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BCYC vs PEPG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
BCYC vs PEPG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $357M | $127M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $63M | $0.00 |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-219M | $-90M |
| Gross Margin | -13.3% | — |
| Operating Margin | -381.6% | — |
| Total Debt | $18M | $17M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $628M | $61M |
BCYC vs PEPG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bicycle Therapeutic… (BCYC) | 100 | 32.2 | -67.8% |
| PepGen Inc. (PEPG) | 100 | 16.5 | -83.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BCYC vs PEPG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BCYC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- -57.1% 10Y total return vs PEPG's -85.7%
- 105.8% revenue growth vs PEPG's -1.0%
- -29.5% ROA vs PEPG's -60.4%
PEPG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.17
- EPS growth 25.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.17, Low D/E 11.5%, current ratio 11.94x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 105.8% revenue growth vs PEPG's -1.0% | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.3% margin vs BCYC's -345.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.17 vs BCYC's 1.65 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +43.0% vs BCYC's -30.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -29.5% ROA vs PEPG's -60.4% |
BCYC vs PEPG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PEPG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BCYC and PEPG operate at a comparable scale, with $63M and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $63M | $0 |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$238M | -$90M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$219M | -$90M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$229M | -$82M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -13.3% | — |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.8% | — |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.4% | — |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -3.6% | — |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -91.1% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.1% | +60.3% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — BCYC and PEPG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $357M | $127M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$254M | $84M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.63x | -0.87x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.91x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.58x | 0.53x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BCYC leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BCYC delivers a -35.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-36 in annual profit, vs $-76 for PEPG. BCYC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to PEPG's 0.12x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PEPG scores 4/9 vs BCYC's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -35.7% | -75.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -29.5% | -60.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | -73.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -32.0% | -63.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.03x | 0.12x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$611M | -$44M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $628M | $61M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $18M | $17M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1465.53x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BCYC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BCYC five years ago would be worth $1,621 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,431 for PEPG. Over the past 12 months, PEPG leads with a +43.0% total return vs BCYC's -30.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BCYC at -38.0% vs PEPG's -50.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.9% | -74.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -30.4% | +43.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.2% | -87.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -83.8% | -85.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -57.1% | -85.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -38.0% | -50.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BCYC and PEPG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PEPG is the less volatile stock with a 0.17 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BCYC's 1.65 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BCYC currently trades 55.0% from its 52-week high vs PEPG's 23.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.65x | 0.17x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.36 | $7.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.24 | $1.01 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +55.0% | +23.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.1 | 39.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 484K | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BCYC as "Buy" and PEPG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 279.4% upside for PEPG (target: $7) vs 107.2% for BCYC (target: $11).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.67 | $7.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 6 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BCYC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). PEPG leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
BCYC vs PEPG: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BCYC or PEPG a better buy right now?
Analysts rate Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC) a "Buy" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison.
The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BCYC or PEPG?
Over the past 5 years, Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC) delivered a total return of -83.
8%, compared to -85. 7% for PepGen Inc. (PEPG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BCYC returned -57. 1% versus PEPG's -85. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BCYC or PEPG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PepGen Inc.
(PEPG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 17β versus Bicycle Therapeutics plc's 1. 65β — meaning BCYC is approximately 856% more volatile than PEPG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 12% for PepGen Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BCYC or PEPG?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: PepGen Inc.
grew EPS 25. 6% year-over-year, compared to -9. 0% for Bicycle Therapeutics plc. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BCYC or PEPG?
PepGen Inc.
(PEPG) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 0% net margin versus -301. 7% for Bicycle Therapeutics plc — meaning it keeps 0. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PEPG leads at 0. 0% versus -341. 3% for BCYC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BCYC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BCYC or PEPG?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BCYC or PEPG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, PepGen Inc.
(PEPG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 17)). Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC) carries a higher beta of 1. 65 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (PEPG: -85. 7%, BCYC: -57. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BCYC and PEPG?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BCYC is a small-cap high-growth stock; PEPG is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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