Banks - Regional
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FGBI vs LKFN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
FGBI vs LKFN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional |
| Market Cap | $149M | $1.63B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $196M | $422M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-56M | $103M |
| Gross Margin | -6.2% | 61.0% |
| Operating Margin | -35.0% | 29.8% |
| Forward P/E | 23.5x | 14.4x |
| Total Debt | $186M | $184M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $846M | $57M |
FGBI vs LKFN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Guaranty Banc… (FGBI) | 100 | 87.0 | -13.0% |
| Lakeland Financial … (LKFN) | 100 | 146.6 | +46.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FGBI vs LKFN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FGBI is the clearest fit if your priority is quality and efficiency.
- Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs LKFN's 0.3% (lower = leaner)
- Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs LKFN's 0.3%
LKFN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 3.2%
- Rev growth -1.9%, EPS growth 10.5%
- 142.7% 10Y total return vs FGBI's 19.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.9% NII/revenue growth vs FGBI's -19.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.4x vs 23.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs LKFN's 0.3% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs FGBI's 0.85, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.2% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs FGBI's 0.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +9.0% vs FGBI's +1.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs LKFN's 0.3% |
FGBI vs LKFN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LKFN leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LKFN is the larger business by revenue, generating $422M annually — 2.2x FGBI's $196M. LKFN is the more profitable business, keeping 24.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FGBI's -28.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $196M | $422M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$65M | $130M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$56M | $103M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$10M | $104M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -6.2% | +61.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -35.0% | +29.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -28.6% | +24.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -5.1% | +24.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.5% | +23.4% |
Valuation Metrics
FGBI leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $149M | $1.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$511M | $1.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.26x | 15.61x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 23.52x | 14.42x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.93x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 13.49x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.76x | 3.87x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.58x | 2.12x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 15.72x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LKFN leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LKFN delivers a 14.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-23 for FGBI. LKFN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.24x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FGBI's 0.82x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), LKFN scores 6/9 vs FGBI's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -23.3% | +14.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.4% | +1.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -11.8% | +11.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.0% | +15.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.82x | 0.24x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$660M | $127M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $846M | $57M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $186M | $184M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.54x | 0.82x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LKFN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LKFN five years ago would be worth $11,052 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,292 for FGBI. Over the past 12 months, LKFN leads with a +9.0% total return vs FGBI's +1.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LKFN at 14.0% vs FGBI's -5.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +75.1% | +12.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +1.9% | +9.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -15.5% | +48.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.1% | +10.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +19.3% | +142.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -5.5% | +14.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FGBI and LKFN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LKFN is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FGBI's 0.85 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FGBI currently trades 93.4% from its 52-week high vs LKFN's 90.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.85x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $10.07 | $69.40 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.31 | $54.36 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.4% | +90.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.7 | 60.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 24K | 153K |
Analyst Outlook
LKFN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FGBI as "Hold" and LKFN as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 5.4% upside for LKFN (target: $66) vs 1.0% for FGBI (target: $10). For income investors, LKFN offers the higher dividend yield at 3.19% vs FGBI's 0.43%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $9.50 | $66.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | +3.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.04 | $2.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.2% |
LKFN leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FGBI leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
FGBI vs LKFN: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FGBI or LKFN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) is the stronger pick with -1.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 9% for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI). Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) offers the better valuation at 15. 6x trailing P/E (14. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) a "Hold" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FGBI or LKFN?
On forward P/E, Lakeland Financial Corporation is actually cheaper at 14.
4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FGBI or LKFN?
Over the past 5 years, Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) delivered a total return of +10.
5%, compared to -27. 1% for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LKFN returned +142. 7% versus FGBI's +19. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FGBI or LKFN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
79β versus First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. 's 0. 85β — meaning FGBI is approximately 8% more volatile than LKFN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 24% versus 82% for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FGBI or LKFN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) is pulling ahead at -1.
9% versus -19. 9% for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lakeland Financial Corporation grew EPS 10. 5% year-over-year, compared to -614. 8% for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FGBI or LKFN?
Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) is the more profitable company, earning 24.
5% net margin versus -28. 6% for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. — meaning it keeps 24. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LKFN leads at 29. 8% versus -35. 0% for FGBI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LKFN leads at 61. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FGBI or LKFN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) trades at 14.
4x forward P/E versus 23. 5x for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. — 9. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LKFN: 5. 4% to $66. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FGBI or LKFN?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) offers the highest yield at 3. 2%, versus 0. 4% for First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI).
09Is FGBI or LKFN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 3. 2% yield, +142. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (LKFN: +142. 7%, FGBI: +19. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FGBI and LKFN?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FGBI is a small-cap quality compounder stock; LKFN is a small-cap deep-value stock. LKFN pays a dividend while FGBI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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