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5 / 10Stock Comparison
CMG vs SFM vs SYY vs NGVC vs KR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Grocery Stores
Food Distribution
Grocery Stores
Grocery Stores
CMG vs SFM vs SYY vs NGVC vs KR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Grocery Stores | Food Distribution | Grocery Stores | Grocery Stores |
| Market Cap | $43.33B | $7.62B | $34.91B | $637M | $42.03B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.14B | $8.90B | $83.57B | $1.34B | $147.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.45B | $507M | $1.74B | $48M | $1.02B |
| Gross Margin | 36.1% | 37.0% | 18.5% | 29.8% | 22.3% |
| Operating Margin | 15.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Forward P/E | 29.3x | 14.5x | 15.9x | 13.1x | 12.7x |
| Total Debt | $9.85B | $1.94B | $14.49B | $332M | $24.68B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $351M | $257M | $1.07B | $17M | $3.33B |
CMG vs SFM vs SYY vs NGVC vs KR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chipotle Mexican Gr… (CMG) | 100 | 165.7 | +65.7% |
| Sprouts Farmers Mar… (SFM) | 100 | 322.3 | +222.3% |
| Sysco Corporation (SYY) | 100 | 132.1 | +32.1% |
| Natural Grocers by … (NGVC) | 100 | 192.1 | +92.1% |
| The Kroger Co. (KR) | 100 | 203.6 | +103.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CMG vs SFM vs SYY vs NGVC vs KR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CMG has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in quality and efficiency.
- 12.0% margin vs KR's 0.7%
- 16.0% ROA vs KR's 2.0%, ROIC 15.3% vs 5.0%
SFM ranks third and is worth considering specifically for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 14.1%, EPS growth 41.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.2%
- 203.9% 10Y total return vs CMG's 267.2%
- 14.1% revenue growth vs KR's 0.4%
SYY is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and valuation efficiency is your priority.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.47, yield 2.8%
- PEG 0.29 vs SFM's 0.86
- Beta 0.47, yield 2.8%, current ratio 1.21x
- 2.8% yield, 37-year raise streak, vs KR's 2.0%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
NGVC is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.06, current ratio 1.06x
- Beta 0.06 vs CMG's 1.11, lower leverage
KR is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (12.7x vs 13.1x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.1% revenue growth vs KR's 0.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.7x vs 13.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.0% margin vs KR's 0.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.06 vs CMG's 1.11, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield, 37-year raise streak, vs KR's 2.0%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +6.4% vs SFM's -51.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 16.0% ROA vs KR's 2.0%, ROIC 15.3% vs 5.0% |
CMG vs SFM vs SYY vs NGVC vs KR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CMG vs SFM vs SYY vs NGVC vs KR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
KR leads in 2 of 6 categories
CMG leads 1 • NGVC leads 1 • SYY leads 1 • SFM leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KR is the larger business by revenue, generating $147.6B annually — 110.4x NGVC's $1.3B. CMG is the more profitable business, keeping 12.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KR's 0.7%. On growth, CMG holds the edge at +7.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.1B | $8.9B | $83.6B | $1.3B | $147.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.3B | $996M | $4.0B | $88M | $5.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.5B | $507M | $1.7B | $48M | $1.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | $361M | $2.0B | $82M | $3.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +36.1% | +37.0% | +18.5% | +29.8% | +22.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +15.8% | +7.6% | +3.6% | +4.8% | +1.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.0% | +5.7% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +0.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +4.1% | +2.4% | +6.1% | +2.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.4% | +4.1% | +4.7% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -17.9% | -5.5% | -13.4% | +3.6% | +50.0% |
Valuation Metrics
KR leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.8x trailing earnings, NGVC trades at a 68% valuation discount to KR's 43.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), SYY offers better value at 0.36x vs SFM's 0.90x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $43.3B | $7.6B | $34.9B | $637M | $42.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $52.8B | $9.3B | $48.3B | $952M | $63.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 29.18x | 15.25x | 19.54x | 13.83x | 43.12x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 29.29x | 14.52x | 15.88x | 13.13x | 12.68x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.82x | 0.90x | 0.36x | 0.79x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 22.25x | 9.35x | 11.58x | 10.15x | 10.91x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.63x | 0.86x | 0.43x | 0.48x | 0.28x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 15.78x | 5.70x | 19.23x | 3.03x | 7.33x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 29.93x | 16.29x | 19.60x | 26.43x | 12.55x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — SFM and NGVC each lead in 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SYY delivers a 80.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $81 in annual profit, vs $13 for KR. SFM carries lower financial leverage with a 1.39x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SYY's 7.81x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NGVC scores 8/9 vs KR's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +48.4% | +36.1% | +80.7% | +22.3% | +13.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +16.0% | +12.5% | +6.4% | +7.2% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.3% | +17.8% | +15.7% | +8.9% | +5.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +25.4% | +22.1% | +19.0% | +12.4% | +5.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.48x | 1.39x | 7.81x | 1.56x | 4.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.5B | $1.7B | $13.4B | $315M | $21.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $351M | $257M | $1.1B | $17M | $3.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.8B | $1.9B | $14.5B | $332M | $24.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 254.65x | 4.35x | 31.09x | 2.59x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NGVC leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SFM five years ago would be worth $31,381 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,614 for SYY. Over the past 12 months, SYY leads with a +6.4% total return vs SFM's -51.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NGVC at 39.9% vs CMG's -6.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -11.3% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +12.6% | +6.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -35.6% | -51.7% | +6.4% | -42.8% | -6.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -18.2% | +125.7% | +4.0% | +173.6% | +42.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +16.7% | +213.8% | -3.9% | +137.7% | +90.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +267.2% | +203.9% | +82.2% | +139.5% | +108.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -6.5% | +31.2% | +1.3% | +39.9% | +12.6% |
Risk & Volatility
KR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KR is the less volatile stock with a -0.64 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CMG's 1.11 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KR currently trades 86.7% from its 52-week high vs SFM's 44.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.11x | 0.17x | 0.47x | 0.06x | -0.64x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $58.42 | $182.00 | $91.69 | $61.22 | $76.58 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $29.75 | $64.75 | $68.19 | $23.47 | $58.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.9% | +44.5% | +79.5% | +45.2% | +86.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.0 | 54.9 | 41.7 | 48.0 | 39.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 14.5M | 2.2M | 4.7M | 120K | 5.6M |
Analyst Outlook
SYY leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: CMG as "Buy", SFM as "Buy", SYY as "Buy", NGVC as "Buy", KR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 44.6% upside for NGVC (target: $40) vs 12.4% for SFM (target: $91). For income investors, SYY offers the higher dividend yield at 2.80% vs NGVC's 1.71%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $43.72 | $91.00 | $90.44 | $40.00 | $74.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 67 | 43 | 30 | 16 | 44 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +2.8% | +1.7% | +2.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 | 37 | 1 | 21 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $2.04 | $0.47 | $1.35 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.6% | +6.2% | +3.6% | +0.2% | +6.4% |
KR leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility). CMG leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
CMG vs SFM vs SYY vs NGVC vs KR: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is the stronger pick with 14. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 4% for The Kroger Co. (KR). Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) offers the better valuation at 13. 8x trailing P/E (13. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) a "Buy" — based on 67 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR?
On trailing P/E, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is the cheapest at 13. 8x versus The Kroger Co. at 43. 1x. On forward P/E, The Kroger Co. is actually cheaper at 12. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Sysco Corporation wins at 0. 29x versus Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 's 0. 86x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR?
Over the past 5 years, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) delivered a total return of +213. 8%, compared to -3. 9% for Sysco Corporation (SYY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CMG returned +267. 2% versus SYY's +82. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Kroger Co.
(KR) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 64β versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 's 1. 11β — meaning CMG is approximately -274% more volatile than KR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 139% versus 8% for Sysco Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is pulling ahead at 14. 1% versus 0. 4% for The Kroger Co. (KR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. grew EPS 41. 6% year-over-year, compared to -58. 0% for The Kroger Co.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CMG leads at 11. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
(CMG) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 9% net margin versus 0. 7% for The Kroger Co. — meaning it keeps 12. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CMG leads at 16. 9% versus 1. 3% for KR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SFM leads at 37. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Sysco Corporation (SYY) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 29x versus Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 's 0. 86x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, The Kroger Co. (KR) trades at 12. 7x forward P/E versus 29. 3x for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — 16. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NGVC: 44. 6% to $40. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR?
In this comparison, SYY (2.
8% yield), KR (2. 0% yield), NGVC (1. 7% yield) pay a dividend. CMG, SFM do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is CMG or SFM or SYY or NGVC or KR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Kroger Co.
(KR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 64), 2. 0% yield, +108. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (KR: +108. 7%, CMG: +267. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CMG and SFM and SYY and NGVC and KR?
These companies operate in different sectors (CMG (Consumer Cyclical) and SFM (Consumer Defensive) and SYY (Consumer Defensive) and NGVC (Consumer Defensive) and KR (Consumer Defensive)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: CMG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; SFM is a small-cap deep-value stock; SYY is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NGVC is a small-cap deep-value stock; KR is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. SYY, NGVC, KR pay a dividend while CMG, SFM do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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