REIT - Mortgage
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EFC vs EARN vs MFA vs AGNC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
REIT - Mortgage
REIT - Mortgage
EFC vs EARN vs MFA vs AGNC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | Asset Management | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $1.35B | $182M | $997M | $9.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $429M | $51M | $650M | $3.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $147M | $-5M | $135M | $838M |
| Gross Margin | 88.6% | 31.3% | 59.3% | 100.0% |
| Operating Margin | 63.0% | 14.0% | 41.0% | 107.1% |
| Forward P/E | 7.5x | 4.6x | 7.1x | 6.9x |
| Total Debt | $16.96B | $563M | $10.99B | $64M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $202M | $32M | $213M | $505M |
EFC vs EARN vs MFA vs AGNC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ellington Financial… (EFC) | 100 | 133.0 | +33.0% |
| Ellington Credit Co… (EARN) | 100 | 51.2 | -48.8% |
| MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) | 100 | 144.5 | +44.5% |
| AGNC Investment Cor… (AGNC) | 100 | 83.4 | -16.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: EFC vs EARN vs MFA vs AGNC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
EFC has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in long-term compounding.
- 77.0% 10Y total return vs AGNC's 47.8%
- 34.2% margin vs EARN's 13.0%
- Beta 0.47 vs MFA's 0.77
EARN is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63, current ratio 0.13x
- Beta 0.63, yield 16.9%, current ratio 0.13x
- Lower P/E (4.6x vs 6.9x)
MFA is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.77, yield 18.3%
- 18.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs EFC's 13.6%
- 1.1% ROA vs EARN's -0.6%, ROIC 4.4% vs 0.7%
AGNC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 384.7%, EPS growth 17.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 26.4%
- 384.7% FFO/revenue growth vs EARN's -8.4%
- +40.9% vs EARN's +9.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 384.7% FFO/revenue growth vs EARN's -8.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (4.6x vs 6.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 34.2% margin vs EARN's 13.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.47 vs MFA's 0.77 | |
| Dividends | 18.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs EFC's 13.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.9% vs EARN's +9.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.1% ROA vs EARN's -0.6%, ROIC 4.4% vs 0.7% |
EFC vs EARN vs MFA vs AGNC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AGNC leads in 3 of 6 categories
MFA leads 2 • EFC leads 1 • EARN leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.5B annually — 68.3x EARN's $51M. EFC is the more profitable business, keeping 34.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to EARN's 13.0%. On growth, AGNC holds the edge at +2.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $429M | $51M | $650M | $3.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $301M | -$5M | $268M | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $147M | -$5M | $135M | $838M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$925M | $20M | $91M | $604M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +88.6% | +31.3% | +59.3% | +100.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +63.0% | +14.0% | +41.0% | +107.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +34.2% | +13.0% | +20.7% | +24.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -2.2% | +18.0% | +14.0% | +17.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +123.0% | — | +118.9% | +2.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -44.0% | -2.1% | -103.0% | +84.6% |
Valuation Metrics
MFA leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.8x trailing earnings, MFA trades at a 71% valuation discount to EARN's 20.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AGNC's 2.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than EARN's 100.5x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.3B | $182M | $997M | $9.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $18.1B | $713M | $11.8B | $9.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 11.40x | 20.21x | 5.82x | 11.60x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.46x | 4.60x | 7.12x | 6.92x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.46x | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 39.45x | 100.52x | 17.07x | 2.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.00x | 3.59x | 1.14x | 1.99x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.72x | 0.68x | 0.56x | 0.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 2.65x | 19.99x | 13.08x | 112.59x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AGNC leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EFC delivers a 8.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $-3 for EARN. AGNC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to EFC's 9.07x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), EARN scores 8/9 vs AGNC's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.4% | -2.8% | +7.4% | +7.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.8% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +0.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.1% | +0.7% | +4.4% | +34.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.7% | +3.7% | +5.8% | +4.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 9.07x | 2.91x | 6.01x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $16.8B | $531M | $10.8B | -$441M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $202M | $32M | $213M | $505M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $17.0B | $563M | $11.0B | $64M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.51x | -0.16x | 1.34x | 1.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AGNC leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in EFC five years ago would be worth $12,339 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,236 for EARN. Over the past 12 months, AGNC leads with a +40.9% total return vs EARN's +9.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AGNC at 16.7% vs EARN's 3.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.0% | -2.5% | +6.3% | +3.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +18.7% | +9.2% | +19.5% | +40.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +51.7% | +11.4% | +34.3% | +59.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.4% | -17.6% | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +77.0% | +33.4% | +9.0% | +47.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.9% | +3.7% | +10.3% | +16.7% |
Risk & Volatility
EFC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
EFC is the less volatile stock with a 0.47 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MFA's 0.77 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. EFC currently trades 96.1% from its 52-week high vs EARN's 79.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.47x | 0.63x | 0.77x | 0.74x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $14.12 | $6.08 | $10.57 | $12.19 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $11.28 | $4.27 | $8.78 | $8.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.1% | +79.8% | +92.4% | +88.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.2 | 57.6 | 37.6 | 50.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 488K | 1.4M | 18.4M |
Analyst Outlook
MFA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: EFC as "Buy", EARN as "Hold", MFA as "Hold", AGNC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 23.7% upside for EARN (target: $6) vs -0.5% for EFC (target: $14). For income investors, MFA offers the higher dividend yield at 18.32% vs EFC's 13.61%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $13.50 | $6.00 | $10.25 | $11.13 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 7 | 22 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +13.6% | +16.9% | +18.3% | +14.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.85 | $0.82 | $1.79 | $1.58 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | +1.5% | 0.0% |
AGNC leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MFA leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
EFC vs EARN vs MFA vs AGNC: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is the stronger pick with 384. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 4% for Ellington Credit Company (EARN). MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) offers the better valuation at 5. 8x trailing P/E (7. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC?
On trailing P/E, MFA Financial, Inc.
(MFA) is the cheapest at 5. 8x versus Ellington Credit Company at 20. 2x. On forward P/E, Ellington Credit Company is actually cheaper at 4. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC?
Over the past 5 years, Ellington Financial Inc.
(EFC) delivered a total return of +23. 4%, compared to -17. 6% for Ellington Credit Company (EARN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EFC returned +77. 0% versus MFA's +9. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ellington Financial Inc.
(EFC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 47β versus MFA Financial, Inc. 's 0. 77β — meaning MFA is approximately 65% more volatile than EFC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 9% for Ellington Financial Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is pulling ahead at 384. 7% versus -8. 4% for Ellington Credit Company (EARN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AGNC Investment Corp. grew EPS 1760% year-over-year, compared to -22. 6% for Ellington Credit Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, EFC leads at 150. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC?
Ellington Financial Inc.
(EFC) is the more profitable company, earning 21. 8% net margin versus 13. 0% for Ellington Credit Company — meaning it keeps 21. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AGNC leads at 79. 6% versus 14. 0% for EARN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AGNC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ellington Credit Company (EARN) trades at 4.
6x forward P/E versus 7. 5x for Ellington Financial Inc. — 2. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for EARN: 23. 7% to $6. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) offers the highest yield at 18. 3%, versus 13. 6% for Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC).
09Is EFC or EARN or MFA or AGNC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ellington Financial Inc.
(EFC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 47), 13. 6% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (EFC: +77. 0%, MFA: +9. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between EFC and EARN and MFA and AGNC?
These companies operate in different sectors (EFC (Real Estate) and EARN (Financial Services) and MFA (Real Estate) and AGNC (Real Estate)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: EFC is a small-cap high-growth stock; EARN is a small-cap income-oriented stock; MFA is a small-cap high-growth stock; AGNC is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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