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FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
$10.20$629M
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
FWRG logo

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

FWRG
NASDAQ · Restaurants
$10.20
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$629M
P/E32.9x
52W High$18.82
Volume1.53M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Debt-Fueled Expansion Masks Thin Restaurant Margins

First Watch is executing an aggressive unit growth strategy, with revenue up 20.3% TTM and quarterly growth accelerating to 15.2% in 2026Q2. However, this expansion is heavily debt-funded (D/E at 1.69) and has yet to translate into consistent profitability, as...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

FWRG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
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Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

5/12 Beats

EPS beat 5 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 22 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 78% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
FWRG-33.64%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
FWRG-34.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
FWRG-41.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.12%
5-Year Return
FWRG-53.91%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.70%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
32.9x
Forward P/E
87.9x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
14.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
32.9x
62.3x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
14.9x
21.7x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
N/A
115.5x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1.22B+20.3% YoY
Net income
$19M+2.7% YoY
Free cash flow
-$31M-152.5% YoY
Operating margin
2.8%-1.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)1.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)3.2%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$0.04-24.0%
vs $0.05
$355M+0.9%
vs $352M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
-$0.04-100.0%
vs -$0.02
$331M+0.5%
vs $329M
Q1 2026
Feb 24, 2026
$0.24+200.0%
vs $0.08
$316M+0.0%
vs $316M
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$0.05-37.5%
vs $0.08
$316M-0.5%
vs $317M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·Sep 2, 2026
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board Takes $764,000 Position in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. $FWRG

Canada Pension Plan Investment Board purchased a new stake in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FWRG) in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The firm purchased 59,300 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $764,000. Canada Pension Plan Investment Board owned about

Defense World·Sep 1, 2026
4,534,132 Shares in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. $FWRG Bought by BlackRock Inc.

BlackRock Inc. purchased a new position in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FWRG) in the undefined quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund purchased 4,534,132 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $58,445,000. BlackRock Inc. owned about 7.35% of First

GlobeNewsWire·Aug 27, 2026
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Participate in Two September Investor Conferences

BRADENTON, Fla., Aug. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FWRG) (“First Watch” or the “Company”), the leading Daytime Dining concept serving breakfast, brunch and lunch, today announces it will participate in two investor conferences in September:

Seeking Alpha·Aug 25, 2026
Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Coffee Rally Hits PSL Season

Coffee prices surge to six-month highs on supply concerns from Brazil and Colombia, with Super El Niño posing further upside risk into 2026–2027. Starbucks (SBUX) launches Pumpkin Spice Latte season amid intensified competition from Dutch Bros (BROS), First Watch (FWRG), Dunkin, Krispy Kreme (DNUT), and Panera.

Filtered for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark FWRG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
FWRG logoFWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.Current
$10.20$629.47M32.9020.34%1.59%3.18%—
DENN logoDENNDenny's Corporation
$6.25$321.87M15.24-2.5%2.24%——
CBRL logoCBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.
$47.52$1.06B23.070.37%0.79%5.89%—
BJRI logoBJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$61.54$1.29B28.493.08%2.86%10.97%—
CAKE logoCAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
$104.41$5.19B34.014.75%4.61%38.83%—
RRGB logoRRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
$7.73$143M-5.90-3.07%-2.55%——

Compare FWRG vs Peers

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DENN

Most directly comparable listed peer for FWRG.

Scale Benchmark

vs SYY

Larger-name benchmark to compare FWRG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DENN, CBRL, BJRI, CAKE

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

FWRG SEC Filings & Documents

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 8, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 11, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Mar 5, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

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FWRG Frequently Asked Questions

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s revenue?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) reported $1.32B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 277% increase from $349.8M in 2018.

How fast is First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. growing?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) grew revenue by 20.3% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is FWRG profitable?

Yes, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) is profitable, generating $17.8M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (1.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is FWRG's return on equity?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 3.2%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) had negative free cash flow of $21.0M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in FWRG back in 2018?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 8+ years of data

See returns →