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4 / 10Stock Comparison
FWRG vs BJRI vs TXRH vs EAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
FWRG vs BJRI vs TXRH vs EAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $737M | $859M | $10.41B | $6.27B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.27B | $1.41B | $6.06B | $5.73B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $18M | $44M | $415M | $463M |
| Gross Margin | 35.1% | 74.7% | 18.7% | 46.0% |
| Operating Margin | 2.3% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% |
| Forward P/E | 60.7x | 17.5x | 25.0x | 13.7x |
| Total Debt | $740M | $491M | $1.89B | $1.69B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $21M | $24M | $135M | $19M |
FWRG vs BJRI vs TXRH vs EAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Watch Restaur… (FWRG) | 100 | 55.4 | -44.6% |
| BJ's Restaurants, I… (BJRI) | 100 | 122.7 | +22.7% |
| Texas Roadhouse, In… (TXRH) | 100 | 177.8 | +77.8% |
| Brinker Internation… (EAT) | 100 | 348.7 | +248.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRG vs BJRI vs TXRH vs EAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRG lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
BJRI is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +9.0% vs FWRG's -25.3%
TXRH is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.70, yield 1.7%
- 288.0% 10Y total return vs EAT's 229.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.70, current ratio 0.50x
- Beta 0.70, yield 1.7%, current ratio 0.50x
EAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 21.9%, EPS growth 144.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.3%
- PEG 0.20 vs TXRH's 1.17
- 21.9% revenue growth vs BJRI's 3.1%
- Lower P/E (13.7x vs 25.0x), PEG 0.20 vs 1.17
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.9% revenue growth vs BJRI's 3.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.7x vs 25.0x), PEG 0.20 vs 1.17 | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.1% margin vs FWRG's 1.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.70 vs FWRG's 1.59 | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield; 5-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +9.0% vs FWRG's -25.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.0% ROA vs FWRG's 1.0%, ROIC 19.1% vs 1.9% |
FWRG vs BJRI vs TXRH vs EAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FWRG vs BJRI vs TXRH vs EAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
EAT leads in 4 of 6 categories
TXRH leads 1 • FWRG leads 0 • BJRI leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EAT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TXRH is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.1B annually — 4.8x FWRG's $1.3B. EAT is the more profitable business, keeping 8.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRG's 1.4%. On growth, FWRG holds the edge at +17.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.3B | $1.4B | $6.1B | $5.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $109M | $123M | $709M | $819M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $18M | $44M | $415M | $463M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$9M | $80M | $441M | $504M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +35.1% | +74.7% | +18.7% | +46.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | +3.0% | +8.2% | +10.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.4% | +3.1% | +6.8% | +8.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.7% | +5.7% | +7.3% | +8.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.3% | +2.9% | +12.8% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.2% | -29.3% | +10.0% | +12.1% |
Valuation Metrics
EAT leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 17.6x trailing earnings, EAT trades at a 54% valuation discount to FWRG's 38.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), EAT offers better value at 0.26x vs TXRH's 0.38x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $737M | $859M | $10.4B | $6.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $1.3B | $12.2B | $7.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 38.55x | 18.93x | 25.89x | 17.58x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 60.72x | 17.51x | 25.05x | 13.66x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 0.38x | 0.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.38x | 10.79x | 17.15x | 11.06x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.60x | 0.61x | 1.77x | 1.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.20x | 2.53x | 7.09x | 18.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 21.01x | 30.44x | 15.17x |
Profitability & Efficiency
EAT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EAT delivers a 123.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $123 in annual profit, vs $3 for FWRG. FWRG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to EAT's 4.57x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BJRI scores 7/9 vs TXRH's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.9% | +12.0% | +37.4% | +123.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.0% | +4.4% | +12.2% | +17.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.9% | +4.1% | +14.5% | +19.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.3% | +5.5% | +20.1% | +25.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.18x | 1.34x | 1.27x | 4.57x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $718M | $467M | $1.8B | $1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $21M | $24M | $135M | $19M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $740M | $491M | $1.9B | $1.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.64x | 15.28x | — | 18.61x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
EAT leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in EAT five years ago would be worth $22,577 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,400 for FWRG. Over the past 12 months, BJRI leads with a +9.0% total return vs FWRG's -25.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EAT at 58.2% vs FWRG's -10.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.3% | -0.5% | -7.4% | -3.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -25.3% | +9.0% | -6.2% | +5.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -28.9% | +36.4% | +53.6% | +295.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.0% | -31.2% | +61.6% | +125.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.0% | -6.3% | +288.0% | +229.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.7% | +10.9% | +15.4% | +58.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BJRI and TXRH each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TXRH is the less volatile stock with a 0.70 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRG's 1.59 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BJRI currently trades 86.9% from its 52-week high vs FWRG's 61.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.59x | 1.40x | 0.70x | 1.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.53 | $47.02 | $199.99 | $187.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.10 | $28.46 | $153.82 | $100.30 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.2% | +86.9% | +79.0% | +78.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.5 | 61.1 | 45.7 | 50.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 366K | 983K | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
TXRH leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FWRG as "Buy", BJRI as "Buy", TXRH as "Hold", EAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 59.0% upside for FWRG (target: $19) vs -0.9% for BJRI (target: $41). TXRH is the only dividend payer here at 1.72% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $19.00 | $40.50 | $191.64 | $184.46 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 31 | 43 | 47 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +1.7% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $2.71 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +7.9% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
EAT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). TXRH leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
FWRG vs BJRI vs TXRH vs EAT: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is the stronger pick with 21. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 1% for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI). Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) offers the better valuation at 17. 6x trailing P/E (13. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT?
On trailing P/E, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is the cheapest at 17. 6x versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. at 38. 5x. On forward P/E, Brinker International, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Brinker International, Inc. wins at 0. 20x versus Texas Roadhouse, Inc. 's 1. 17x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT?
Over the past 5 years, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) delivered a total return of +125. 8%, compared to -46. 0% for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TXRH returned +288. 0% versus FWRG's -46. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
(TXRH) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 70β versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. 's 1. 59β — meaning FWRG is approximately 127% more volatile than TXRH relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 118% versus 5% for Brinker International, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is pulling ahead at 21. 9% versus 3. 1% for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: BJ's Restaurants, Inc. grew EPS 208. 6% year-over-year, compared to -5. 7% for Texas Roadhouse, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRG leads at 18. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT?
Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 1% net margin versus 1. 6% for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 7. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: EAT leads at 9. 5% versus 2. 8% for FWRG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BJRI leads at 74. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 20x versus Texas Roadhouse, Inc. 's 1. 17x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) trades at 13. 7x forward P/E versus 60. 7x for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. — 47. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRG: 59. 0% to $19. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT?
In this comparison, TXRH (1.
7% yield) pays a dividend. FWRG, BJRI, EAT do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FWRG or BJRI or TXRH or EAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
(TXRH) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 70), 1. 7% yield, +288. 0% 10Y return). First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a higher beta of 1. 59 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TXRH: +288. 0%, FWRG: -46. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FWRG and BJRI and TXRH and EAT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FWRG is a small-cap high-growth stock; BJRI is a small-cap quality compounder stock; TXRH is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; EAT is a small-cap high-growth stock. TXRH pays a dividend while FWRG, BJRI, EAT do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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