REIT - Mortgage
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ARR vs NLY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
ARR vs NLY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $2.16B | $16.19B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $993M | $6.70B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $241M | $2.03B |
| Gross Margin | 95.8% | 99.2% |
| Operating Margin | 84.7% | 102.6% |
| Forward P/E | 5.7x | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $17.94B | $111.86B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $63M | $2.04B |
ARR vs NLY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMOUR Residential … (ARR) | 100 | 44.5 | -55.5% |
| Annaly Capital Mana… (NLY) | 100 | 91.5 | -8.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARR vs NLY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.65, yield 17.3%
- Rev growth 444.1%, EPS growth 7.5%
- 444.1% FFO/revenue growth vs NLY's 5.4%
NLY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 36.7% 10Y total return vs ARR's -11.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.64, current ratio 0.03x
- Beta 0.64, yield 13.0%, current ratio 0.03x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 444.1% FFO/revenue growth vs NLY's 5.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (5.7x vs 7.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.3% margin vs ARR's 24.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.64 vs ARR's 0.65, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 17.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs NLY's 13.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +33.2% vs ARR's +26.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.7% ROA vs ARR's 1.2%, ROIC 6.4% vs 6.8% |
ARR vs NLY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
ARR vs NLY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NLY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.7B annually — 6.7x ARR's $993M. NLY is the more profitable business, keeping 30.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ARR's 24.2%. On growth, NLY holds the edge at -8.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $993M | $6.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $758M | $6.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $241M | $2.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $134M | -$222M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +95.8% | +99.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +84.7% | +102.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +24.2% | +30.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +13.5% | -3.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -84.8% | -8.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.5% | +79.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ARR leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.3x trailing earnings, ARR trades at a 32% valuation discount to NLY's 7.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NLY's 18.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than ARR's 20.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.2B | $16.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $20.0B | $126.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 5.28x | 7.72x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 5.67x | 7.51x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 20.77x | 18.34x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.66x | 2.42x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.73x | 0.89x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.41x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARR leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NLY delivers a 14.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $11 for ARR. NLY carries lower financial leverage with a 6.92x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARR's 7.94x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARR scores 7/9 vs NLY's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.5% | +14.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.2% | +1.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.8% | +6.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +31.5% | +19.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 7.94x | 6.92x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $17.9B | $109.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $63M | $2.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $17.9B | $111.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.50x | 1.42x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NLY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NLY five years ago would be worth $10,219 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,392 for ARR. Over the past 12 months, NLY leads with a +33.2% total return vs ARR's +26.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NLY at 17.2% vs ARR's 2.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +26.1% | +33.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +6.0% | +60.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -36.1% | +2.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -11.4% | +36.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.0% | +17.2% |
Risk & Volatility
NLY leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NLY is the less volatile stock with a 0.64 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARR's 0.65 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.65x | 0.64x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.31 | $24.52 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.98 | $18.43 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.3% | +91.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.9 | 50.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.1M | 7.1M |
Analyst Outlook
ARR leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARR as "Hold" and NLY as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 8.7% upside for NLY (target: $25) vs 4.7% for ARR (target: $18). For income investors, ARR offers the higher dividend yield at 17.25% vs NLY's 13.03%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $18.25 | $24.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +17.3% | +13.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.01 | $2.94 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | +0.1% |
NLY leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). ARR leads in 3 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency).
ARR vs NLY: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARR or NLY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the stronger pick with 444. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 4% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY). ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) offers the better valuation at 5. 3x trailing P/E (5. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARR or NLY?
On trailing P/E, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the cheapest at 5. 3x versus Annaly Capital Management, Inc. at 7. 7x. On forward P/E, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is actually cheaper at 5. 7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARR or NLY?
Over the past 5 years, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) delivered a total return of +2. 2%, compared to -36. 1% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NLY returned +36. 7% versus ARR's -11. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARR or NLY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 64β versus ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. 's 0. 65β — meaning ARR is approximately 1% more volatile than NLY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 8% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARR or NLY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is pulling ahead at 444. 1% versus 5. 4% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. grew EPS 747. 1% year-over-year, compared to 80. 2% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARR or NLY?
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the more profitable company, earning 30. 3% net margin versus 24. 7% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. — meaning it keeps 30. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NLY leads at 102. 6% versus 73. 9% for ARR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NLY leads at 99. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARR or NLY more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) trades at 5. 7x forward P/E versus 7. 5x for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. — 1. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NLY: 8. 7% to $24. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARR or NLY?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) offers the highest yield at 17. 3%, versus 13. 0% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY).
09Is ARR or NLY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 64), 13. 0% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NLY: +36. 7%, ARR: -11. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARR and NLY?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ARR is a small-cap high-growth stock; NLY is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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