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CATCaterpillar Inc.
$808.01$372.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
CAT logo

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT
NYSE · Agricultural Machinery
$808.01
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$372.2B
P/E42.9x
52W High$1073.46
Volume2.06M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Record Revenue Surge Masks Rising Leverage Risk

Caterpillar's record $20.5B revenue in 2026Q2, up 24% year-over-year, with gross margin expanding to 37.8%, demonstrates robust demand and operational leverage. However, debt-to-equity rising to 2.33 and cumulative FCF of $23.6B versus net income of $25.9B sug...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CAT price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+47% Peers

P/E is 47% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 62 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 62)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 24% year-over-year to a record $20.5B in 2026Q2, with gross margin expanding 480 basis points to 37.8% and operating income up 48% to $4.3B.

Analyst Consensus+22.0% target
Buy(56 analysts)
31 Buy21 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Backlog and Demand

Caterpillar has a significant backlog of $51.2 billion, representing a 71% year-over-year increase, providing multi-quarter revenue visibility.

Strategic Acquisitions and Technology

The company has made strategic acquisitions, including a self-driving tractor startup, to enhance its technological capabilities in agriculture.

Growth in Emerging Sectors

Demand in sectors like data centers could boost the Energy & Transportation segment, driving further growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Elevated Valuation

Concerns exist about Caterpillar's valuation, with a P/E ratio significantly higher than its five-year average, suggesting potential overvaluation.

Margin Compression

Net profit margins have slipped from 16.7% to 13.1% year-over-year, indicating recent financial softness.

Macroeconomic Risks

The company's performance is sensitive to economic cycles, with a potential macroeconomic slowdown posing risks to demand.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CAT+35.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
CAT+72.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
CAT+202.21%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.70%
5-Year Return
CAT+336.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.84%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
42.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
29.7x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
30.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
2.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
42.9x
17.5x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
30.1x
15.4x
100th· High
Price/FCF
36.2x
24.0x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$149.54-81.5%
Base (Fair)$354.92-56.1%
Bull$402.90-50.1%
$149.54 Bear$354.92 Base$402.90 Bull
Current Market Price: $808.01
Trades at a 127.7% premium to Base DCF ($354.92)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$67.59B+4.3% YoY
Net income
$8.87B-17.8% YoY
Free cash flow
$10.27B+16.5% YoY
Operating margin
16.6%-3.6 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)15.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)43.5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$8.17+31.4%
vs $6.22
$20.5B+6.2%
vs $19.3B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$5.54+19.1%
vs $4.65
$17.4B+5.4%
vs $16.5B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$5.16+9.6%
vs $4.71
$19.1B+7.2%
vs $17.9B
Q4 2025
Oct 29, 2025
$4.95+9.3%
vs $4.53
$17.6B+5.2%
vs $16.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
3 Stocks That Pay Dividends and Offer AI Exposure

For those interested in getting paid with some AI exposure, Broadcom (AVGO), Vertiv (VRT), and Caterpillar (CAT) all fit the criteria.

The Motley Fool·2d ago
What Higher Interest Rates Mean for Caterpillar, GE Vernova, and Vertiv

Of these three, Caterpillar's traditional business is the most exposed to higher interest rates. GE Vernova's strong backlog offers multiyear protection from any temporary economic weakness.

The Motley Fool·3d ago
The Caterpillar Correction Shouldn't Last Much Longer

Caterpillar addresses two key AI bottlenecks: power and construction. The recent dip has resulted in a more attractive valuation.

Defense World·3d ago
Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Stock Price Up 1.2% – Still a Buy?

Shares of Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT - Get Free Report) traded up 1.2% on Friday. The company traded as high as $809.49 and last traded at $808.39. 4,655,460 shares were traded during mid-day trading, an increase of 63% from the average daily volume of 2,854,511 shares. The stock had previously closed at $798.57. Key Stories

Filtered for Caterpillar Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CAT against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CAT logoCATCaterpillar Inc.Current
$808.01$372.2B42.914.29%13.13%43.48%0.73%
DE logoDEDeere & Company
$703.12$189.8B38.01-11.59%10.22%18.07%—
CNH logoCNHCNH Industrial N.V.
$13.67$16.95B33.34-8.78%1.71%3.97%—
AGCO logoAGCOAGCO Corporation
$120.65$8.74B12.37-13.55%5.15%11.64%—
PCAR logoPCARPACCAR Inc
$113.86$59.92B25.25-15.5%9.18%12.73%—
CMI logoCMICummins Inc.
$526.13$72.6B25.66-1.27%7.82%20.19%—

Compare CAT vs Peers

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DE

Most directly comparable listed peer for CAT.

Scale Benchmark

vs ETN

Larger-name benchmark to compare CAT against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DE, CNH, AGCO, PCAR

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CAT SEC Filings & Documents

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 13, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 14, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 3, 2025·SEC

Get notified when CAT posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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CAT Frequently Asked Questions

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Caterpillar Inc.'s revenue?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) reported $74.73B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 352% increase from $16.52B in 1996.

How fast is Caterpillar Inc. growing?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) grew revenue by 4.3% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is CAT profitable?

Yes, Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is profitable, generating $10.83B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (13.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does CAT pay dividends?

Yes, Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.73%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is CAT's return on equity?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) has a return on equity (ROE) of 43.5%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Caterpillar Inc.'s free cash flow?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) generated $12.54B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in CAT back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →