2.9B | $4.6B | $53.6B | $1.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.7B | $2.9B | $4.6B | $68.0B | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.56x | -55.98x | 81.27x | 33.24x | 11.26x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.17x | 7.88x | 11.40x | 10.68x | 23.94x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 5.40x | 6.80x | 19.52x | 6.83x | 9.72x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.50x | 0.76x | 3.54x | 3.57x | 7.40x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.76x | 0.82x | 2.16x | 1.28x | 2.37x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.48x | 5.55x | — | 10.23x | 9.03x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NRP leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NRP delivers a 15.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $-3 for BTU. NRP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FANG's 0.34x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NRP scores 5/9 vs HCC's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.5% | -3.3% | +6.4% | +0.9% | +15.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.6% | -2.1% | +5.0% | +0.6% | +12.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.9% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +6.7% | +16.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +14.5% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +7.6% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.26x | 0.14x | 0.13x | 0.34x | 0.05x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $409M | -$64M | -$29M | $14.4B | $3M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $71M | $575M | $300M | $106M | $30M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $480M | $511M | $271M | $14.5B | $33M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.19x | -2.13x | 14.30x | 0.66x | 23.35x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NRP leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NRP five years ago would be worth $73,134 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $26,372 for FANG. Over the past 12 months, HCC leads with a +92.2% total return vs ARLP's +3.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NRP at 36.3% vs BTU's 2.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.3% | -21.3% | -1.8% | +25.7% | +9.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +3.9% | +70.1% | +92.2% | +50.1% | +17.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +72.4% | +8.2% | +132.2% | +57.5% | +153.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +519.0% | +387.7% | +469.2% | +163.7% | +631.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +195.5% | -10.1% | +1201.9% | +162.5% | +971.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +19.9% | +2.7% | +32.4% | +16.3% | +36.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FANG and NRP each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NRP is the less volatile stock with a 0.01 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HCC's 0.57 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FANG currently trades 88.8% from its 52-week high vs BTU's 58.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.07x | 0.18x | 0.57x | 0.09x | 0.01x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $29.45 | $41.14 | $105.34 | $214.51 | $128.60 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $22.20 | $12.58 | $40.80 | $127.75 | $91.79 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.8% | +58.5% | +83.3% | +88.8% | +87.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.2 | 32.3 | 48.6 | 49.7 | 39.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 380K | 3.4M | 848K | 3.4M | 33K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ARLP and BTU each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ARLP as "Hold", BTU as "Hold", HCC as "Hold", FANG as "Buy", NRP as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 51.6% upside for BTU (target: $37) vs 5.7% for FANG (target: $201). For income investors, ARLP offers the higher dividend yield at 10.28% vs HCC's 0.39%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $30.00 | $36.50 | $112.50 | $201.27 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 33 | 24 | 51 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +10.3% | +1.2% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +3.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.63 | $0.30 | $0.34 | $4.00 | $4.25 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +3.8% | 0.0% |
NRP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BTU leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
ARLP vs BTU vs HCC vs FANG vs NRP: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Diamondback Energy, Inc.
(FANG) is the stronger pick with 36. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -17. 4% for Natural Resource Partners L. P. (NRP). Alliance Resource Partners, L. P. (ARLP) offers the better valuation at 10. 6x trailing P/E (11. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) a "Buy" — based on 51 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP?
On trailing P/E, Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) is the cheapest at 10. 6x versus Warrior Met Coal, Inc. at 81. 3x. On forward P/E, Peabody Energy Corporation is actually cheaper at 7. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP?
Over the past 5 years, Natural Resource Partners L.
P. (NRP) delivered a total return of +631. 3%, compared to +163. 7% for Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HCC returned +1202% versus BTU's -10. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Natural Resource Partners L.
P. (NRP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 01β versus Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 's 0. 57β — meaning HCC is approximately 6108% more volatile than NRP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Natural Resource Partners L. P. (NRP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 34% for Diamondback Energy, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Diamondback Energy, Inc.
(FANG) is pulling ahead at 36. 3% versus -17. 4% for Natural Resource Partners L. P. (NRP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Natural Resource Partners L. P. grew EPS -11. 5% year-over-year, compared to -115. 9% for Peabody Energy Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, FANG leads at 16. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP?
Natural Resource Partners L.
P. (NRP) is the more profitable company, earning 66. 0% net margin versus -1. 4% for Peabody Energy Corporation — meaning it keeps 66. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NRP leads at 68. 9% versus 0. 0% for BTU. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NRP leads at 81. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) trades at 7.
9x forward P/E versus 23. 9x for Natural Resource Partners L. P. — 16. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BTU: 51. 6% to $36. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Alliance Resource Partners, L. P. (ARLP) offers the highest yield at 10. 3%, versus 0. 4% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC).
09Is ARLP or BTU or HCC or FANG or NRP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Natural Resource Partners L.
P. (NRP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 01), 3. 8% yield, +971. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NRP: +971. 6%, HCC: +1202%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARLP and BTU and HCC and FANG and NRP?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ARLP is a small-cap deep-value stock; BTU is a small-cap quality compounder stock; HCC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; FANG is a mid-cap high-growth stock; NRP is a small-cap deep-value stock. ARLP, BTU, FANG, NRP pay a dividend while HCC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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