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ESTC vs MDB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Infrastructure
ESTC vs MDB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Infrastructure |
| Market Cap | $5.18B | $21.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.68B | $2.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-85M | $-71M |
| Gross Margin | 76.0% | 71.7% |
| Operating Margin | -1.7% | -5.6% |
| Forward P/E | 19.4x | 45.0x |
| Total Debt | $595M | $33M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $728M | $1.08B |
ESTC vs MDB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elastic N.V. (ESTC) | 100 | 57.2 | -42.8% |
| MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) | 100 | 114.3 | +14.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ESTC vs MDB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ESTC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 1.08
- Lower volatility, beta 1.08, Low D/E 64.2%, current ratio 1.92x
- Beta 1.08, current ratio 1.92x
MDB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 22.8%, EPS growth 49.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 24.3%
- 7.3% 10Y total return vs ESTC's -29.8%
- 22.8% revenue growth vs ESTC's 17.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 22.8% revenue growth vs ESTC's 17.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.4x vs 45.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | -2.9% margin vs ESTC's -5.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.08 vs MDB's 1.67 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +54.0% vs ESTC's -40.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -2.0% ROA vs ESTC's -3.5%, ROIC -4.9% vs -5.2% |
ESTC vs MDB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ESTC vs MDB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — ESTC and MDB each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDB and ESTC operate at a comparable scale, with $2.5B and $1.7B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -2.9% (MDB) to -5.0% (ESTC). On growth, MDB holds the edge at +26.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.7B | $2.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$27M | -$102M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$85M | -$71M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $257M | $510M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +76.0% | +71.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1.7% | -5.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -5.0% | -2.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.3% | +20.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.7% | +26.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +143.8% | -5.3% |
Valuation Metrics
ESTC leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.2B | $21.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.1B | $20.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -47.22x | -301.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 19.45x | 44.96x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.49x | 8.76x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.49x | 7.30x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 19.80x | 42.72x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MDB leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MDB delivers a -2.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-2 in annual profit, vs $-11 for ESTC. MDB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ESTC's 0.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ESTC scores 7/9 vs MDB's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -10.7% | -2.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.5% | -2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -5.2% | -4.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.7% | -4.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.64x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$133M | -$1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $728M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $595M | $33M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.17x | -10.47x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MDB leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MDB five years ago would be worth $10,337 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,612 for ESTC. Over the past 12 months, MDB leads with a +54.0% total return vs ESTC's -40.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MDB at 2.4% vs ESTC's -5.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -32.3% | -33.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -40.7% | +54.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -14.6% | +7.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -53.9% | +3.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -29.8% | +727.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -5.1% | +2.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ESTC and MDB each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ESTC is the less volatile stock with a 1.08 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MDB's 1.67 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MDB currently trades 59.6% from its 52-week high vs ESTC's 51.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.08x | 1.67x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $96.07 | $444.72 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $42.05 | $169.26 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.1% | +59.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.7 | 54.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 1.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ESTC as "Buy" and MDB as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 71.8% upside for ESTC (target: $84) vs 55.8% for MDB (target: $413).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $84.38 | $413.36 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 34 | 44 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.9% |
MDB leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). ESTC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
ESTC vs MDB: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ESTC or MDB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MongoDB, Inc.
(MDB) is the stronger pick with 22. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 17. 0% for Elastic N. V. (ESTC). Analysts rate Elastic N. V. (ESTC) a "Buy" — based on 34 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ESTC or MDB?
Over the past 5 years, MongoDB, Inc.
(MDB) delivered a total return of +3. 4%, compared to -53. 9% for Elastic N. V. (ESTC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MDB returned +727. 1% versus ESTC's -29. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ESTC or MDB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Elastic N.
V. (ESTC) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 08β versus MongoDB, Inc. 's 1. 67β — meaning MDB is approximately 55% more volatile than ESTC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 64% for Elastic N. V. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ESTC or MDB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MongoDB, Inc.
(MDB) is pulling ahead at 22. 8% versus 17. 0% for Elastic N. V. (ESTC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: MongoDB, Inc. grew EPS 49. 1% year-over-year, compared to -276. 3% for Elastic N. V.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MDB leads at 24. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ESTC or MDB?
MongoDB, Inc.
(MDB) is the more profitable company, earning -2. 9% net margin versus -7. 3% for Elastic N. V. — meaning it keeps -2. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ESTC leads at -3. 7% versus -5. 6% for MDB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ESTC leads at 74. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is ESTC or MDB more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Elastic N.
V. (ESTC) trades at 19. 4x forward P/E versus 45. 0x for MongoDB, Inc. — 25. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ESTC: 71. 8% to $84. 38.
07Which pays a better dividend — ESTC or MDB?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is ESTC or MDB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Elastic N.
V. (ESTC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 08)). MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) carries a higher beta of 1. 67 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ESTC: -29. 8%, MDB: +727. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between ESTC and MDB?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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