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BBAI vs AIOT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Communication Equipment
BBAI vs AIOT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Information Technology Services | Communication Equipment |
| Market Cap | $20.67B | $451M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $127M | $436M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-289M | $-32M |
| Gross Margin | 25.8% | 55.2% |
| Operating Margin | -68.3% | 1.7% |
| Total Debt | $24M | $287M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $87M | $49M |
BBAI vs AIOT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BigBear.ai Holdings… (BBAI) | 100 | 276.2 | +176.2% |
| PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) | 100 | 74.4 | -25.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BBAI vs AIOT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BBAI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 3.31
- Lower volatility, beta 3.31, Low D/E 4.0%, current ratio 1.78x
- +41.4% vs AIOT's -34.1%
AIOT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 66.3%, EPS growth 60.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 42.2%
- -30.6% 10Y total return vs BBAI's -55.5%
- Beta 2.70, yield 22.8%, current ratio 1.12x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 66.3% revenue growth vs BBAI's -19.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | -7.4% margin vs BBAI's -226.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.70 vs BBAI's 3.31 | |
| Dividends | 22.8% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +41.4% vs AIOT's -34.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -3.4% ROA vs BBAI's -35.3%, ROIC -4.3% vs -19.5% |
BBAI vs AIOT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BBAI vs AIOT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AIOT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AIOT is the larger business by revenue, generating $436M annually — 3.4x BBAI's $127M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -7.4% (AIOT) to -2.3% (BBAI). On growth, AIOT holds the edge at +47.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $127M | $436M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$75M | $69M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$289M | -$32M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$56M | $3M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +25.8% | +55.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -68.3% | +1.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -2.3% | -7.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -44.3% | +0.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.9% | +47.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +52.0% | -25.5% |
Valuation Metrics
AIOT leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $20.7B | $451M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $20.6B | $689M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -5.33x | -7.70x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 43.39x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 161.92x | 1.24x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 25.63x | 0.89x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AIOT leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AIOT delivers a -6.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-7 in annual profit, vs $-51 for BBAI. BBAI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.04x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AIOT's 0.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BBAI scores 4/9 vs AIOT's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -50.7% | -6.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -35.3% | -3.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -19.5% | -4.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -19.6% | -5.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.04x | 0.64x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$63M | $238M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $87M | $49M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $24M | $287M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -16.44x | 0.47x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BBAI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AIOT five years ago would be worth $6,939 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,505 for BBAI. Over the past 12 months, BBAI leads with a +41.4% total return vs AIOT's -34.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BBAI at 16.1% vs AIOT's -11.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -25.2% | -37.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +41.4% | -34.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.6% | -30.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -54.9% | -30.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -55.5% | -30.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +16.1% | -11.5% |
Risk & Volatility
AIOT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AIOT is the less volatile stock with a 2.70 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BBAI's 3.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AIOT currently trades 54.5% from its 52-week high vs BBAI's 46.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 3.31x | 2.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.39 | $6.07 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.96 | $2.77 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +46.5% | +54.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.5 | 53.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 34.4M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
BBAI leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BBAI as "Hold" and AIOT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 141.7% upside for AIOT (target: $8) vs 37.3% for BBAI (target: $6). AIOT is the only dividend payer here at 22.76% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.00 | $8.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 5 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +22.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.6% |
AIOT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). BBAI leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook).
BBAI vs AIOT: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BBAI or AIOT a better buy right now?
Analysts rate PowerFleet, Inc.
(AIOT) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BBAI or AIOT?
Over the past 5 years, PowerFleet, Inc.
(AIOT) delivered a total return of -30. 6%, compared to -54. 9% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AIOT returned -28. 7% versus BBAI's -57. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BBAI or AIOT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PowerFleet, Inc.
(AIOT) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 70β versus BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. 's 3. 31β — meaning BBAI is approximately 23% more volatile than AIOT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 4% versus 64% for PowerFleet, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BBAI or AIOT?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: PowerFleet, Inc.
grew EPS 60. 6% year-over-year, compared to 35. 4% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AIOT leads at 42. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BBAI or AIOT?
PowerFleet, Inc.
(AIOT) is the more profitable company, earning -14. 1% net margin versus -230. 2% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps -14. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AIOT leads at -7. 1% versus -65. 3% for BBAI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AIOT leads at 53. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BBAI or AIOT?
In this comparison, AIOT (22.
8% yield) pays a dividend. BBAI does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is BBAI or AIOT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, PowerFleet, Inc.
(AIOT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (22. 8% yield). BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) carries a higher beta of 3. 31 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AIOT: -28. 7%, BBAI: -57. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BBAI and AIOT?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BBAI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AIOT is a small-cap income-oriented stock. AIOT pays a dividend while BBAI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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