Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
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CHDN vs RRR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
CHDN vs RRR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos |
| Market Cap | $6.19B | $3.18B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.95B | $2.01B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $388M | $188M |
| Gross Margin | 33.8% | 59.8% |
| Operating Margin | 23.6% | 29.7% |
| Forward P/E | 12.8x | 17.4x |
| Total Debt | $5.20B | $58M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $289M | $142M |
CHDN vs RRR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Churchill Downs Inc… (CHDN) | 100 | 134.0 | +34.0% |
| Red Rock Resorts, I… (RRR) | 100 | 389.4 | +289.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CHDN vs RRR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CHDN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.70, yield 0.5%
- Rev growth 7.0%, EPS growth -6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.4%
- 317.2% 10Y total return vs RRR's 251.9%
RRR is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 0.98, yield 2.2%, current ratio 0.79x
- 2.2% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs CHDN's 0.5%
- +29.0% vs CHDN's -3.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.0% revenue growth vs RRR's 3.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.8x vs 17.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.2% margin vs RRR's 9.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.70 vs RRR's 0.98 | |
| Dividends | 2.2% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs CHDN's 0.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +29.0% vs CHDN's -3.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.2% ROA vs RRR's 4.6%, ROIC 9.4% vs 23.4% |
CHDN vs RRR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CHDN vs RRR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RRR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CHDN and RRR operate at a comparable scale, with $2.9B and $2.0B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.2% (CHDN) to 9.3% (RRR).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.9B | $2.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $932M | $795M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $388M | $188M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $734M | $610M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +33.8% | +59.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +23.6% | +29.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +9.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +24.9% | +30.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.2% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.7% | +66.7% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — CHDN and RRR each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.7x trailing earnings, CHDN trades at a 3% valuation discount to RRR's 17.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, RRR's 3.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CHDN's 11.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.2B | $3.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.1B | $3.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.70x | 17.22x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.75x | 17.44x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.17x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.38x | 3.89x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.12x | 1.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.01x | 16.59x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 12.51x | 11.00x |
Profitability & Efficiency
RRR leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
RRR delivers a 56.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $57 in annual profit, vs $36 for CHDN. RRR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CHDN's 4.92x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), RRR scores 7/9 vs CHDN's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +35.7% | +56.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.2% | +4.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.4% | +23.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.1% | +15.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.92x | 0.18x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.9B | -$84M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $289M | $142M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.2B | $58M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5.25x | 2.99x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
RRR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in RRR five years ago would be worth $16,833 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,021 for CHDN. Over the past 12 months, RRR leads with a +29.0% total return vs CHDN's -3.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors RRR at 8.1% vs CHDN's -14.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -20.6% | -12.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -3.5% | +29.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.3% | +26.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -9.8% | +68.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +317.2% | +251.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -14.9% | +8.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CHDN and RRR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CHDN is the less volatile stock with a 0.70 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RRR's 0.98 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.70x | 0.98x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $118.46 | $68.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $80.24 | $43.16 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.0% | +77.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.3 | 39.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.0M | 964K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CHDN and RRR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CHDN as "Buy" and RRR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 63.0% upside for CHDN (target: $145) vs 32.9% for RRR (target: $71). For income investors, RRR offers the higher dividend yield at 2.19% vs CHDN's 0.49%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $144.84 | $71.44 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 30 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.5% | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.43 | $1.18 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.9% | +2.5% |
RRR leads in 3 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 3 categories are tied.
CHDN vs RRR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CHDN or RRR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the stronger pick with 7.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 7% for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR). Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) offers the better valuation at 16. 7x trailing P/E (12. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CHDN or RRR?
On trailing P/E, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the cheapest at 16.
7x versus Red Rock Resorts, Inc. at 17. 2x. On forward P/E, Churchill Downs Incorporated is actually cheaper at 12. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CHDN or RRR?
Over the past 5 years, Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
(RRR) delivered a total return of +68. 3%, compared to -9. 8% for Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CHDN returned +317. 2% versus RRR's +251. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CHDN or RRR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
70β versus Red Rock Resorts, Inc. 's 0. 98β — meaning RRR is approximately 41% more volatile than CHDN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 18% versus 5% for Churchill Downs Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CHDN or RRR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is pulling ahead at 7.
0% versus 3. 7% for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Red Rock Resorts, Inc. grew EPS 23. 3% year-over-year, compared to -6. 3% for Churchill Downs Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, CHDN leads at 17. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CHDN or RRR?
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
0% net margin versus 9. 3% for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: RRR leads at 29. 7% versus 25. 2% for CHDN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RRR leads at 52. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CHDN or RRR more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) trades at 12.
8x forward P/E versus 17. 4x for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. — 4. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CHDN: 63. 0% to $144. 84.
08Which pays a better dividend — CHDN or RRR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) offers the highest yield at 2. 2%, versus 0. 5% for Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN).
09Is CHDN or RRR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
(RRR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 98), 2. 2% yield, +251. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (RRR: +251. 9%, CHDN: +317. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CHDN and RRR?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
RRR pays a dividend while CHDN does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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