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GBX vs CAT vs DE vs NUE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
Agricultural - Machinery
Steel
GBX vs CAT vs DE vs NUE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Railroads | Agricultural - Machinery | Agricultural - Machinery | Steel |
| Market Cap | $1.56B | $416.75B | $157.32B | $51.64B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.06B | $70.75B | $45.88B | $34.16B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $185M | $9.42B | $4.08B | $2.33B |
| Gross Margin | 17.3% | 32.5% | 34.7% | 14.0% |
| Operating Margin | 9.4% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 10.0% |
| Forward P/E | 16.0x | 38.8x | 32.5x | 16.2x |
| Total Debt | $1.84B | $43.33B | $63.94B | $7.12B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $326M | $9.98B | $8.28B | $2.26B |
GBX vs CAT vs DE vs NUE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Greenbrier Comp… (GBX) | 100 | 237.6 | +137.6% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 745.6 | +645.6% |
| Deere & Company (DE) | 100 | 381.5 | +281.5% |
| Nucor Corporation (NUE) | 100 | 536.4 | +436.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GBX vs CAT vs DE vs NUE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GBX is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.97, yield 2.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.97, current ratio 2.80x
- PEG 0.47 vs DE's 1.99
- Beta 0.97, yield 2.4%, current ratio 2.80x
CAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 12.3% 10Y total return vs DE's 6.7%
- 13.3% margin vs GBX's 6.0%
- +181.5% vs GBX's +20.6%
- 10.0% ROA vs DE's 3.9%, ROIC 15.9% vs 7.7%
DE is the clearest fit if your priority is stability.
- Beta 0.56 vs CAT's 1.54
NUE is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 5.7%, EPS growth -11.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -7.8%
- 5.7% revenue growth vs GBX's -8.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 5.7% revenue growth vs GBX's -8.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.0x vs 16.2x), PEG 0.47 vs 0.62 | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs GBX's 6.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.56 vs CAT's 1.54 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs NUE's 1.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +181.5% vs GBX's +20.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs DE's 3.9%, ROIC 15.9% vs 7.7% |
GBX vs CAT vs DE vs NUE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GBX vs CAT vs DE vs NUE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CAT leads in 3 of 6 categories
GBX leads 1 • DE leads 0 • NUE leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 23.1x GBX's $3.1B. CAT is the more profitable business, keeping 13.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GBX's 6.0%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.1B | $70.8B | $45.9B | $34.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $413M | $14.0B | $9.5B | $4.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $185M | $9.4B | $4.1B | $2.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $123M | $11.4B | $5.5B | $532M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +17.3% | +32.5% | +34.7% | +14.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.4% | +16.6% | +17.0% | +10.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | +13.3% | +8.9% | +6.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +16.2% | +12.0% | +1.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -19.3% | +22.2% | +16.3% | +21.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -33.7% | +30.2% | -24.1% | +3.8% |
Valuation Metrics
GBX leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.9x trailing earnings, GBX trades at a 83% valuation discount to CAT's 47.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GBX offers better value at 0.23x vs DE's 1.92x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.6B | $416.8B | $157.3B | $51.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.1B | $450.1B | $213.0B | $56.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.94x | 47.57x | 31.37x | 30.15x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.01x | 38.79x | 32.53x | 16.15x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.23x | 1.69x | 1.92x | 1.16x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.69x | 33.41x | 20.01x | 13.65x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.48x | 6.17x | 3.52x | 1.59x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.93x | 19.71x | 6.06x | 2.37x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 40.56x | 48.69x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $11 for NUE. NUE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.32x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to DE's 2.46x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GBX scores 8/9 vs DE's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.7% | +47.5% | +15.5% | +10.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.3% | +10.0% | +3.9% | +6.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.6% | +15.9% | +7.7% | +7.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.1% | +19.1% | +11.4% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.06x | 2.03x | 2.46x | 0.32x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.5B | $33.4B | $55.7B | $4.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $326M | $10.0B | $8.3B | $2.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.8B | $43.3B | $63.9B | $7.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.87x | 9.22x | 2.74x | 29.72x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $38,251 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,466 for GBX. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +181.5% total return vs GBX's +20.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 62.0% vs DE's 16.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +8.0% | +50.2% | +24.7% | +34.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +20.6% | +181.5% | +24.2% | +98.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +102.8% | +324.9% | +57.4% | +64.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.7% | +282.5% | +54.1% | +140.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +130.7% | +1227.6% | +671.0% | +426.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +26.6% | +62.0% | +16.3% | +18.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — DE and NUE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DE is the less volatile stock with a 0.56 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NUE currently trades 96.3% from its 52-week high vs GBX's 85.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.97x | 1.54x | 0.56x | 1.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $59.19 | $931.35 | $674.19 | $235.44 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $38.23 | $318.11 | $433.00 | $106.21 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +85.2% | +96.2% | +86.1% | +96.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.5 | 76.2 | 54.0 | 85.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 405K | 2.4M | 1.2M | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — GBX and NUE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GBX as "Buy", CAT as "Buy", DE as "Hold", NUE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 17.3% upside for DE (target: $681) vs -7.9% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, GBX offers the higher dividend yield at 2.44% vs CAT's 0.65%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $49.00 | $824.80 | $680.54 | $222.83 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 24 | 53 | 46 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.4% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.23 | $5.86 | $6.33 | $2.22 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.5% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
CAT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GBX leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
GBX vs CAT vs DE vs NUE: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GBX or CAT or DE or NUE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nucor Corporation (NUE) is the stronger pick with 5.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 7% for The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX). The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) offers the better valuation at 7. 9x trailing P/E (16. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GBX or CAT or DE or NUE?
On trailing P/E, The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
(GBX) is the cheapest at 7. 9x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 47. 6x. On forward P/E, The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. is actually cheaper at 16. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. wins at 0. 47x versus Deere & Company's 1. 99x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GBX or CAT or DE or NUE?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +282. 5%, compared to +14. 7% for The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1228% versus GBX's +130. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GBX or CAT or DE or NUE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Deere & Company (DE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
56β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 173% more volatile than DE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Nucor Corporation (NUE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 32% versus 2% for Deere & Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GBX or CAT or DE or NUE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nucor Corporation (NUE) is pulling ahead at 5.
7% versus -8. 7% for The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. grew EPS 28. 0% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAT leads at 4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GBX or CAT or DE or NUE?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus 5. 4% for Nucor Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DE leads at 18. 8% versus 8. 2% for NUE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — DE leads at 36. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GBX or CAT or DE or NUE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 47x versus Deere & Company's 1. 99x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) trades at 16. 0x forward P/E versus 38. 8x for Caterpillar Inc. — 22. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for DE: 17. 3% to $680. 54.
08Which pays a better dividend — GBX or CAT or DE or NUE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) offers the highest yield at 2. 4%, versus 0. 7% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
09Is GBX or CAT or DE or NUE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Deere & Company (DE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
56), 1. 1% yield, +671. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DE: +671. 0%, GBX: +130. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GBX and CAT and DE and NUE?
These companies operate in different sectors (GBX (Industrials) and CAT (Industrials) and DE (Industrials) and NUE (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GBX is a small-cap deep-value stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock; DE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NUE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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