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CMECME Group Inc.
$267.21$96.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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CME logo

CME Group Inc.

CME
NASDAQ · Financial Data & Exchanges
$267.21
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$96.08B
P/E23.9x
52W High$329.16
Volume1.8M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Record Volumes Drive Efficiency, Provision Spike Warrants Watch

CME Group's 2026Q2 revenue surged to $1.7B with a 199.1% NII growth, driven by record trading volumes and exceptional operating leverage, as the efficiency ratio improved to 4.4%. However, a 216% spike in provision expenses to $568.3M and an EPS miss of $0.06 ...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CME price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-9% Peers

P/E is 9% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 57 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 57)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue reached $1.7B in 2026Q2, up 199.1% in NII growth, with the efficiency ratio improving to 4.4% from 20.2% a year earlier, though EPS of $2.88 missed consensus by $0.06.

Analyst Consensus+11.9% target
Hold(37 analysts)
14 Buy18 Hold5 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

World‑Leading Derivatives Marketplace

CME Group operates the world’s leading derivatives marketplace, providing critical infrastructure for futures and options across interest rates, equities, currencies, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. Its network effects mean that liquidity attracts more traders, which in turn strengthens its dominant position.

Consistent Revenue Growth 2025

CME posted a 6.32% revenue increase in 2025, reaching $6.51 billion. The growth is driven by strong trading volumes, especially in the Market Data segment, and has resulted in record operating income and Adjusted EPS.

Volatility Drives Trading Activity

Geopolitical uncertainty, interest‑rate swings, and economic shifts increase market volatility, which directly benefits CME by boosting trading activity and the demand for hedging instruments.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CME+2.81%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
CME+6.68%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
CME+48.23%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.48%
5-Year Return
CME+66.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.93%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
23.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.8x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
21.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
23.9x
24.0x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
21.2x
20.1x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
22.9x
23.2x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$212.61-20.4%
Base (Fair)$249.90-9.5%
Bull$262.58-1.7%
$212.61 Bear$249.90 Base$262.58 Bull
Current Market Price: $267.21
Trades at a 6.9% premium to Base DCF ($249.90)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$6.39B+7.1% YoY
Net income
$4.04B+14.7% YoY
Free cash flow
$4.19B+16.6% YoY
Operating margin
64.9%+0.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)10.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)14.6%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 22, 2026
$2.99+2.7%
vs $2.91
$1.7B+1.4%
vs $1.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$3.36+0.6%
vs $3.34
$1.9B+0.3%
vs $1.9B
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$2.77+0.7%
vs $2.75
$1.6B+0.1%
vs $1.6B
Q4 2025
Oct 22, 2025
$2.68+1.9%
vs $2.63
$1.5B+0.5%
vs $1.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
CME Group Expands Equity Derivatives With New Factor Futures

CME expands equity derivatives with new factor futures, offering targeted exposure, margin offsets and flexible trading for institutions.

MarketBeat·4d ago
Not Just Banks: 3 Trading Stocks to Watch After the Fed Rate Hike

What a difference a year makes. In fall 2025, markets expected 2026 to bring rate cuts.

Fool - Investing News·5d ago
Breakfast News: Week in Review

The Fed hiked to 4%, Generac jumped 40% on Amazon warrants, and more

Seeking Alpha·5d ago
Nasdaq: I Am Buying (Together With Another One)

This final deep dive unpacks Nasdaq's strategic evolution beyond its traditional exchange roots into a powerhouse driven by high-margin software, sticky financial crime tech, and recurring solutions. We analyze the upcoming December 6 launch of 23-hour trading, evaluating how expanded operating hours unlock greater utilization across Nasdaq's capital access platforms and software subscriptions. The article ends with a five-point scorecard comparing Nasdaq, ICE, CME, and Cboe, detailing the two winners of this project.

Filtered for CME Group Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CME against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for CME Group Inc. (CME)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CME logoCMECME Group Inc.Current
$267.21$96.08B23.947.06%62.02%14.65%4.09%
ICE logoICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$152.93$86.25B26.509.27%30%13.78%—
CBOE logoCBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.
$266.83$27.92B25.6115.31%26.73%25.75%—
NDAQ logoNDAQNasdaq, Inc.
$94.50$52.82B30.589.86%22.6%16.3%—
MKTX logoMKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.
$163.43$5.75B24.543.85%35.23%24.48%—
MSCI logoMSCIMSCI Inc.
$548.88$39.9B35.289.51%40.74%——

Compare CME vs Peers

CME Group Inc. (CME) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ICE

Most directly comparable listed peer for CME.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare CME against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ICE, CBOE, NDAQ, MKTX

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CME SEC Filings & Documents

CME Group Inc. (CME) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 17, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 24, 2025·SEC

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CME Frequently Asked Questions

CME Group Inc. (CME) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is CME Group Inc. growing?

CME Group Inc. (CME) grew revenue by 7.1% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is CME profitable?

Yes, CME Group Inc. (CME) is profitable, generating $4.27B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (62.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does CME pay dividends?

Yes, CME Group Inc. (CME) pays a dividend with a yield of 4.09%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is CME's return on equity?

CME Group Inc. (CME) has a return on equity (ROE) of 14.6%. This is reasonable for most industries.

Industry Metrics
What is CME Group Inc.'s net interest margin?

CME Group Inc. (CME) has a net interest margin (NIM) of -0.1%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is CME Group Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

CME Group Inc. (CME) has an efficiency ratio of 21.2%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in CME back in 2000?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 26+ years of data

See returns →