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BBAI vs PLTR vs KTOS vs SPIR vs AIOT

Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.

Live fundamentals10-year financials5-year price chart
BBAI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

Information Technology Services

TechnologyNYSE • US
Market Cap$19.73B
5Y Perf.+176.2%
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.

Software - Infrastructure

TechnologyNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$314.08B
5Y Perf.+441.1%
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

Aerospace & Defense

IndustrialsNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$10.68B
5Y Perf.+184.9%
SPIR
Spire Global, Inc.

Specialty Business Services

IndustrialsNYSE • US
Market Cap$529.86B
5Y Perf.+48.7%
AIOT
PowerFleet, Inc.

Communication Equipment

TechnologyNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$463M
5Y Perf.-25.6%

BBAI vs PLTR vs KTOS vs SPIR vs AIOT — Key Financials

Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.

Company Snapshot
BBAI logoBBAI
PLTR logoPLTR
KTOS logoKTOS
SPIR logoSPIR
AIOT logoAIOT
IndustryInformation Technology ServicesSoftware - InfrastructureAerospace & DefenseSpecialty Business ServicesCommunication Equipment
Market Cap$19.73B$314.08B$10.68B$529.86B$463M
Revenue (TTM)$127M$5.22B$1.42B$72M$436M
Net Income (TTM)$-289M$2.28B$29M$-25.02B$-32M
Gross Margin25.8%84.1%18.3%40.8%55.2%
Operating Margin-68.3%38.1%1.8%-121.4%1.7%
Forward P/E107.1x73.5x10.0x
Total Debt$24M$229M$180M$8.76B$287M
Cash & Equiv.$87M$1.42B$561M$24.81B$49M

BBAI vs PLTR vs KTOS vs SPIR vs AIOTLong-Term Stock Performance

Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.

BBAI
PLTR
KTOS
SPIR
AIOT
StockJun 24May 26Return
BigBear.ai Holdings… (BBAI)100276.2+176.2%
Palantir Technologi… (PLTR)100541.1+441.1%
Kratos Defense & Se… (KTOS)100284.9+184.9%
Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR)100148.7+48.7%
PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)10074.4-25.6%

Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.

Quick Verdict: BBAI vs PLTR vs KTOS vs SPIR vs AIOT

Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.

Bottom line: PLTR and SPIR are tied at the top with 2 categories each (5-stock set) — the right choice depends on your priorities. Spire Global, Inc. is the stronger pick specifically for valuation and capital efficiency and recent price momentum and sentiment. AIOT and KTOS also each lead in at least one category. This set spans 2 sectors — these stocks serve different portfolio roles, not just different price points.
BBAI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
The Income Pick

BBAI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.

  • Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 3.31
Best for: income & stability
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
The Long-Run Compounder

PLTR has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.

  • 13.4% 10Y total return vs KTOS's 12.3%
  • Lower volatility, beta 1.91, Low D/E 3.1%, current ratio 7.11x
  • 43.7% margin vs SPIR's -349.6%
  • 26.4% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC 22.3% vs -0.1%
Best for: long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
The Defensive Pick

KTOS is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.

  • Beta 1.84, current ratio 4.06x
  • Beta 1.84 vs BBAI's 3.31
Best for: defensive
SPIR
Spire Global, Inc.
The Value Play

SPIR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and momentum is your priority.

  • Better valuation composite
  • +73.1% vs AIOT's -32.7%
Best for: value and momentum
AIOT
PowerFleet, Inc.
The Growth Play

AIOT ranks third and is worth considering specifically for growth exposure.

  • Rev growth 66.3%, EPS growth 60.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 42.2%
  • 66.3% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2%
  • 22.2% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other 4 pay no meaningful dividend
Best for: growth exposure
See the full category breakdown
CategoryWinnerWhy
GrowthAIOT logoAIOT66.3% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2%
ValueSPIR logoSPIRBetter valuation composite
Quality / MarginsPLTR logoPLTR43.7% margin vs SPIR's -349.6%
Stability / SafetyKTOS logoKTOSBeta 1.84 vs BBAI's 3.31
DividendsAIOT logoAIOT22.2% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other 4 pay no meaningful dividend
Momentum (1Y)SPIR logoSPIR+73.1% vs AIOT's -32.7%
Efficiency (ROA)PLTR logoPLTR26.4% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC 22.3% vs -0.1%

BBAI vs PLTR vs KTOS vs SPIR vs AIOT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment

How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units

BBAIBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
FY 2024
Reportable Segment
100.0%$158M
PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.
FY 2025
Government Operating Segment
53.7%$2.4B
Commercial
46.3%$2.1B
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
FY 2025
Product
65.2%$878M
Service
34.8%$469M
SPIRSpire Global, Inc.

Segment breakdown not available.

AIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
FY 2024
Service
62.8%$84M
Product
37.2%$50M

BBAI vs PLTR vs KTOS vs SPIR vs AIOT — Financial Metrics

Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.

BEST OVERALLPLTRLAGGINGSPIR

Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)

PLTR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.

PLTR is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.2B annually — 73.0x SPIR's $72M. PLTR is the more profitable business, keeping 43.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, PLTR holds the edge at +84.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.

MetricBBAI logoBBAIBigBear.ai Holdin…PLTR logoPLTRPalantir Technolo…KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & …SPIR logoSPIRSpire Global, Inc.AIOT logoAIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
RevenueTrailing 12 months$127M$5.2B$1.4B$72M$436M
EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax-$75M$2.0B$72M-$74M$69M
Net IncomeAfter-tax profit-$289M$2.3B$29M-$25.0B-$32M
Free Cash FlowCash after capex-$56M$2.7B-$133M-$16.2B$3M
Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue+25.8%+84.1%+18.3%+40.8%+55.2%
Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue-68.3%+38.1%+1.8%-121.4%+1.7%
Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue-2.3%+43.7%+2.1%-349.6%-7.4%
FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue-44.3%+51.5%-9.4%-227.0%+0.6%
Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year-0.9%+84.7%+22.6%-26.9%+47.4%
EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+52.0%+3.1%+133.3%+59.5%-25.5%
PLTR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.

Valuation Metrics

AIOT leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.

At 10.0x trailing earnings, SPIR trades at a 98% valuation discount to KTOS's 438.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AIOT's 44.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than PLTR's 217.3x.

MetricBBAI logoBBAIBigBear.ai Holdin…PLTR logoPLTRPalantir Technolo…KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & …SPIR logoSPIRSpire Global, Inc.AIOT logoAIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
Market CapShares × price$19.7B$314.1B$10.7B$529.9B$463M
Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash$19.7B$312.9B$10.3B$513.8B$701M
Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS-5.09x217.56x438.46x10.01x-7.91x
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est.107.12x73.49x
PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple217.25x118.42x44.16x
Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue154.51x70.18x7.93x7405.21x1.28x
Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share24.45x46.95x4.94x4.56x0.91x
Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF149.52x
AIOT leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.

Profitability & Efficiency

PLTR leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.

PLTR delivers a 31.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $-88 for SPIR. PLTR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AIOT's 0.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PLTR scores 8/9 vs AIOT's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.

MetricBBAI logoBBAIBigBear.ai Holdin…PLTR logoPLTRPalantir Technolo…KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & …SPIR logoSPIRSpire Global, Inc.AIOT logoAIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
ROE (TTM)Return on equity-50.7%+31.7%+1.3%-88.4%-6.6%
ROA (TTM)Return on assets-35.3%+26.4%+1.0%-47.3%-3.4%
ROICReturn on invested capital-19.5%+22.3%+1.4%-0.1%-4.3%
ROCEReturn on capital employed-19.6%+21.6%+1.5%-0.1%-5.1%
Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–948453
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage0.04x0.03x0.09x0.08x0.64x
Net DebtTotal debt minus cash-$63M-$1.2B-$381M-$16.1B$238M
Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets$87M$1.4B$561M$24.8B$49M
Total DebtShort + long-term debt$24M$229M$180M$8.8B$287M
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense-18.17x6.16x9.20x0.47x
PLTR leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.

Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)

PLTR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

A $10,000 investment in PLTR five years ago would be worth $69,399 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,035 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, SPIR leads with a +73.1% total return vs AIOT's -32.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PLTR at 160.7% vs AIOT's -10.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.

MetricBBAI logoBBAIBigBear.ai Holdin…PLTR logoPLTRPalantir Technolo…KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & …SPIR logoSPIRSpire Global, Inc.AIOT logoAIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
YTD ReturnYear-to-date-28.6%-18.3%-28.1%+106.4%-35.2%
1-Year ReturnPast 12 months+36.7%+24.1%+58.1%+73.1%-32.7%
3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+49.5%+1670.8%+331.5%+198.1%-28.7%
5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-56.9%+594.0%+110.3%-79.6%-28.7%
10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-57.6%+1342.8%+1231.8%-78.8%-28.7%
CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return+14.3%+160.7%+62.8%+43.9%-10.7%
PLTR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

Risk & Volatility

Evenly matched — KTOS and SPIR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

KTOS is the less volatile stock with a 1.84 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BBAI's 3.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SPIR currently trades 68.3% from its 52-week high vs KTOS's 42.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.

MetricBBAI logoBBAIBigBear.ai Holdin…PLTR logoPLTRPalantir Technolo…KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & …SPIR logoSPIRSpire Global, Inc.AIOT logoAIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 5003.31x1.91x1.84x2.93x2.70x
52-Week HighHighest price in past year$9.39$207.52$134.00$23.59$6.07
52-Week LowLowest price in past year$2.96$107.00$32.85$6.60$2.77
% of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak+44.4%+66.0%+42.5%+68.3%+56.0%
RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–10063.341.238.855.552.2
Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded34.6M46.3M4.3M1.6M1.6M
Evenly matched — KTOS and SPIR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

Analyst Outlook

BBAI leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.

Analyst consensus: BBAI as "Hold", PLTR as "Hold", KTOS as "Buy", SPIR as "Buy", AIOT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 135.3% upside for AIOT (target: $8) vs 7.0% for SPIR (target: $17). AIOT is the only dividend payer here at 22.15% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.

MetricBBAI logoBBAIBigBear.ai Holdin…PLTR logoPLTRPalantir Technolo…KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & …SPIR logoSPIRSpire Global, Inc.AIOT logoAIOTPowerFleet, Inc.
Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sellHoldHoldBuyBuyBuy
Price TargetConsensus 12-month target$6.00$194.53$110.58$17.25$8.00
# AnalystsCovering analysts42622125
Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price+22.2%
Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises21
Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS$0.75
Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap0.0%+0.0%0.0%0.0%+0.6%
BBAI leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Key Takeaway

PLTR leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AIOT leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.

Best OverallPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)Leads 3 of 6 categories
Loading custom metrics...

BBAI vs PLTR vs KTOS vs SPIR vs AIOT: Key Questions Answered

10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily

01

Is BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT a better buy right now?

For growth investors, Palantir Technologies Inc.

(PLTR) is the stronger pick with 56. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 10. 0x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

02

Which has the better valuation — BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT?

On trailing P/E, Spire Global, Inc.

(SPIR) is the cheapest at 10. 0x versus Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. at 438. 5x. On forward P/E, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is actually cheaper at 73. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.

03

Which is the better long-term investment — BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT?

Over the past 5 years, Palantir Technologies Inc.

(PLTR) delivered a total return of +594. 0%, compared to -79. 6% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PLTR returned +1343% versus SPIR's -78. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

04

Which is safer — BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT?

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

(KTOS) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 84β versus BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. 's 3. 31β — meaning BBAI is approximately 80% more volatile than KTOS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 64% for PowerFleet, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

05

Which is growing faster — BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT?

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Palantir Technologies Inc.

(PLTR) is pulling ahead at 56. 2% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Palantir Technologies Inc. grew EPS 231. 6% year-over-year, compared to 18. 2% for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AIOT leads at 42. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

06

Which has better profit margins — BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT?

Spire Global, Inc.

(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus -230. 2% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PLTR leads at 31. 6% versus -121. 4% for SPIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PLTR leads at 82. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

07

Is BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT more undervalued right now?

On forward earnings alone, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

(KTOS) trades at 73. 5x forward P/E versus 107. 1x for Palantir Technologies Inc. — 33. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AIOT: 135. 3% to $8. 00.

08

Which pays a better dividend — BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT?

In this comparison, AIOT (22.

2% yield) pays a dividend. BBAI, PLTR, KTOS, SPIR do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

09

Is BBAI or PLTR or KTOS or SPIR or AIOT better for a retirement portfolio?

For long-horizon retirement investors, Palantir Technologies Inc.

(PLTR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+1343% 10Y return). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (PLTR: +1343%, SPIR: -78. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

10

What are the main differences between BBAI and PLTR and KTOS and SPIR and AIOT?

These companies operate in different sectors (BBAI (Technology) and PLTR (Technology) and KTOS (Industrials) and SPIR (Industrials) and AIOT (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.

In terms of investment character: BBAI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; PLTR is a large-cap high-growth stock; KTOS is a mid-cap high-growth stock; SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock; AIOT is a small-cap income-oriented stock. AIOT pays a dividend while BBAI, PLTR, KTOS, SPIR do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.

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