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FICO vs MSCI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
FICO vs MSCI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $26.20B | $42.83B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.26B | $3.13B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $760M | $1.32B |
| Gross Margin | 84.2% | 82.4% |
| Operating Margin | 50.4% | 54.7% |
| Forward P/E | 26.4x | 30.0x |
| Total Debt | $3.07B | $6.31B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $134M | $515M |
FICO vs MSCI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair Isaac Corporat… (FICO) | 100 | 280.6 | +180.6% |
| MSCI Inc. (MSCI) | 100 | 178.9 | +78.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FICO vs MSCI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FICO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 15.9%, EPS growth 29.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.1%
- 9.5% 10Y total return vs MSCI's 7.2%
- PEG 0.96 vs MSCI's 1.77
MSCI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 11 yrs, beta 0.61, yield 1.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.61, current ratio 0.90x
- Beta 0.61, yield 1.2%, current ratio 0.90x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.9% revenue growth vs MSCI's 9.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (26.4x vs 30.0x), PEG 0.96 vs 1.77 | |
| Quality / Margins | 38.4% margin vs FICO's 33.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.61 vs FICO's 0.86 | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield; 11-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +7.8% vs FICO's -46.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 39.8% ROA vs MSCI's 24.0%, ROIC 59.7% vs 34.9% |
FICO vs MSCI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FICO vs MSCI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSCI leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSCI and FICO operate at a comparable scale, with $3.1B and $2.3B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 38.4% (MSCI) to 33.7% (FICO).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.3B | $3.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.2B | $2.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $760M | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $893M | $1.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +84.2% | +82.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +50.4% | +54.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +33.7% | +38.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +39.6% | +49.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +38.7% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +69.0% | +49.1% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — FICO and MSCI each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 37.8x trailing earnings, MSCI trades at a 11% valuation discount to FICO's 42.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), FICO offers better value at 1.55x vs MSCI's 2.23x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $26.2B | $42.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $29.1B | $48.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 42.57x | 37.81x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 26.43x | 29.99x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.55x | 2.23x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 31.01x | 25.17x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 13.16x | 13.67x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 34.03x | 27.65x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FICO leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MSCI scores 8/9 vs FICO's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +39.8% | +24.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +59.7% | +34.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +78.5% | +44.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.9B | $5.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $134M | $515M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.1B | $6.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.20x | 7.67x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FICO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FICO five years ago would be worth $22,769 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,792 for MSCI. Over the past 12 months, MSCI leads with a +7.8% total return vs FICO's -46.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FICO at 15.3% vs MSCI's 8.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -31.3% | +4.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -46.1% | +7.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +53.4% | +28.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +127.7% | +27.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +949.1% | +720.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +15.3% | +8.7% |
Risk & Volatility
MSCI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MSCI is the less volatile stock with a 0.61 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FICO's 0.86 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSCI currently trades 93.9% from its 52-week high vs FICO's 50.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.86x | 0.61x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2217.60 | $626.28 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $870.01 | $501.08 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +50.9% | +93.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.9 | 54.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 371K | 520K |
Analyst Outlook
MSCI leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FICO as "Buy" and MSCI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.0% upside for FICO (target: $1649) vs 14.6% for MSCI (target: $674). MSCI is the only dividend payer here at 1.22% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1649.11 | $674.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 11 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $7.20 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.4% | +5.8% |
MSCI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Risk & Volatility). FICO leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
FICO vs MSCI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FICO or MSCI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) is the stronger pick with 15.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 9. 7% for MSCI Inc. (MSCI). MSCI Inc. (MSCI) offers the better valuation at 37. 8x trailing P/E (30. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FICO or MSCI?
On trailing P/E, MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the cheapest at 37. 8x versus Fair Isaac Corporation at 42. 6x. On forward P/E, Fair Isaac Corporation is actually cheaper at 26. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Fair Isaac Corporation wins at 0. 96x versus MSCI Inc. 's 1. 77x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FICO or MSCI?
Over the past 5 years, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) delivered a total return of +127.
7%, compared to +27. 9% for MSCI Inc. (MSCI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FICO returned +949. 1% versus MSCI's +720. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FICO or MSCI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 61β versus Fair Isaac Corporation's 0. 86β — meaning FICO is approximately 41% more volatile than MSCI relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — FICO or MSCI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) is pulling ahead at 15.
9% versus 9. 7% for MSCI Inc. (MSCI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Fair Isaac Corporation grew EPS 29. 8% year-over-year, compared to 10. 7% for MSCI Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FICO or MSCI?
MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the more profitable company, earning 38. 4% net margin versus 32. 7% for Fair Isaac Corporation — meaning it keeps 38. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MSCI leads at 54. 7% versus 46. 5% for FICO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSCI leads at 82. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FICO or MSCI more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 96x versus MSCI Inc. 's 1. 77x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) trades at 26. 4x forward P/E versus 30. 0x for MSCI Inc. — 3. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FICO: 46. 0% to $1649. 11.
08Which pays a better dividend — FICO or MSCI?
In this comparison, MSCI (1.
2% yield) pays a dividend. FICO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FICO or MSCI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 61), 1. 2% yield, +720. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MSCI: +720. 9%, FICO: +949. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FICO and MSCI?
These companies operate in different sectors (FICO (Technology) and MSCI (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: FICO is a mid-cap high-growth stock; MSCI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. MSCI pays a dividend while FICO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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