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CME vs MSCI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
CME vs MSCI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $104.06B | $42.29B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.52B | $3.13B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4.24B | $1.32B |
| Gross Margin | 86.1% | 82.4% |
| Operating Margin | 64.9% | 54.7% |
| Forward P/E | 23.5x | 29.6x |
| Total Debt | $3.76B | $6.31B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $4.42B | $515M |
CME vs MSCI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| CME Group Inc. (CME) | 100 | 157.1 | +57.1% |
| MSCI Inc. (MSCI) | 100 | 176.6 | +76.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CME vs MSCI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CME carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta -0.30, yield 3.8%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.30, Low D/E 13.1%, current ratio 92.97x
- PEG 1.71 vs MSCI's 1.75
MSCI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 9.7%, EPS growth 10.7%
- 7.3% 10Y total return vs CME's 289.3%
- 9.7% NII/revenue growth vs CME's 6.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.7% NII/revenue growth vs CME's 6.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (23.5x vs 29.6x), PEG 1.71 vs 1.75 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MSCI's 0.3% (lower = leaner) | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs MSCI's 1.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +6.9% vs CME's +5.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MSCI's 0.3% |
CME vs MSCI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CME vs MSCI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CME leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CME is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.5B annually — 2.1x MSCI's $3.1B. CME is the more profitable business, keeping 62.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MSCI's 38.4%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.5B | $3.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.7B | $2.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4.2B | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4.4B | $1.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +86.1% | +82.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +64.9% | +54.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +62.0% | +38.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +64.3% | +49.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +21.4% | +49.1% |
Valuation Metrics
CME leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 25.7x trailing earnings, CME trades at a 31% valuation discount to MSCI's 37.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CME offers better value at 1.87x vs MSCI's 2.21x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $104.1B | $42.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $103.4B | $48.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 25.70x | 37.33x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 23.49x | 29.61x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.87x | 2.21x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 22.95x | 24.89x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 15.96x | 13.49x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.60x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 24.81x | 27.30x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MSCI leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MSCI scores 8/9 vs CME's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +15.3% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.2% | +24.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.2% | +34.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.6% | +44.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$666M | $5.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $4.4B | $515M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.8B | $6.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 41.55x | 7.67x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CME leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CME five years ago would be worth $16,437 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,746 for MSCI. Over the past 12 months, MSCI leads with a +6.9% total return vs CME's +5.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CME at 19.8% vs MSCI's 8.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +9.1% | +3.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +5.5% | +6.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.9% | +26.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +64.4% | +27.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +289.3% | +728.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +19.8% | +8.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CME and MSCI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CME is the less volatile stock with a -0.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MSCI's 0.61 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSCI currently trades 92.8% from its 52-week high vs CME's 87.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.30x | 0.61x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $329.16 | $626.28 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $257.17 | $501.08 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.1% | +92.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.0 | 54.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.2M | 527K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CME and MSCI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CME as "Hold" and MSCI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 16.1% upside for MSCI (target: $674) vs 11.7% for CME (target: $320). For income investors, CME offers the higher dividend yield at 3.81% vs MSCI's 1.24%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $320.25 | $674.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.8% | +1.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 11 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $10.92 | $7.20 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | +5.9% |
CME leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MSCI leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
CME vs MSCI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CME or MSCI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the stronger pick with 9. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 6. 4% for CME Group Inc. (CME). CME Group Inc. (CME) offers the better valuation at 25. 7x trailing P/E (23. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MSCI Inc. (MSCI) a "Buy" — based on 27 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CME or MSCI?
On trailing P/E, CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the cheapest at 25. 7x versus MSCI Inc. at 37. 3x. On forward P/E, CME Group Inc. is actually cheaper at 23. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: CME Group Inc. wins at 1. 71x versus MSCI Inc. 's 1. 75x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CME or MSCI?
Over the past 5 years, CME Group Inc.
(CME) delivered a total return of +64. 4%, compared to +27. 5% for MSCI Inc. (MSCI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MSCI returned +728. 5% versus CME's +289. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CME or MSCI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 30β versus MSCI Inc. 's 0. 61β — meaning MSCI is approximately -300% more volatile than CME relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — CME or MSCI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is pulling ahead at 9. 7% versus 6. 4% for CME Group Inc. (CME). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: CME Group Inc. grew EPS 15. 4% year-over-year, compared to 10. 7% for MSCI Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CME or MSCI?
CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the more profitable company, earning 62. 0% net margin versus 38. 4% for MSCI Inc. — meaning it keeps 62. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CME leads at 64. 9% versus 54. 7% for MSCI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CME leads at 86. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CME or MSCI more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, CME Group Inc. (CME) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 71x versus MSCI Inc. 's 1. 75x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, CME Group Inc. (CME) trades at 23. 5x forward P/E versus 29. 6x for MSCI Inc. — 6. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MSCI: 16. 1% to $674. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — CME or MSCI?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
CME Group Inc. (CME) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 1. 2% for MSCI Inc. (MSCI).
09Is CME or MSCI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 30), 3. 8% yield, +289. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CME: +289. 3%, MSCI: +728. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CME and MSCI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: CME is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; MSCI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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