Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
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CHDN vs BYD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
CHDN vs BYD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos |
| Market Cap | $6.43B | $6.41B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.95B | $4.09B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $388M | $1.84B |
| Gross Margin | 33.8% | 42.1% |
| Operating Margin | 23.6% | 21.4% |
| Forward P/E | 13.2x | 11.9x |
| Total Debt | $5.20B | $3.27B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $289M | $353M |
CHDN vs BYD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Churchill Downs Inc… (CHDN) | 100 | 139.1 | +39.1% |
| Boyd Gaming Corpora… (BYD) | 100 | 398.3 | +298.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CHDN vs BYD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CHDN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.70, yield 0.5%
- Rev growth 7.0%, EPS growth -6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.70, current ratio 0.60x
BYD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 373.2% 10Y total return vs CHDN's 343.6%
- Lower P/E (11.9x vs 13.2x)
- 45.0% margin vs CHDN's 13.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.0% revenue growth vs BYD's 4.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.9x vs 13.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 45.0% margin vs CHDN's 13.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.70 vs BYD's 0.86 | |
| Dividends | 0.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs CHDN's 0.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +24.3% vs CHDN's +0.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 27.9% ROA vs CHDN's 5.2%, ROIC 12.3% vs 9.4% |
CHDN vs BYD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CHDN vs BYD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CHDN leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BYD and CHDN operate at a comparable scale, with $4.1B and $2.9B in trailing revenue. BYD is the more profitable business, keeping 45.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CHDN's 13.2%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.9B | $4.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $932M | $1.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $388M | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $734M | $388M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +33.8% | +42.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +23.6% | +21.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +45.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +24.9% | +9.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.2% | +2.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.7% | -6.8% |
Valuation Metrics
BYD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 3.8x trailing earnings, BYD trades at a 78% valuation discount to CHDN's 17.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, BYD's 7.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CHDN's 11.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.4B | $6.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.3B | $9.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 17.34x | 3.77x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.24x | 11.87x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.17x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.62x | 7.91x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.20x | 1.57x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.24x | 2.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 12.99x | 16.51x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BYD leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BYD delivers a 91.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $92 in annual profit, vs $36 for CHDN. BYD carries lower financial leverage with a 1.25x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CHDN's 4.92x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CHDN scores 6/9 vs BYD's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +35.7% | +91.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.2% | +27.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.4% | +12.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.1% | +15.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.92x | 1.25x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.9B | $2.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $289M | $353M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.2B | $3.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5.25x | 15.78x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BYD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BYD five years ago would be worth $13,344 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,424 for CHDN. Over the past 12 months, BYD leads with a +24.3% total return vs CHDN's +0.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BYD at 7.5% vs CHDN's -13.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.6% | -1.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +0.5% | +24.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -36.0% | +24.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -5.8% | +33.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +343.6% | +373.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -13.8% | +7.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CHDN and BYD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CHDN is the less volatile stock with a 0.70 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BYD's 0.86 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BYD currently trades 94.7% from its 52-week high vs CHDN's 77.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.70x | 0.86x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $118.46 | $89.96 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $80.24 | $68.98 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.9% | +94.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.1 | 47.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.0M | 935K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CHDN and BYD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CHDN as "Buy" and BYD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 57.0% upside for CHDN (target: $145) vs 11.6% for BYD (target: $95). For income investors, BYD offers the higher dividend yield at 0.84% vs CHDN's 0.47%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $144.84 | $95.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 38 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.5% | +0.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.43 | $0.71 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.7% | +12.1% |
BYD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). CHDN leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
CHDN vs BYD: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CHDN or BYD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the stronger pick with 7.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 1% for Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD). Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) offers the better valuation at 3. 8x trailing P/E (11. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CHDN or BYD?
On trailing P/E, Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) is the cheapest at 3.
8x versus Churchill Downs Incorporated at 17. 3x. On forward P/E, Boyd Gaming Corporation is actually cheaper at 11. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CHDN or BYD?
Over the past 5 years, Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) delivered a total return of +33.
4%, compared to -5. 8% for Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BYD returned +373. 2% versus CHDN's +343. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CHDN or BYD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
70β versus Boyd Gaming Corporation's 0. 86β — meaning BYD is approximately 23% more volatile than CHDN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 125% versus 5% for Churchill Downs Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CHDN or BYD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is pulling ahead at 7.
0% versus 4. 1% for Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Boyd Gaming Corporation grew EPS 264. 5% year-over-year, compared to -6. 3% for Churchill Downs Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, CHDN leads at 17. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CHDN or BYD?
Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) is the more profitable company, earning 45.
0% net margin versus 13. 0% for Churchill Downs Incorporated — meaning it keeps 45. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CHDN leads at 25. 2% versus 21. 4% for BYD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BYD leads at 42. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CHDN or BYD more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) trades at 11.
9x forward P/E versus 13. 2x for Churchill Downs Incorporated — 1. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CHDN: 57. 0% to $144. 84.
08Which pays a better dividend — CHDN or BYD?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) offers the highest yield at 0. 8%, versus 0. 5% for Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN).
09Is CHDN or BYD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
86), 0. 8% yield, +373. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (BYD: +373. 2%, CHDN: +343. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CHDN and BYD?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
BYD pays a dividend while CHDN does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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