REIT - Mortgage
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ARR vs AGNC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
ARR vs AGNC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $2.16B | $9.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $993M | $3.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $241M | $838M |
| Gross Margin | 95.8% | 100.0% |
| Operating Margin | 84.7% | 107.1% |
| Forward P/E | 5.7x | 6.9x |
| Total Debt | $17.94B | $64M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $63M | $505M |
ARR vs AGNC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMOUR Residential … (ARR) | 100 | 44.5 | -55.5% |
| AGNC Investment Cor… (AGNC) | 100 | 83.4 | -16.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARR vs AGNC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.65, yield 17.3%
- Rev growth 444.1%, EPS growth 7.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.65, current ratio 0.01x
AGNC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 47.8% 10Y total return vs ARR's -11.4%
- 24.2% margin vs ARR's 24.2%
- +40.9% vs ARR's +26.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 444.1% FFO/revenue growth vs AGNC's 384.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (5.7x vs 6.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 24.2% margin vs ARR's 24.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.65 vs AGNC's 0.74 | |
| Dividends | 17.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AGNC's 14.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.9% vs ARR's +26.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.2% ROA vs AGNC's 0.8%, ROIC 6.8% vs 34.0% |
ARR vs AGNC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.5B annually — 3.5x ARR's $993M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 24.2% (AGNC) to 24.2% (ARR). On growth, AGNC holds the edge at +2.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $993M | $3.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $758M | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $241M | $838M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $134M | $604M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +95.8% | +100.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +84.7% | +107.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +24.2% | +24.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +13.5% | +17.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -84.8% | +2.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.5% | +84.6% |
Valuation Metrics
ARR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.3x trailing earnings, ARR trades at a 54% valuation discount to AGNC's 11.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AGNC's 2.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than ARR's 20.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.2B | $9.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $20.0B | $9.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 5.28x | 11.60x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 5.67x | 6.92x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 20.77x | 2.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.66x | 1.99x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.73x | 0.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.41x | 112.59x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARR leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARR delivers a 11.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $7 for AGNC. AGNC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARR's 7.94x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARR scores 7/9 vs AGNC's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.5% | +7.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.2% | +0.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.8% | +34.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +31.5% | +4.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 7.94x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $17.9B | -$441M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $63M | $505M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $17.9B | $64M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.50x | 1.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AGNC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AGNC five years ago would be worth $9,879 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,392 for ARR. Over the past 12 months, AGNC leads with a +40.9% total return vs ARR's +26.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AGNC at 16.7% vs ARR's 2.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +26.1% | +40.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +6.0% | +59.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -36.1% | -1.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -11.4% | +47.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.0% | +16.7% |
Risk & Volatility
ARR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARR is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AGNC's 0.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.65x | 0.74x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.31 | $12.19 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.98 | $8.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.3% | +88.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.9 | 50.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.1M | 18.4M |
Analyst Outlook
ARR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARR as "Hold" and AGNC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 4.7% upside for ARR (target: $18) vs 3.2% for AGNC (target: $11). For income investors, ARR offers the higher dividend yield at 17.25% vs AGNC's 14.63%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $18.25 | $11.13 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +17.3% | +14.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.01 | $1.58 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | 0.0% |
ARR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). AGNC leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns).
ARR vs AGNC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARR or AGNC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the stronger pick with 444. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 384. 7% for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC). ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) offers the better valuation at 5. 3x trailing P/E (5. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) a "Hold" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARR or AGNC?
On trailing P/E, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the cheapest at 5. 3x versus AGNC Investment Corp. at 11. 6x. On forward P/E, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is actually cheaper at 5. 7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARR or AGNC?
Over the past 5 years, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) delivered a total return of -1. 2%, compared to -36. 1% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AGNC returned +47. 8% versus ARR's -11. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARR or AGNC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 65β versus AGNC Investment Corp. 's 0. 74β — meaning AGNC is approximately 14% more volatile than ARR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 8% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARR or AGNC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is pulling ahead at 444. 1% versus 384. 7% for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AGNC Investment Corp. grew EPS 1760% year-over-year, compared to 747. 1% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARR or AGNC?
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the more profitable company, earning 24. 7% net margin versus 17. 7% for AGNC Investment Corp. — meaning it keeps 24. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AGNC leads at 79. 6% versus 73. 9% for ARR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AGNC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARR or AGNC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) trades at 5. 7x forward P/E versus 6. 9x for AGNC Investment Corp. — 1. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ARR: 4. 7% to $18. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARR or AGNC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) offers the highest yield at 17. 3%, versus 14. 6% for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC).
09Is ARR or AGNC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 65), 17. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARR: -11. 4%, AGNC: +47. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARR and AGNC?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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