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BBAI vs NVDA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Semiconductors
BBAI vs NVDA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Information Technology Services | Semiconductors |
| Market Cap | $19.58B | $4.78T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $127M | $215.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-289M | $120.07B |
| Gross Margin | 25.8% | 71.1% |
| Operating Margin | -68.3% | 60.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 23.7x |
| Total Debt | $24M | $11.41B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $87M | $10.61B |
BBAI vs NVDA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BigBear.ai Holdings… (BBAI) | 100 | 42.6 | -57.4% |
| NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) | 100 | 1309.1 | +1209.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BBAI vs NVDA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BBAI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 3.31
NVDA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 65.5%, EPS growth 66.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 100.0%
- 224.0% 10Y total return vs BBAI's -57.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.73, Low D/E 7.3%, current ratio 3.91x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 65.5% revenue growth vs BBAI's -19.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 55.6% margin vs BBAI's -226.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.73 vs BBAI's 3.31 | |
| Dividends | 0.0% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +72.7% vs BBAI's +29.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 58.1% ROA vs BBAI's -35.3%, ROIC 81.8% vs -19.5% |
BBAI vs NVDA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BBAI vs NVDA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVDA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVDA is the larger business by revenue, generating $215.9B annually — 1695.6x BBAI's $127M. NVDA is the more profitable business, keeping 55.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BBAI's -2.3%. On growth, NVDA holds the edge at +73.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $127M | $215.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$75M | $133.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$289M | $120.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$56M | $96.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +25.8% | +71.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -68.3% | +60.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -2.3% | +55.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -44.3% | +44.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.9% | +73.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +52.0% | +97.8% |
Valuation Metrics
BBAI leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $19.6B | $4.78T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $19.5B | $4.78T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -5.05x | 40.10x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 23.74x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 35.85x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 153.40x | 22.12x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 24.28x | 30.52x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 49.40x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NVDA leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NVDA delivers a 76.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $76 in annual profit, vs $-51 for BBAI. BBAI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.04x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NVDA's 0.07x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -50.7% | +76.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -35.3% | +58.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -19.5% | +81.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -19.6% | +97.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.04x | 0.07x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$63M | $807M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $87M | $10.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $24M | $11.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -16.44x | 545.03x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NVDA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NVDA five years ago would be worth $135,979 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,281 for BBAI. Over the past 12 months, NVDA leads with a +72.7% total return vs BBAI's +29.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NVDA at 90.0% vs BBAI's 14.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -29.1% | +4.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +29.0% | +72.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +51.1% | +585.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -57.2% | +1259.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -57.9% | +22397.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.7% | +90.0% |
Risk & Volatility
NVDA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NVDA is the less volatile stock with a 1.73 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BBAI's 3.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NVDA currently trades 90.6% from its 52-week high vs BBAI's 44.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 3.31x | 1.73x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.39 | $216.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.96 | $110.82 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +44.1% | +90.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.4 | 53.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 33.8M | 166.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BBAI as "Hold" and NVDA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 44.9% upside for BBAI (target: $6) vs 41.9% for NVDA (target: $279).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.00 | $278.83 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 79 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.04 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.8% |
NVDA leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BBAI leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
BBAI vs NVDA: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BBAI or NVDA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the stronger pick with 65.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 3% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI). NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) offers the better valuation at 40. 1x trailing P/E (23. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) a "Buy" — based on 79 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BBAI or NVDA?
Over the past 5 years, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) delivered a total return of +1260%, compared to -57.
2% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NVDA returned +224. 0% versus BBAI's -57. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BBAI or NVDA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
73β versus BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. 's 3. 31β — meaning BBAI is approximately 92% more volatile than NVDA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 4% versus 7% for NVIDIA Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BBAI or NVDA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is pulling ahead at 65.
5% versus -19. 3% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NVIDIA Corporation grew EPS 66. 7% year-over-year, compared to 35. 4% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NVDA leads at 100. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BBAI or NVDA?
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the more profitable company, earning 55.
6% net margin versus -230. 2% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 55. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVDA leads at 60. 4% versus -65. 3% for BBAI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NVDA leads at 71. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is BBAI or NVDA more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BBAI: 44.
9% to $6. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — BBAI or NVDA?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is BBAI or NVDA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+224.
0% 10Y return). BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) carries a higher beta of 3. 31 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NVDA: +224. 0%, BBAI: -57. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between BBAI and NVDA?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BBAI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NVDA is a mega-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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