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BGL vs MSEX vs AWR vs YORW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Water
Regulated Water
Regulated Water
BGL vs MSEX vs AWR vs YORW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Regulated Water | Regulated Water | Regulated Water |
| Market Cap | $12M | $958M | $3.03B | $427M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $199M | $679M | $-18M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-2M | $44M | $134M | $21M |
| Gross Margin | — | 33.3% | 44.6% | 54.8% |
| Operating Margin | — | 28.1% | 30.8% | 35.8% |
| Forward P/E | 16.4x | 20.5x | 20.8x | 18.5x |
| Total Debt | $1M | $419M | $943M | $232M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $43K | $3M | $19M | $1K |
BGL vs MSEX vs AWR vs YORW — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 25 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Gold Limited (BGL) | 100 | 2.7 | -97.3% |
| Middlesex Water Com… (MSEX) | 100 | 95.2 | -4.8% |
| American States Wat… (AWR) | 100 | 100.7 | +0.7% |
| The York Water Comp… (YORW) | 100 | 93.7 | -6.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BGL vs MSEX vs AWR vs YORW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BGL is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and quality is your priority.
- Lower P/E (16.4x vs 18.5x)
- 57.0% margin vs AWR's 19.7%
MSEX lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
AWR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 10.5%, EPS growth 6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.2%
- 124.1% 10Y total return vs MSEX's 63.3%
- PEG 2.72 vs MSEX's 12.79
- 10.5% revenue growth vs MSEX's 1.5%
YORW is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 31 yrs, beta 0.10, yield 3.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.10, Low D/E 96.6%
- Beta 0.10, yield 3.0%
- Beta 0.10 vs BGL's 2.14, lower leverage
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.5% revenue growth vs MSEX's 1.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.4x vs 18.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 57.0% margin vs AWR's 19.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.10 vs BGL's 2.14, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 31-year raise streak, vs AWR's 2.5%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -1.4% vs BGL's -94.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.0% ROA vs BGL's -56.7%, ROIC 8.0% vs -5.9% |
BGL vs MSEX vs AWR vs YORW — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
BGL vs MSEX vs AWR vs YORW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AWR leads in 4 of 6 categories
YORW leads 2 • BGL leads 0 • MSEX leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
YORW leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AWR and YORW operate at a comparable scale, with $679M and -$18M in trailing revenue. YORW is the more profitable business, keeping 25.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AWR's 19.7%. On growth, AWR holds the edge at +14.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $199M | $679M | -$18M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$2M | $81M | $259M | $42M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$2M | $44M | $134M | $21M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$793,440 | -$19M | $38M | -$30M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +33.3% | +44.6% | +54.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +28.1% | +30.8% | +35.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | +22.1% | +19.7% | +25.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | -9.7% | +5.6% | -24.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +10.0% | +14.3% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +114.9% | -100.0% | +8.6% | +32.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AWR leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.4x trailing earnings, BGL trades at a 28% valuation discount to AWR's 22.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AWR offers better value at 2.99x vs MSEX's 13.66x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $12M | $958M | $3.0B | $427M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $13M | $1.4B | $3.9B | $659M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.42x | 21.85x | 22.91x | 21.31x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 20.46x | 20.81x | 18.51x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 13.66x | 2.99x | 11.70x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.67x | 15.82x | 15.66x | 15.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 4.92x | 4.60x | 5.51x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.67x | 1.89x | 2.86x | 1.78x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AWR leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AWR delivers a 13.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $-172 for BGL. MSEX carries lower financial leverage with a 0.85x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BGL's 1.00x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AWR scores 6/9 vs BGL's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -171.6% | +9.1% | +13.1% | +8.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -56.7% | +3.2% | +5.0% | +3.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -5.9% | +4.7% | +8.0% | +4.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -7.9% | +4.4% | +8.5% | +4.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.00x | 0.85x | 0.90x | 0.97x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1M | $416M | $924M | $232M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $43,499 | $3M | $19M | $1,000 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1M | $419M | $943M | $232M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -38.74x | 4.33x | 4.35x | 1.92x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AWR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AWR five years ago would be worth $10,855 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $552 for BGL. Over the past 12 months, AWR leads with a -1.4% total return vs BGL's -94.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AWR at -2.9% vs BGL's -61.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -51.7% | +3.3% | +7.5% | -5.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -94.5% | -11.8% | -1.4% | -6.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.5% | -25.0% | -8.6% | -24.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.5% | -28.6% | +8.6% | -30.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.5% | +63.3% | +124.1% | +26.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -61.9% | -9.1% | -2.9% | -9.1% |
Risk & Volatility
AWR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AWR is the less volatile stock with a -0.17 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BGL's 2.14 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AWR currently trades 93.1% from its 52-week high vs BGL's 0.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.14x | -0.08x | -0.17x | 0.10x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $166.50 | $62.18 | $82.94 | $34.30 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.98 | $44.17 | $69.45 | $28.26 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +0.7% | +82.9% | +93.1% | +86.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.0 | 45.6 | 50.5 | 37.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 430K | 158K | 299K | 174K |
Analyst Outlook
YORW leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MSEX as "Buy", AWR as "Hold", YORW as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 15.9% upside for AWR (target: $90) vs 3.8% for MSEX (target: $54). For income investors, YORW offers the higher dividend yield at 2.96% vs AWR's 2.50%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $53.50 | $89.50 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.7% | +2.5% | +3.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 21 | 24 | 31 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.37 | $1.93 | $0.88 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AWR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). YORW leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Analyst Outlook).
BGL vs MSEX vs AWR vs YORW: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American States Water Company (AWR) is the stronger pick with 10.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 5% for Middlesex Water Company (MSEX). Blue Gold Limited (BGL) offers the better valuation at 16. 4x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW?
On trailing P/E, Blue Gold Limited (BGL) is the cheapest at 16.
4x versus American States Water Company at 22. 9x. On forward P/E, The York Water Company is actually cheaper at 18. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: American States Water Company wins at 2. 72x versus Middlesex Water Company's 12. 79x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW?
Over the past 5 years, American States Water Company (AWR) delivered a total return of +8.
6%, compared to -94. 5% for Blue Gold Limited (BGL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AWR returned +124. 1% versus BGL's -94. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), American States Water Company (AWR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
17β versus Blue Gold Limited's 2. 14β — meaning BGL is approximately -1340% more volatile than AWR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 85% versus 100% for Blue Gold Limited — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American States Water Company (AWR) is pulling ahead at 10.
5% versus 1. 5% for Middlesex Water Company (MSEX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American States Water Company grew EPS 6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -70. 6% for Blue Gold Limited. Over a 3-year CAGR, AWR leads at 10. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW?
The York Water Company (YORW) is the more profitable company, earning 25.
9% net margin versus 0. 0% for Blue Gold Limited — meaning it keeps 25. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: YORW leads at 35. 8% versus 0. 0% for BGL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — YORW leads at 54. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, American States Water Company (AWR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 72x versus Middlesex Water Company's 12. 79x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, The York Water Company (YORW) trades at 18. 5x forward P/E versus 20. 8x for American States Water Company — 2. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AWR: 15. 9% to $89. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW?
In this comparison, YORW (3.
0% yield), MSEX (2. 7% yield), AWR (2. 5% yield) pay a dividend. BGL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is BGL or MSEX or AWR or YORW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, American States Water Company (AWR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
17), 2. 5% yield, +124. 1% 10Y return). Blue Gold Limited (BGL) carries a higher beta of 2. 14 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AWR: +124. 1%, BGL: -94. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BGL and MSEX and AWR and YORW?
These companies operate in different sectors (BGL (Basic Materials) and MSEX (Utilities) and AWR (Utilities) and YORW (Utilities)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: BGL is a small-cap deep-value stock; MSEX is a small-cap quality compounder stock; AWR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; YORW is a small-cap quality compounder stock. MSEX, AWR, YORW pay a dividend while BGL does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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