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ESTCElastic N.V.
$89.22$9.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
ESTC logo

Elastic N.V.

ESTC
NYSE · Application Software
$89.22
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$9.23B
P/E26.0x
52W High$108.00
Volume1.44M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Strong Cash Generation Masks Persistent GAAP Losses

Elastic N.V. demonstrates robust top-line growth, with revenue increasing 15.1% year-over-year in 2027Q1, and generates substantial free cash flow, evidenced by a 27.5% FCF margin in the same period. However, the company's investment thesis is complicated by i...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ESTC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-60% Peers

P/E is 60% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 92 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 92% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 19
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

While revenue growth remains robust at 15.1% year-over-year, operating losses persist with a -0.6% operating margin in 2027Q1, indicating that elevated SG&A expenses, which consistently exceed 50% of revenue, are preventing the conversion of gross profit into operating income.

Analyst Consensus-10.9% target
Buy(34 analysts)
22 Buy12 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Search AI advancements

Elastic 9.4 introduces significant improvements to Search & AI capabilities, enhancing its platform's value proposition.

Strong revenue growth

Elastic demonstrates 21% sales-led subscription revenue growth, indicating robust demand for its solutions.

AI context-engine validation

The company's first CRPO above $1 billion validates its AI context-engine thesis, suggesting future growth potential.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ESTC+22.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
ESTC+0.18%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
ESTC+12.14%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.38%
5-Year Return
ESTC-46.43%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+73.05%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
26.0x
Forward P/E
35.3x
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
26.0x
173.3x
50th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
28.7x
73.1x
25th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$6.93-92.2%
Base (Fair)$54.71-37.1%
Bull$8.61-90.3%
$6.93 Bear$54.71 Base$8.61 Bull
Current Market Price: $89.22
Trades at a 63.1% premium to Base DCF ($54.71)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1.74B+17.3% YoY
Net income
$368M+440.2% YoY
Free cash flow
$322M+22.9% YoY
Operating margin
-1.9%+1.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-2.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)33.4%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 27, 2026
$0.70+19.9%
vs $0.58
$478M+1.8%
vs $470M
Q2 2026
May 28, 2026
$0.61+8.7%
vs $0.56
$451M+0.9%
vs $447M
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
$0.73+14.1%
vs $0.64
$450M+2.6%
vs $438M
Q4 2025
Nov 20, 2025
$0.64+11.1%
vs $0.58
$423M+1.2%
vs $418M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Discusses New Metrics Offering and Observability Platform Enhancements Transcript

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Discusses New Metrics Offering and Observability Platform Enhancements Transcript

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Elastic (ESTC) Just Overtook the 20-Day Moving Average

Elastic (ESTC) is looking like an interesting pick from a technical perspective, as the company reached a key level of support. Recently, ESTC crossed above the 20-day moving average, suggesting a short-term bullish trend.

GuruFocus·1d ago
Elastic NV (ESTC) Stock Up 3.2% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 82/100

On September 21, 2026, Elastic NV (ESTC) shares rose 3.2% to a current price of $89.71, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 18.9%. The stock has fluctuated be

Business Wire·1d ago
Elastic Introduces jina-ocr-v1: End-to-End Document Processing in a Single Frontier-Grade Model

SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Elastic (NYSE: ESTC) today announced the launch of jina-ocr-v1, a new optical character recognition (OCR) model for end-to-end document processing. At 574M active parameters, it delivers frontier-grade accuracy in a model roughly one tenth the size of the benchmark leader. Jina-ocr-v1 accurately converts complex visual documents into structured, machine-readable text, such as Markdown, in a single pass, making it easy to search, train models, and build agentic ap.

Filtered for Elastic N.V.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ESTC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Elastic N.V. (ESTC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ESTC logoESTCElastic N.V.Current
$89.22$9.23B26.0117.26%21.14%33.38%—
DDOG logoDDOGDatadog, Inc.
$247.48$88.09B824.9227.68%4.48%4.57%—
DT logoDTDynatrace, Inc.
$57.20$16.67B105.9318.82%7.22%5.72%—
MDB logoMDBMongoDB, Inc.
$427.69$34.4B-486.0122.79%2.12%2%—
CFLT logoCFLTConfluent, Inc.
$30.99$10.65B-36.0321.08%-25.31%-25.26%—
GTLB logoGTLBGitLab Inc.
$48.82$8.25B-139.4925.81%-4.99%-5.26%—

Compare ESTC vs Peers

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DDOG

Most directly comparable listed peer for ESTC.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare ESTC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DDOG, DT, MDB, CFLT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ESTC SEC Filings & Documents

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2025

Jun 10, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Jun 14, 2024·SEC

FY 2023

Jun 16, 2023·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 24, 2025·SEC

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ESTC Frequently Asked Questions

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Elastic N.V.'s revenue?

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) reported $1.80B in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 1944% increase from $88.2M in 2017.

How fast is Elastic N.V. growing?

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) grew revenue by 17.3% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is ESTC profitable?

Yes, Elastic N.V. (ESTC) is profitable, generating $375.6M in net income for fiscal year 2026 (21.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is ESTC's return on equity?

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) has a return on equity (ROE) of 33.4%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Elastic N.V.'s free cash flow?

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) generated $349.0M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2026. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in ESTC back in 2017?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 9+ years of data

See returns →