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MSCIMSCI Inc.
$548.88$39.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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MSCI logo

MSCI Inc.

MSCI
NYSE · Financial Data & Exchanges
$548.88
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$39.9B
P/E35.3x
52W High$644.77
Volume747.74K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Fee Revenue Growth Masks Negative Equity Risk

MSCI's recurring fee-based model drives robust revenue growth, with total revenue up 12.2% year-over-year to $867.0M in 2026Q2, and operating margins expanding to 56.2%. However, the balance sheet shows severe strain, with equity at -$2.7B and an equity-to-ass...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MSCI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+33% Peers

P/E is 33% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 40 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 60% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth is driven entirely by fee income, which constitutes 99.1% of total revenue, reaching $858.9M in 2026Q2, while operating margin improved to 56.2% from 54.0% year-over-year.

Analyst Consensus+27.8% target
Buy(27 analysts)
20 Buy6 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Consistent Double‑Digit Revenue & EPS Growth

MSCI has posted year‑over‑year revenue increases consistently exceeding 10%, with earnings per share projected to continue double‑digit growth. This robust performance underpins the company’s ability to generate steady cash flow and fund future expansion.

Dominant Index Market Share

Nearly 70% of all institutional passive assets are tied to MSCI indices, giving the firm a virtually impenetrable moat. The scale and integration of its index offerings create strong client lock‑in and a durable competitive advantage.

Subscription‑Based Recurring Revenue

MSCI’s resilient subscription model drives recurring income, with custom index subscription revenue growing at a mid‑teen rate that outpaces industry norms. This recurring revenue stream provides predictable cash flow and supports long‑term growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MSCI-1.81%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
MSCI-1.98%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
MSCI+11.08%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.67%
5-Year Return
MSCI-10.13%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.92%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
35.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
27.8x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
23.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.9%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
35.3x
42.7x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
23.7x
30.7x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
25.8x
36.9x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$367.57-33.0%
Base (Fair)$466.18-15.7%
Bull$454.51-17.2%
$367.57 Bear$466.18 Base$454.51 Bull
Current Market Price: $548.88
Trades at a 17.7% premium to Base DCF ($466.18)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$2.92B+9.5% YoY
Net income
$1.2B+8.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.55B+5.5% YoY
Operating margin
54.7%+1.2 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)34.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 21, 2026
$4.94-1.0%
vs $4.99
$867M-0.4%
vs $871M
Q2 2026
Apr 21, 2026
$4.55+2.5%
vs $4.44
$851M+1.5%
vs $838M
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$4.66+1.3%
vs $4.60
$823M+0.0%
vs $822M
Q4 2025
Oct 28, 2025
$4.47+2.1%
vs $4.38
$793M-0.5%
vs $797M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 14, 2026
MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

PRNewsWire·Sep 14, 2026
Active ETFs set for further growth as advisers sharpen focus on value and fit

MSCI survey finds 71% of advisers plan to increase their use of active ETFs over the next two years 58% say a new active ETF allocation would most likely displace an existing mutual fund 45% of respondents expect to broaden their equity allocations beyond their home markets over the next two years Nearly half are open to accessing less liquid assets through an ETF, but only 16% think private markets are a good fit for the structure NEW YORK, Sept. 14, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Active ETFs are firmly in the mainstream and set for further growth, but advisers are putting greater emphasis on value, liquidity and structural fit when deciding which products earn a place in portfolios, according to a survey of 450 advisers across the U.S. and Europe by MSCI Inc. (NYSE: MSCI).

Business Wire·Sep 3, 2026
MSCI to Participate in Barclays Annual Global Financial Services Conference

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--MSCI Inc. (“MSCI” or the “Company”) (NYSE: MSCI) announced today that Andy Wiechmann, Chief Financial Officer, will be participating in a fireside chat at the Barclays Annual Global Financial Services Conference on Monday, September 14, 2026, at 10:30 AM Eastern Time. A live webcast and replay of this event will be available on the events and presentations section of MSCI's Investor Relations homepage at https://ir.msci.com/events-and-presentations. About MSCI Inc. MS.

Zacks Investment Research·Aug 20, 2026
Why Is MSCI (MSCI) Down 1% Since Last Earnings Report?

MSCI (MSCI) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?

Filtered for MSCI Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MSCI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for MSCI Inc. (MSCI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MSCI logoMSCIMSCI Inc.Current
$548.88$39.9B35.289.51%38.36%—1.31%
SPGI logoSPGIS&P Global Inc.
$402.44$118.64B27.458.18%30.53%13.43%—
ICE logoICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$152.93$86.25B26.509.27%30%13.78%—
MCO logoMCOMoody's Corporation
$469.24$81.27B34.339.37%34.25%76.44%—
FTNT logoFTNTFortinet, Inc.
$174.26$127.67B71.7114.17%28.17%187.95%—
FDS logoFDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.
$276.42$9.83B17.786%23.21%26.58%—

Compare MSCI vs Peers

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SPGI

Most directly comparable listed peer for MSCI.

Scale Benchmark

vs WFC

Larger-name benchmark to compare MSCI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SPGI, ICE, MCO, FTNT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MSCI SEC Filings & Documents

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 21, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 7, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 9, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 21, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 21, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 28, 2025·SEC

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MSCI Frequently Asked Questions

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is MSCI Inc. growing?

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) grew revenue by 9.5% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is MSCI profitable?

Yes, MSCI Inc. (MSCI) is profitable, generating $1.36B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (38.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MSCI pay dividends?

Yes, MSCI Inc. (MSCI) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.31%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

Industry Metrics
What is MSCI Inc.'s net interest margin?

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) has a net interest margin (NIM) of -3.4%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is MSCI Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) has an efficiency ratio of 27.8%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in MSCI back in 2005?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 21+ years of data

See returns →