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CMG vs SFM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Grocery Stores
CMG vs SFM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Grocery Stores |
| Market Cap | $42.60B | $7.36B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.14B | $8.90B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.45B | $507M |
| Gross Margin | 36.1% | 37.0% |
| Operating Margin | 15.8% | 7.6% |
| Forward P/E | 28.8x | 14.0x |
| Total Debt | $9.85B | $1.94B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $351M | $257M |
CMG vs SFM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chipotle Mexican Gr… (CMG) | 100 | 162.9 | +62.9% |
| Sprouts Farmers Mar… (SFM) | 100 | 311.4 | +211.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CMG vs SFM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CMG has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 276.8% 10Y total return vs SFM's 198.6%
- PEG 0.81 vs SFM's 0.83
- 12.0% margin vs SFM's 5.7%
SFM is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.17
- Rev growth 14.1%, EPS growth 41.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.17, current ratio 0.93x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.1% revenue growth vs CMG's 5.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.0x vs 28.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.0% margin vs SFM's 5.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.17 vs CMG's 1.11, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -35.1% vs SFM's -53.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 16.0% ROA vs SFM's 12.5%, ROIC 15.3% vs 17.8% |
CMG vs SFM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CMG vs SFM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMG and SFM operate at a comparable scale, with $12.1B and $8.9B in trailing revenue. CMG is the more profitable business, keeping 12.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SFM's 5.7%. On growth, CMG holds the edge at +7.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.1B | $8.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.3B | $996M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.5B | $507M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | $361M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +36.1% | +37.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +15.8% | +7.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.0% | +5.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +4.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.4% | +4.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -17.9% | -5.5% |
Valuation Metrics
SFM leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.7x trailing earnings, SFM trades at a 49% valuation discount to CMG's 28.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CMG offers better value at 0.81x vs SFM's 0.87x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $42.6B | $7.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $52.1B | $9.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 28.69x | 14.74x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 28.79x | 14.03x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.81x | 0.87x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.94x | 9.09x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.57x | 0.84x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 15.51x | 5.51x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 29.43x | 15.74x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SFM leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CMG delivers a 48.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $36 for SFM. SFM carries lower financial leverage with a 1.39x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CMG's 3.48x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +48.4% | +36.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +16.0% | +12.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.3% | +17.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +25.4% | +22.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.48x | 1.39x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.5B | $1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $351M | $257M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.8B | $1.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 254.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SFM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SFM five years ago would be worth $29,678 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,585 for CMG. Over the past 12 months, CMG leads with a -35.1% total return vs SFM's -53.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SFM at 29.7% vs CMG's -7.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -12.8% | -3.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -35.1% | -53.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -19.6% | +118.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +15.9% | +196.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +276.8% | +198.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -7.0% | +29.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CMG and SFM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SFM is the less volatile stock with a 0.17 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CMG's 1.11 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CMG currently trades 56.0% from its 52-week high vs SFM's 43.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.11x | 0.17x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $58.42 | $182.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $29.75 | $64.75 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.0% | +43.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.1 | 56.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 14.5M | 2.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CMG as "Buy" and SFM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 33.7% upside for CMG (target: $44) vs 16.3% for SFM (target: $91).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $43.72 | $91.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 67 | 43 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.7% | +6.4% |
SFM leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). CMG leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
CMG vs SFM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CMG or SFM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is the stronger pick with 14. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 4% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG). Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) offers the better valuation at 14. 7x trailing P/E (14. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) a "Buy" — based on 67 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CMG or SFM?
On trailing P/E, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is the cheapest at 14. 7x versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. at 28. 7x. On forward P/E, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is actually cheaper at 14. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. wins at 0. 81x versus Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 's 0. 83x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CMG or SFM?
Over the past 5 years, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) delivered a total return of +196. 8%, compared to +15. 9% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CMG returned +276. 8% versus SFM's +198. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CMG or SFM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 17β versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 's 1. 11β — meaning CMG is approximately 547% more volatile than SFM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 139% versus 3% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CMG or SFM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is pulling ahead at 14. 1% versus 5. 4% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. grew EPS 41. 6% year-over-year, compared to 2. 7% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CMG leads at 11. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CMG or SFM?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
(CMG) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 9% net margin versus 5. 9% for Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CMG leads at 16. 9% versus 7. 8% for SFM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SFM leads at 37. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CMG or SFM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 81x versus Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 's 0. 83x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) trades at 14. 0x forward P/E versus 28. 8x for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — 14. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CMG: 33. 7% to $43. 72.
08Which pays a better dividend — CMG or SFM?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is CMG or SFM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 17), +198. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SFM: +198. 6%, CMG: +276. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CMG and SFM?
These companies operate in different sectors (CMG (Consumer Cyclical) and SFM (Consumer Defensive)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: CMG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; SFM is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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