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CATCaterpillar Inc.
$558.63$257.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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CAT logo

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT
NYSE · Heavy Machinery & Trucks
$558.63
At close - USD
Market Cap$257.33B
P/E29.7x
52W High$1073.46
Volume4.73M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Record Revenue Rebound Meets Cash Conversion and Leverage Scrutiny

Caterpillar's quarterly revenue reaccelerated from $14.2B in 2025Q1 to a record $20.7B in 2026Q3, and operating income climbed from $2.6B to $4.3B in 2026Q2 while SG&A stayed roughly flat, suggesting incremental volume is dropping through to profit at a favorable rate.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CAT price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 21 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 79% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue rebounded roughly 46% from $14.2B in 2025Q1 to a record $20.7B in 2026Q3 while gross margin held at 35.5% and operating margin reached 20.4%, though net margin of 15.9% and a negative $277M stock-based compensation swing warrant further investigation.

Analyst Consensus+67.4% target
Buy(57 analysts)
31 Buy22 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Backlog and Demand

Caterpillar has a significant backlog of $51.2 billion, representing a 71% year-over-year increase, providing multi-quarter revenue visibility.

Strategic Acquisitions and Technology

The company has made strategic acquisitions, including a self-driving tractor startup, to enhance its technological capabilities in agriculture.

Growth in Emerging Sectors

Demand in sectors like data centers could boost the Energy & Transportation segment, driving further growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Elevated Valuation

Concerns exist about Caterpillar's valuation, with a P/E ratio significantly higher than its five-year average, suggesting potential overvaluation.

Margin Compression

Net profit margins have slipped from 16.7% to 13.1% year-over-year, indicating recent financial softness.

Macroeconomic Risks

The company's performance is sensitive to economic cycles, with a potential macroeconomic slowdown posing risks to demand.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CAT-5.33%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
CAT-0.57%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
CAT+142.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.42%
5-Year Return
CAT+174.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+58.30%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
21.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
20.4x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
17.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
21.8x
17.5x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
17.4x
15.4x
80th· High
Price/FCF
22.1x
24.0x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$157.22-71.9%
Base (Fair)$373.49-33.1%
Bull$426.66-23.6%
$157.22 Bear$373.49 Base$426.66 Bull
Current Market Price: $558.63
Trades at a 49.6% premium to Base DCF ($373.49)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$67.59B+4.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$8.87B-17.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$10.27B+16.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
16.6%-3.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)15.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)43.5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$7.20+2.0%
vs $7.06
$20.7B-0.4%
vs $20.8B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$8.17+31.4%
vs $6.22
$20.5B+6.2%
vs $19.3B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$5.54+19.1%
vs $4.65
$17.4B+5.4%
vs $16.5B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$5.16+9.6%
vs $4.71
$19.1B+7.2%
vs $17.9B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·13h ago
69 Dividend Champions Ranked By Quality Scores (November 2026)

I present 69 Dividend Champions with Dividend Safety scores of 8+ and rank them using my 9F Quality Scores system. Twenty-two featured Dividend Champions are undervalued, while 21 are overvalued. Forty-nine have quality scores ≥ 7.0, indicating high quality. Top candidates by style: BRO and BMI for growth; BRO, BMI, and RGLD (below $262) for total return; CTBI for income; CAT for past performance.

PRNewsWire·1d ago
Caterpillar Group President of Construction Industries Rod Shurman to Participate in Fireside Chat Hosted by Chad Dillard of Bernstein

IRVING, Texas, Nov. 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) Group President of Construction Industries Rod Shurman is expected to participate in a fireside chat hosted by Chad Dillard of Bernstein in North Carolina on Tuesday, Nov. 17, from 11:15 a.m. to noon ET.

24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
3 Dividend Aristocrats Wall Street Analysts Like Most

A long dividend streak shows a company's record. Analyst ratings show how Wall Street views what comes next.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
CAT Shares Fall Despite Q3 Earnings Beat: How to Play the Stock?

Caterpillar Inc. CAT delivered a strong third-quarter 2026 performance, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimates for revenues and earnings while reporting year-over-year growth in both metrics. A record $78.1 billion order backlog, expanding margins and stronger cash flow further underscored the company's operating momentum.

Filtered for Caterpillar Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CAT against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CAT logoCATCaterpillar Inc.Current
$558.63$257.33B29.674.29%13.13%43.48%1.05%
DE logoDEDeere & Company
$671.65$181.3B36.31-11.59%10.22%18.07%0.94%
CNH logoCNHCNH Industrial N.V.
$11.56$14.33B28.20-8.78%1.71%3.97%2.3%
AGCO logoAGCOAGCO Corporation
$110.44$8B11.33-13.55%2.76%6.25%1.05%
PCAR logoPCARPACCAR Inc
$101.98$53.67B22.61-15.5%9.68%13.76%4.22%
CMI logoCMICummins Inc.
$450.07$62.1B21.95-1.27%7.82%20.19%1.69%

Compare CAT vs Peers

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DE

Most directly comparable listed peer for CAT.

Scale Benchmark

vs ETN

Larger-name benchmark to compare CAT against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DE, CNH, AGCO, PCAR

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CAT SEC Filings & Documents

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 15, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 13, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 14, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 3, 2025·SEC

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CAT Frequently Asked Questions

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Caterpillar Inc.'s revenue?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) reported $77.77B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $67.59B in fiscal year 2025. That is 309% more than the $16.52B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Caterpillar Inc. growing?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) grew revenue by 4.3% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is CAT profitable?

Yes. Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) earned $11.83B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 15.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does CAT pay dividends?

Yes. Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) pays a dividend that yields 1.05% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is CAT's return on equity?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) had a return on equity (ROE) of 43.5% in fiscal year 2025. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Caterpillar Inc.'s free cash flow?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) generated $13.25B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in CAT back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →