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CARG vs KMX vs AN vs PAG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Auto - Dealerships
Auto - Dealerships
Auto - Dealerships
CARG vs KMX vs AN vs PAG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships |
| Market Cap | $3.77B | $5.71B | $7.05B | $11.29B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $957M | $27.38B | $27.49B | $32.07B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $149M | $458M | $679M | $926M |
| Gross Margin | 89.9% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| Operating Margin | 19.7% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Forward P/E | 15.1x | 14.8x | 9.7x | 13.0x |
| Total Debt | $191M | $19.43B | $10.18B | $8.82B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $191M | $247M | $59M | $65M |
CARG vs KMX vs AN vs PAG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) | 100 | 146.9 | +46.9% |
| CarMax, Inc. (KMX) | 100 | 45.3 | -54.7% |
| AutoNation, Inc. (AN) | 100 | 520.0 | +420.0% |
| Penske Automotive G… (PAG) | 100 | 480.1 | +380.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CARG vs KMX vs AN vs PAG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CARG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 5.0%, EPS growth 6.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -17.2%
- 5.0% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2%
- 15.6% margin vs KMX's 1.7%
- +34.6% vs KMX's -39.4%
KMX lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
AN is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.31 vs CARG's 0.85
- Lower P/E (9.7x vs 13.0x), PEG 0.31 vs 0.81
PAG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.66, yield 3.0%
- 427.6% 10Y total return vs AN's 324.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.66, current ratio 0.99x
- Beta 0.66, yield 3.0%, current ratio 0.99x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 5.0% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.7x vs 13.0x), PEG 0.31 vs 0.81 | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.6% margin vs KMX's 1.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.66 vs KMX's 1.32, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield; 5-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +34.6% vs KMX's -39.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 23.2% ROA vs KMX's 1.8%, ROIC 36.2% vs 2.4% |
CARG vs KMX vs AN vs PAG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CARG vs KMX vs AN vs PAG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CARG leads in 2 of 6 categories
AN leads 1 • PAG leads 1 • KMX leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CARG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PAG is the larger business by revenue, generating $32.1B annually — 33.5x CARG's $957M. CARG is the more profitable business, keeping 15.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KMX's 1.7%. On growth, CARG holds the edge at +8.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $957M | $27.4B | $27.5B | $32.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $218M | $791M | $1.5B | $1.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $149M | $458M | $679M | $926M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $281M | $1.9B | -$104M | $465M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +89.9% | +11.0% | +17.7% | +16.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +19.7% | +1.7% | +4.4% | +3.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +15.6% | +1.7% | +2.5% | +2.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +29.3% | +7.1% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.2% | -13.4% | -2.1% | +3.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.1% | -46.9% | +33.0% | -2.7% |
Valuation Metrics
AN leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.0x trailing earnings, AN trades at a 51% valuation discount to CARG's 24.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AN offers better value at 0.38x vs CARG's 1.37x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.8B | $5.7B | $7.0B | $11.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.8B | $24.9B | $17.2B | $20.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 24.62x | 12.43x | 12.05x | 12.15x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.14x | 14.81x | 9.70x | 12.97x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.37x | — | 0.38x | 0.76x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.64x | 22.61x | 10.83x | 13.80x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.02x | 0.20x | 0.26x | 0.35x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 9.87x | 1.00x | 3.34x | 2.04x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.06x | 36.48x | — | 15.25x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CARG leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CARG delivers a 41.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $42 in annual profit, vs $8 for KMX. CARG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AN's 4.35x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KMX scores 8/9 vs AN's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +41.9% | +7.5% | +28.4% | +16.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +23.2% | +1.8% | +4.8% | +5.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +36.2% | +2.4% | +8.5% | +6.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +30.1% | +3.1% | +17.2% | +11.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.51x | 3.11x | 4.35x | 1.58x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $315,000 | $19.2B | $10.1B | $8.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $191M | $247M | $59M | $65M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $191M | $19.4B | $10.2B | $8.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 3.08x | 4.53x | 6.37x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — CARG and PAG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PAG five years ago would be worth $20,467 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,070 for KMX. Over the past 12 months, CARG leads with a +34.6% total return vs KMX's -39.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CARG at 32.9% vs KMX's -18.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.4% | +1.6% | -0.6% | +9.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +34.6% | -39.4% | +16.9% | +14.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +134.8% | -45.1% | +52.4% | +32.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +39.5% | -69.3% | +94.1% | +104.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +38.4% | -22.1% | +324.6% | +427.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +32.9% | -18.1% | +15.1% | +9.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CARG and PAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.66 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KMX's 1.32 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CARG currently trades 96.8% from its 52-week high vs KMX's 55.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.89x | 1.32x | 0.85x | 0.66x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $39.42 | $71.99 | $228.92 | $189.51 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $26.39 | $30.26 | $174.34 | $140.12 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.8% | +55.4% | +89.7% | +90.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.4 | 47.5 | 53.7 | 65.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 3.2M | 412K | 275K |
Analyst Outlook
PAG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: CARG as "Buy", KMX as "Hold", AN as "Buy", PAG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 20.8% upside for AN (target: $248) vs -5.3% for KMX (target: $38). PAG is the only dividend payer here at 3.02% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $37.42 | $37.78 | $248.00 | $190.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 35 | 34 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | +3.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | $5.19 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +9.3% | +7.5% | +11.2% | +1.4% |
CARG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AN leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
CARG vs KMX vs AN vs PAG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CARG or KMX or AN or PAG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, CarGurus, Inc.
(CARG) is the stronger pick with 5. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). AutoNation, Inc. (AN) offers the better valuation at 12. 0x trailing P/E (9. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CARG or KMX or AN or PAG?
On trailing P/E, AutoNation, Inc.
(AN) is the cheapest at 12. 0x versus CarGurus, Inc. at 24. 6x. On forward P/E, AutoNation, Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: AutoNation, Inc. wins at 0. 31x versus CarGurus, Inc. 's 0. 85x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CARG or KMX or AN or PAG?
Over the past 5 years, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) delivered a total return of +104. 7%, compared to -69. 3% for CarMax, Inc. (KMX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PAG returned +427. 6% versus KMX's -22. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CARG or KMX or AN or PAG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 66β versus CarMax, Inc. 's 1. 32β — meaning KMX is approximately 99% more volatile than PAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 4% for AutoNation, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CARG or KMX or AN or PAG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), CarGurus, Inc.
(CARG) is pulling ahead at 5. 0% versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: CarGurus, Inc. grew EPS 675. 0% year-over-year, compared to -2. 5% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, PAG leads at 4. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CARG or KMX or AN or PAG?
CarGurus, Inc.
(CARG) is the more profitable company, earning 16. 6% net margin versus 1. 8% for CarMax, Inc. — meaning it keeps 16. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CARG leads at 20. 7% versus 2. 8% for KMX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CARG leads at 89. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CARG or KMX or AN or PAG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, AutoNation, Inc. (AN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 31x versus CarGurus, Inc. 's 0. 85x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, AutoNation, Inc. (AN) trades at 9. 7x forward P/E versus 15. 1x for CarGurus, Inc. — 5. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AN: 20. 8% to $248. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — CARG or KMX or AN or PAG?
In this comparison, PAG (3.
0% yield) pays a dividend. CARG, KMX, AN do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is CARG or KMX or AN or PAG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 66), 3. 0% yield, +427. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PAG: +427. 6%, KMX: -22. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CARG and KMX and AN and PAG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: CARG is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KMX is a small-cap deep-value stock; AN is a small-cap deep-value stock; PAG is a mid-cap deep-value stock. PAG pays a dividend while CARG, KMX, AN do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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