HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Coal
Market Cap$4.63B
5Y Perf.+523.4%
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Stock Comparison
HCC vs ARLP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
ARLP
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.
Coal
Market Cap$3.29B
5Y Perf.+706.0%
HCC vs ARLP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | HCC | ARLP |
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Coal | Coal |
| Market Cap | $4.63B | $3.29B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.47B | $2.17B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $138M | $246M |
| Gross Margin | 38.2% | 23.9% |
| Operating Margin | 9.7% | 14.4% |
| Forward P/E | 11.4x | 11.2x |
| Total Debt | $271M | $480M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $300M | $71M |
HCC vs ARLP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
HCC
ARLP
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrior Met Coal, I… (HCC) | 100 | 623.4 | +523.4% |
| Alliance Resource P… (ARLP) | 100 | 806.0 | +706.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HCC vs ARLP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Bottom line: ARLP leads in 6 of 7 categories, making it the strongest pick for growth and revenue expansion and valuation and capital efficiency. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is the stronger pick specifically for recent price momentum and sentiment. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
The Long-Run Compounder
HCC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 12.0% 10Y total return vs ARLP's 195.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.57, Low D/E 12.7%, current ratio 3.19x
- +92.2% vs ARLP's +3.9%
Best for: long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night
ARLP
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.
The Income Pick
ARLP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.07, yield 10.3%
- Rev growth -10.4%, EPS growth -12.6%, 3Y rev CAGR -3.2%
- Beta 0.07, yield 10.3%, current ratio 2.10x
Best for: income & stability and growth exposure
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | ARLP | -10.4% revenue growth vs HCC's -14.1% |
| Value | ARLP | Lower P/E (11.2x vs 11.4x) |
| Quality / Margins | ARLP | 11.3% margin vs HCC's 9.4% |
| Stability / Safety | ARLP | Beta 0.07 vs HCC's 0.57 |
| Dividends | ARLP | 10.3% yield, vs HCC's 0.4% |
| Momentum (1Y) | HCC | +92.2% vs ARLP's +3.9% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | ARLP | 8.6% ROA vs HCC's 5.0%, ROIC 12.9% vs 1.8% |
HCC vs ARLP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FY 2025
FY 2025
HCC vs ARLP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
BEST OVERALLARLPLAGGINGHCC
HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.
1leads
ARLPAlliance Resource Par…
4leads
6 Total Categories
CATEGORYLEADERvs HCCMETRICS WON
Income & Cash FlowRevenue, margins, and cash flow strength
Tied
—
Valuation MetricsMultiples, price ratios, and targets
ARLP5/5
Profitability & EfficiencyROE, ROIC, leverage, and quality scores
ARLP5/9
Total Returns1Y, 3Y, 5Y total returns with dividends
HCC4/6
Risk & VolatilityBeta, volatility, and downside exposure
ARLP2/2
Analyst OutlookRatings, price targets, and dividends
ARLP1/1
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — HCC and ARLP each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARLP and HCC operate at a comparable scale, with $2.2B and $1.5B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 11.3% (ARLP) to 9.4% (HCC). On growth, HCC holds the edge at +53.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | HCCWarrior Met Coal,… | ARLPAlliance Resource… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.5B | $2.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $289M | $626M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $138M | $246M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$135M | $339M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.2% | +23.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.7% | +14.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.4% | +11.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -9.2% | +15.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +53.8% | -4.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.6% | -87.7% |
Evenly matched — HCC and ARLP each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
ARLP leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.6x trailing earnings, ARLP trades at a 87% valuation discount to HCC's 81.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ARLP's 5.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HCC's 19.5x.
| Metric | HCCWarrior Met Coal,… | ARLPAlliance Resource… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.6B | $3.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.6B | $3.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 81.27x | 10.56x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.40x | 11.17x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 19.52x | 5.40x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.54x | 1.50x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.16x | 1.76x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 8.48x |
ARLP leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARLP leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARLP delivers a 13.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $6 for HCC. HCC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARLP's 0.26x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARLP scores 4/9 vs HCC's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | HCCWarrior Met Coal,… | ARLPAlliance Resource… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.4% | +13.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.0% | +8.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.8% | +12.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.8% | +14.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 0.26x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$29M | $409M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $300M | $71M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $271M | $480M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.30x | 7.19x |
ARLP leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HCC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARLP five years ago would be worth $61,901 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $56,921 for HCC. Over the past 12 months, HCC leads with a +92.2% total return vs ARLP's +3.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HCC at 32.4% vs ARLP's 19.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | HCCWarrior Met Coal,… | ARLPAlliance Resource… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.8% | +12.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +92.2% | +3.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +132.2% | +72.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +469.2% | +519.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1201.9% | +195.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +32.4% | +19.9% |
HCC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARLP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARLP is the less volatile stock with a 0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HCC's 0.57 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ARLP currently trades 86.8% from its 52-week high vs HCC's 83.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | HCCWarrior Met Coal,… | ARLPAlliance Resource… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.57x | 0.07x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $105.34 | $29.45 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $40.80 | $22.20 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.3% | +86.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.6 | 44.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 848K | 380K |
ARLP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
ARLP leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HCC as "Hold" and ARLP as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 28.2% upside for HCC (target: $113) vs 17.4% for ARLP (target: $30). For income investors, ARLP offers the higher dividend yield at 10.28% vs HCC's 0.39%.
| Metric | HCCWarrior Met Coal,… | ARLPAlliance Resource… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $112.50 | $30.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 24 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | +10.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.34 | $2.63 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | 0.0% |
ARLP leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Key Takeaway
ARLP leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). HCC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
Best OverallAlliance Resource Partners,… (ARLP)Leads 4 of 6 categories
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HCC vs ARLP: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HCC or ARLP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) is the stronger pick with -10. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -14. 1% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC). Alliance Resource Partners, L. P. (ARLP) offers the better valuation at 10. 6x trailing P/E (11. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) a "Hold" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HCC or ARLP?
On trailing P/E, Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) is the cheapest at 10. 6x versus Warrior Met Coal, Inc. at 81. 3x. On forward P/E, Alliance Resource Partners, L. P. is actually cheaper at 11. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HCC or ARLP?
Over the past 5 years, Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) delivered a total return of +519. 0%, compared to +469. 2% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HCC returned +1202% versus ARLP's +195. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HCC or ARLP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 07β versus Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 's 0. 57β — meaning HCC is approximately 704% more volatile than ARLP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 26% for Alliance Resource Partners, L. P. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HCC or ARLP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) is pulling ahead at -10. 4% versus -14. 1% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alliance Resource Partners, L. P. grew EPS -12. 6% year-over-year, compared to -77. 5% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ARLP leads at -3. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HCC or ARLP?
Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) is the more profitable company, earning 14. 2% net margin versus 4. 4% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. — meaning it keeps 14. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ARLP leads at 17. 6% versus 3. 5% for HCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ARLP leads at 21. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HCC or ARLP more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) trades at 11. 2x forward P/E versus 11. 4x for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. — 0. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HCC: 28. 2% to $112. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — HCC or ARLP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Alliance Resource Partners, L. P. (ARLP) offers the highest yield at 10. 3%, versus 0. 4% for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC).
09Is HCC or ARLP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Alliance Resource Partners, L.
P. (ARLP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 07), 10. 3% yield, +195. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARLP: +195. 5%, HCC: +1202%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HCC and ARLP?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HCC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ARLP is a small-cap deep-value stock. ARLP pays a dividend while HCC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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Revenue Growth>
%
(HCC: 53.8% · ARLP: -4.5%)Net Margin>
%
(HCC: 9.4% · ARLP: 11.3%)P/E Ratio<
x
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