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FCX vs AA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aluminum
FCX vs AA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Copper | Aluminum |
| Market Cap | $87.51B | $16.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $26.42B | $12.74B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.73B | $1.15B |
| Gross Margin | 27.8% | 13.6% |
| Operating Margin | 27.8% | 7.6% |
| Forward P/E | 22.5x | 9.1x |
| Total Debt | $11.50B | $1M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.35B | $1.60B |
FCX vs AA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freeport-McMoRan In… (FCX) | 100 | 671.3 | +571.3% |
| Alcoa Corporation (AA) | 100 | 686.8 | +586.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FCX vs AA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FCX is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 1.79, yield 1.0%
- 444.7% 10Y total return vs AA's 188.8%
- Beta 1.79, yield 1.0%, current ratio 2.29x
AA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 4.5%, EPS growth 14.9%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.77, Low D/E 0.0%, current ratio 1.45x
- 4.5% revenue growth vs FCX's 1.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.5% revenue growth vs FCX's 1.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.1x vs 22.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.3% margin vs AA's 9.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.77 vs FCX's 1.79, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.0% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs AA's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +156.1% vs FCX's +62.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.1% ROA vs FCX's 4.7%, ROIC 12.7% vs 12.8% |
FCX vs AA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FCX vs AA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FCX leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FCX is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.4B annually — 2.1x AA's $12.7B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 10.3% (FCX) to 9.0% (AA). On growth, FCX holds the edge at +12.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $26.4B | $12.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $9.6B | $1.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.7B | $1.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $6.2B | $567M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +27.8% | +13.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +27.8% | +7.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.3% | +9.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +23.6% | +4.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +12.2% | -13.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +154.2% | +11.8% |
Valuation Metrics
AA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.2x trailing earnings, AA trades at a 64% valuation discount to FCX's 40.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AA's 9.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FCX's 11.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $87.5B | $16.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $95.7B | $14.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 40.06x | 14.25x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.51x | 9.07x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.34x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.21x | 9.27x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.40x | 1.29x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.86x | 2.68x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 78.41x | 28.89x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AA leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AA delivers a 18.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $9 for FCX. AA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FCX's 0.37x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AA scores 7/9 vs FCX's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.9% | +18.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.7% | +7.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.8% | +12.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.4% | +8.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.37x | 0.00x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $8.1B | -$1.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.4B | $1.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $11.5B | $1M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 17.68x | 7.85x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AA five years ago would be worth $16,307 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $15,151 for FCX. Over the past 12 months, AA leads with a +156.1% total return vs FCX's +62.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AA at 20.5% vs FCX's 19.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.8% | +12.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +62.2% | +156.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.5% | +75.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +51.5% | +63.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +444.7% | +188.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +19.7% | +20.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FCX and AA each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AA is the less volatile stock with a 1.77 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FCX's 1.79 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.79x | 1.77x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $70.97 | $75.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $35.15 | $24.15 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +85.8% | +83.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 41.5 | 43.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 15.4M | 5.5M |
Analyst Outlook
FCX leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FCX as "Buy" and AA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 10.0% upside for FCX (target: $67) vs 8.8% for AA (target: $69). For income investors, FCX offers the higher dividend yield at 0.98% vs AA's 0.62%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $67.00 | $68.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 41 | 42 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.0% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.60 | $0.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | 0.0% |
AA leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). FCX leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
FCX vs AA: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FCX or AA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the stronger pick with 4.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 1% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). Alcoa Corporation (AA) offers the better valuation at 14. 2x trailing P/E (9. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) a "Buy" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FCX or AA?
On trailing P/E, Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the cheapest at 14.
2x versus Freeport-McMoRan Inc. at 40. 1x. On forward P/E, Alcoa Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FCX or AA?
Over the past 5 years, Alcoa Corporation (AA) delivered a total return of +63.
1%, compared to +51. 5% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FCX returned +444. 7% versus AA's +188. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FCX or AA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
77β versus Freeport-McMoRan Inc. 's 1. 79β — meaning FCX is approximately 1% more volatile than AA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 37% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FCX or AA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Alcoa Corporation (AA) is pulling ahead at 4.
5% versus 1. 1% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alcoa Corporation grew EPS 1486% year-over-year, compared to 16. 9% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FCX leads at 3. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FCX or AA?
Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the more profitable company, earning 9.
0% net margin versus 8. 6% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FCX leads at 24. 4% versus 7. 6% for AA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FCX leads at 27. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FCX or AA more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Alcoa Corporation (AA) trades at 9.
1x forward P/E versus 22. 5x for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. — 13. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FCX: 10. 0% to $67. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FCX or AA?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) offers the highest yield at 1. 0%, versus 0. 6% for Alcoa Corporation (AA).
09Is FCX or AA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
(FCX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1. 0% yield, +444. 7% 10Y return). Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a higher beta of 1. 77 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (FCX: +444. 7%, AA: +188. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FCX and AA?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FCX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AA is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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