Packaged Foods
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BRBR vs SMPL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
BRBR vs SMPL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $1.30B | $1.26B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.33B | $1.45B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $81M | $91M |
| Gross Margin | 30.2% | 34.0% |
| Operating Margin | 12.6% | 14.4% |
| Forward P/E | 5.8x | 7.6x |
| Total Debt | $1.11B | $304M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $89M | $98M |
BRBR vs SMPL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BellRing Brands, In… (BRBR) | 100 | 55.3 | -44.7% |
| The Simply Good Foo… (SMPL) | 100 | 74.2 | -25.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BRBR vs SMPL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BRBR has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in growth exposure.
- Rev growth 16.1%, EPS growth -9.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 19.1%
- 16.1% revenue growth vs SMPL's 9.0%
- Lower P/E (5.8x vs 7.6x)
SMPL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 0.38
- 5.3% 10Y total return vs BRBR's -32.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.38, Low D/E 16.8%, current ratio 3.64x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 16.1% revenue growth vs SMPL's 9.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (5.8x vs 7.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.3% margin vs BRBR's 3.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.38 vs BRBR's 0.97 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -65.1% vs BRBR's -82.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.0% ROA vs SMPL's 3.7%, ROIC 47.3% vs 8.1% |
BRBR vs SMPL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BRBR vs SMPL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SMPL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BRBR is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.3B annually — 1.6x SMPL's $1.4B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 6.3% (SMPL) to 3.5% (BRBR).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.3B | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $289M | $231M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $81M | $91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $192M | $174M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.2% | +34.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.6% | +14.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.5% | +6.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.2% | +12.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.8% | -0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -35.6% | -31.6% |
Valuation Metrics
BRBR leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.6x trailing earnings, BRBR trades at a 47% valuation discount to SMPL's 12.4x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SMPL's 6.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BRBR's 6.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.3B | $1.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.3B | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 6.61x | 12.38x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 5.83x | 7.57x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.52x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.19x | 6.05x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.56x | 0.87x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 0.71x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.09x | 7.98x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — BRBR and SMPL each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +5.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.0% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +47.3% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +55.3% | +9.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.0B | $206M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $89M | $98M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $304M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.91x | 6.77x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SMPL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BRBR five years ago would be worth $4,372 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,630 for SMPL. Over the past 12 months, SMPL leads with a -65.1% total return vs BRBR's -82.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SMPL at -31.1% vs BRBR's -33.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -57.5% | -35.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -82.5% | -65.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -70.2% | -67.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -56.3% | -63.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -32.7% | +5.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -33.2% | -31.1% |
Risk & Volatility
SMPL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SMPL is the less volatile stock with a 0.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BRBR's 0.97 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SMPL currently trades 34.1% from its 52-week high vs BRBR's 15.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.97x | 0.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $70.80 | $36.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.21 | $10.21 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +15.7% | +34.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 23.1 | 44.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.5M | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BRBR as "Buy" and SMPL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 189.2% upside for BRBR (target: $32) vs 59.7% for SMPL (target: $20).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.10 | $20.17 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +36.5% | +4.0% |
SMPL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). BRBR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
BRBR vs SMPL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BRBR or SMPL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, BellRing Brands, Inc.
(BRBR) is the stronger pick with 16. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 9. 0% for The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL). BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) offers the better valuation at 6. 6x trailing P/E (5. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) a "Buy" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BRBR or SMPL?
On trailing P/E, BellRing Brands, Inc.
(BRBR) is the cheapest at 6. 6x versus The Simply Good Foods Company at 12. 4x. On forward P/E, BellRing Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 5. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BRBR or SMPL?
Over the past 5 years, BellRing Brands, Inc.
(BRBR) delivered a total return of -56. 3%, compared to -63. 7% for The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SMPL returned +5. 3% versus BRBR's -32. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BRBR or SMPL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
38β versus BellRing Brands, Inc. 's 0. 97β — meaning BRBR is approximately 157% more volatile than SMPL relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — BRBR or SMPL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), BellRing Brands, Inc.
(BRBR) is pulling ahead at 16. 1% versus 9. 0% for The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: BellRing Brands, Inc. grew EPS -9. 7% year-over-year, compared to -26. 1% for The Simply Good Foods Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, BRBR leads at 19. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BRBR or SMPL?
BellRing Brands, Inc.
(BRBR) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 3% net margin versus 7. 1% for The Simply Good Foods Company — meaning it keeps 9. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BRBR leads at 15. 4% versus 15. 1% for SMPL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SMPL leads at 35. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BRBR or SMPL more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, BellRing Brands, Inc.
(BRBR) trades at 5. 8x forward P/E versus 7. 6x for The Simply Good Foods Company — 1. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BRBR: 189. 2% to $32. 10.
08Which pays a better dividend — BRBR or SMPL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is BRBR or SMPL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
38)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SMPL: +5. 3%, BRBR: -32. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BRBR and SMPL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BRBR is a small-cap high-growth stock; SMPL is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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