Financial - Credit Services
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LU vs UPST
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Credit Services
LU vs UPST — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Credit Services | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $847M | $2.74B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $28.13B | $1.08B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-3.38B | $49M |
| Gross Margin | 74.9% | 95.2% |
| Operating Margin | -1.6% | 5.1% |
| Forward P/E | — | 14.5x |
| Total Debt | $81.47B | $1.85B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $41.15B | $657M |
LU vs UPST — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lufax Holding Ltd (LU) | 100 | 3.6 | -96.4% |
| Upstart Holdings, I… (UPST) | 100 | 70.4 | -29.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LU vs UPST
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LU carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.62
- Lower volatility, beta 1.62, Low D/E 99.2%, current ratio 0.56x
- Beta 1.62, current ratio 0.56x
UPST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 58.9%, EPS growth 131.3%
- -2.7% 10Y total return vs LU's -86.8%
- 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs LU's -32.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs LU's -32.5% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.8% vs UPST's 0.9% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.62 vs UPST's 2.96, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -30.8% vs UPST's -44.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.8% vs UPST's 0.9% |
LU vs UPST — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
LU vs UPST — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UPST leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LU is the larger business by revenue, generating $28.1B annually — 26.2x UPST's $1.1B. UPST is the more profitable business, keeping 5.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LU's -7.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $28.1B | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$1.3B | $68M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$3.4B | $49M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $8.6B | -$146M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +74.9% | +95.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1.6% | +5.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.3% | +5.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +45.3% | -15.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -10.6% | -169.2% |
Valuation Metrics
LU leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $847M | $2.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.8B | $3.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.89x | 63.73x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 14.53x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 4.44x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 49.74x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.21x | 2.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.07x | 3.86x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 0.45x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
UPST leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UPST delivers a 6.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-4 for LU. LU carries lower financial leverage with a 0.99x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UPST's 2.32x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UPST scores 5/9 vs LU's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -3.8% | +6.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.5% | +1.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.2% | +2.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.99x | 2.32x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $40.3B | $1.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $41.1B | $657M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $81.5B | $1.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.12x | 1.66x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
UPST leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in UPST five years ago would be worth $3,116 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,428 for LU. Over the past 12 months, LU leads with a -30.8% total return vs UPST's -44.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors UPST at 28.9% vs LU's -12.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -24.9% | -37.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -30.8% | -44.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -33.5% | +114.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.7% | -68.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -86.8% | -2.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -12.7% | +28.9% |
Risk & Volatility
LU leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LU is the less volatile stock with a 1.62 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UPST's 2.96 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LU currently trades 44.2% from its 52-week high vs UPST's 32.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.62x | 2.96x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.57 | $87.30 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.73 | $23.96 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +44.2% | +32.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.5 | 50.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 4.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LU as "Buy" and UPST as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 72.3% upside for LU (target: $3) vs 57.5% for UPST (target: $45).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $3.48 | $45.17 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
UPST leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). LU leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
LU vs UPST: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LU or UPST a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is the stronger pick with 58. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -32. 5% for Lufax Holding Ltd (LU). Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) offers the better valuation at 63. 7x trailing P/E (14. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lufax Holding Ltd (LU) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — LU or UPST?
Over the past 5 years, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) delivered a total return of -68. 8%, compared to -85. 7% for Lufax Holding Ltd (LU). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: UPST returned -2. 7% versus LU's -86. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — LU or UPST?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Lufax Holding Ltd (LU) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
62β versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 96β — meaning UPST is approximately 83% more volatile than LU relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Lufax Holding Ltd (LU) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 99% versus 2% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — LU or UPST?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is pulling ahead at 58. 9% versus -32. 5% for Lufax Holding Ltd (LU). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Upstart Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 131. 3% year-over-year, compared to -254. 5% for Lufax Holding Ltd. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — LU or UPST?
Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is the more profitable company, earning 5. 0% net margin versus -7. 3% for Lufax Holding Ltd — meaning it keeps 5. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UPST leads at 5. 1% versus -1. 6% for LU. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UPST leads at 95. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is LU or UPST more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LU: 72.
3% to $3. 48.
07Which pays a better dividend — LU or UPST?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is LU or UPST better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Lufax Holding Ltd (LU) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding.
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) carries a higher beta of 2. 96 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LU: -86. 8%, UPST: -2. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between LU and UPST?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LU is a small-cap quality compounder stock; UPST is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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