Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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GFR vs IMO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Integrated
GFR vs IMO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Market Cap | $410M | $62.57B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $563M | $47.04B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-101M | $3.27B |
| Gross Margin | 22.7% | 21.2% |
| Operating Margin | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Forward P/E | 16.6x | 15.0x |
| Total Debt | $6M | $4.23B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $42M | $1.14B |
GFR vs IMO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenfire Resources… (GFR) | 100 | 114.3 | +14.3% |
| Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) | 100 | 204.3 | +104.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GFR vs IMO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GFR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.05
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, Low D/E 0.5%, current ratio 1.56x
- Beta 0.05, current ratio 1.56x
IMO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -3.7%, EPS growth -28.2%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.3%
- 337.2% 10Y total return vs GFR's -47.5%
- -3.7% revenue growth vs GFR's -27.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -3.7% revenue growth vs GFR's -27.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 16.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.9% margin vs GFR's -17.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.05 vs IMO's 0.25, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.6% yield; 27-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +87.1% vs GFR's +43.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.1% ROA vs GFR's -7.8%, ROIC 12.3% vs 3.9% |
GFR vs IMO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
GFR vs IMO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
IMO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
IMO is the larger business by revenue, generating $47.0B annually — 83.5x GFR's $563M. IMO is the more profitable business, keeping 6.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GFR's -17.9%. On growth, IMO holds the edge at +6.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $563M | $47.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $144M | $6.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$101M | $3.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$26M | $4.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.7% | +21.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.7% | +9.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -17.9% | +6.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.6% | +10.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -20.8% | +6.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.6% | -57.8% |
Valuation Metrics
GFR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.1x trailing earnings, GFR trades at a 54% valuation discount to IMO's 26.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, GFR's 9.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than IMO's 13.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $410M | $62.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $383M | $64.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 12.07x | 26.50x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.65x | 14.96x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.99x | 12.96x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.97x | 1.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.48x | 3.89x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 23.05x | 18.17x |
Profitability & Efficiency
IMO leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
IMO delivers a 14.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $-10 for GFR. GFR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to IMO's 0.19x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -10.0% | +14.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.8% | +8.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.9% | +12.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.5% | +11.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.19x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$36M | $3.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $42M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6M | $4.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.48x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
IMO leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in IMO five years ago would be worth $42,567 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,246 for GFR. Over the past 12 months, IMO leads with a +87.1% total return vs GFR's +43.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors IMO at 41.1% vs GFR's -19.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.7% | +42.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +43.7% | +87.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.5% | +180.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.5% | +325.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.5% | +337.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -19.4% | +41.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — GFR and IMO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GFR is the less volatile stock with a 0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than IMO's 0.25 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. IMO currently trades 93.7% from its 52-week high vs GFR's 80.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.05x | 0.25x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.06 | $134.32 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.81 | $67.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.2% | +93.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.6 | 50.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 239K | 663K |
Analyst Outlook
IMO leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GFR as "Buy" and IMO as "Hold". IMO is the only dividend payer here at 1.62% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $44.99 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 27 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.78 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +3.8% |
IMO leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GFR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
GFR vs IMO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GFR or IMO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) is the stronger pick with -3.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -27. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) offers the better valuation at 12. 1x trailing P/E (16. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GFR or IMO?
On trailing P/E, Greenfire Resources Ltd.
(GFR) is the cheapest at 12. 1x versus Imperial Oil Limited at 26. 5x. On forward P/E, Imperial Oil Limited is actually cheaper at 15. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GFR or IMO?
Over the past 5 years, Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) delivered a total return of +325.
7%, compared to -47. 5% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: IMO returned +337. 2% versus GFR's -47. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GFR or IMO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Greenfire Resources Ltd.
(GFR) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 05β versus Imperial Oil Limited's 0. 25β — meaning IMO is approximately 378% more volatile than GFR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 19% for Imperial Oil Limited — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GFR or IMO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) is pulling ahead at -3.
7% versus -27. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Imperial Oil Limited grew EPS -28. 2% year-over-year, compared to -62. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, IMO leads at -6. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GFR or IMO?
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
(GFR) is the more profitable company, earning 8. 1% net margin versus 6. 9% for Imperial Oil Limited — meaning it keeps 8. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GFR leads at 10. 1% versus 9. 0% for IMO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — IMO leads at 21. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GFR or IMO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) trades at 15.
0x forward P/E versus 16. 6x for Greenfire Resources Ltd. — 1. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — GFR or IMO?
In this comparison, IMO (1.
6% yield) pays a dividend. GFR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GFR or IMO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
25), 1. 6% yield, +337. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (IMO: +337. 2%, GFR: -47. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GFR and IMO?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GFR is a small-cap deep-value stock; IMO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. IMO pays a dividend while GFR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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